Dou Liu

Dehao Dai, Ding Ma, Dou Liu et al.

Forecasting crude oil prices remains challenging because market-relevant information is embedded in large volumes of unstructured news and is not fully captured by traditional polarity-based sentiment measures. This paper examines whether multi-dimensional sentiment signals extracted by large language models improve the prediction of weekly WTI crude oil futures returns. Using energy-sector news articles from 2020 to 2025, we construct five sentiment dimensions covering relevance, polarity, intensity, uncertainty, and forwardness based on GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and two benchmark models, FinBERT and AlphaVantage. We aggregate article-level signals to the weekly level and evaluate their predictive performance in a classification framework. The best results are achieved by combining GPT-4o and FinBERT, suggesting that LLM-based and conventional financial sentiment models provide complementary predictive information. SHAP analysis further shows that intensity- and uncertainty-related features are among the most important predictors, indicating that the predictive value of news sentiment extends beyond simple polarity. Overall, the results suggest that multi-dimensional LLM-based sentiment measures can improve commodity return forecasting and support energy-market risk monitoring.

Dou Liu, Ying Han, Xiandi Wang et al.

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in healthcare presents a transformative potential for enhancing operational efficiency and health outcomes. Large Language Models (LLMs), such as ChatGPT, have shown their capabilities in supporting medical decision-making. Embedding LLMs in medical systems is becoming a promising trend in healthcare development. The potential of ChatGPT to address the triage problem in emergency departments has been examined, while few studies have explored its application in outpatient departments. With a focus on streamlining workflows and enhancing efficiency for outpatient triage, this study specifically aims to evaluate the consistency of responses provided by ChatGPT in outpatient guidance, including both within-version response analysis and between-version comparisons. For within-version, the results indicate that the internal response consistency for ChatGPT-4.0 is significantly higher than ChatGPT-3.5 (p=0.03) and both have a moderate consistency (71.2% for 4.0 and 59.6% for 3.5) in their top recommendation. However, the between-version consistency is relatively low (mean consistency score=1.43/3, median=1), indicating few recommendations match between the two versions. Also, only 50% top recommendations match perfectly in the comparisons. Interestingly, ChatGPT-3.5 responses are more likely to be complete than those from ChatGPT-4.0 (p=0.02), suggesting possible differences in information processing and response generation between the two versions. The findings offer insights into AI-assisted outpatient operations, while also facilitating the exploration of potentials and limitations of LLMs in healthcare utilization. Future research may focus on carefully optimizing LLMs and AI integration in healthcare systems based on ergonomic and human factors principles, precisely aligning with the specific needs of effective outpatient triage.

Dou Liu, Ying Long, Sophia Zuoqiu et al.

Effective physician-patient communications in pre-diagnostic environments, and most specifically in complex and sensitive medical areas such as infertility, are critical but consume a lot of time and, therefore, cause clinic workflows to become inefficient. Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer a potential solution for automating conversational medical history-taking and improving diagnostic accuracy. This study evaluates the feasibility and performance of LLMs in those tasks for infertility cases. An AI-driven conversational system was developed to simulate physician-patient interactions with ChatGPT-4o and ChatGPT-4o-mini. A total of 70 real-world infertility cases were processed, generating 420 diagnostic histories. Model performance was assessed using F1 score, Differential Diagnosis (DDs) Accuracy, and Accuracy of Infertility Type Judgment (ITJ). ChatGPT-4o-mini outperformed ChatGPT-4o in information extraction accuracy (F1 score: 0.9258 vs. 0.9029, p = 0.045, d = 0.244) and demonstrated higher completeness in medical history-taking (97.58% vs. 77.11%), suggesting that ChatGPT-4o-mini is more effective in extracting detailed patient information, which is critical for improving diagnostic accuracy. In contrast, ChatGPT-4o performed slightly better in differential diagnosis accuracy (2.0524 vs. 2.0048, p > 0.05). ITJ accuracy was higher in ChatGPT-4o-mini (0.6476 vs. 0.5905) but with lower consistency (Cronbach's $α$ = 0.562), suggesting variability in classification reliability. Both models demonstrated strong feasibility in automating infertility history-taking, with ChatGPT-4o-mini excelling in completeness and extraction accuracy. In future studies, expert validation for accuracy and dependability in a clinical setting, AI model fine-tuning, and larger datasets with a mix of cases of infertility have to be prioritized.

Dou Liu, Ying Long, Sophia Zuoqiu et al.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly adopted in clinical decision support, yet aligning them with the multifaceted reasoning pathways of real-world medicine remains a major challenge. Using more than 8,000 infertility treatment records, we systematically evaluate four alignment strategies: Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT), Direct Preference Optimization (DPO), Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), and In-Context Learning (ICL) through a dual-layer framework combining automatic benchmarks with blinded doctor-in-the-loop assessments. GRPO achieves the highest algorithmic accuracy across multiple decision layers, confirming the value of reinforcement-based optimization for structured prediction tasks. However, clinicians consistently prefer the SFT model, citing clearer reasoning processes (p = 0.035) and higher therapeutic feasibility (p = 0.019). In blinded pairwise comparisons, SFT attains the highest winning rate (51.2%), outperforming both GRPO (26.2%) and even physicians' original decisions (22.7%). These results reveal an alignment paradox: algorithmic improvements do not necessarily translate into higher clinical trust, and may diverge from human-centered preferences. Our findings highlight the need for alignment strategies that prioritize clinically interpretable and practically feasible reasoning, rather than solely optimizing decision-level accuracy.

Dou Liu, Ying Long, Sophia Zuoqiu et al.

Creating high-quality clinical Chains-of-Thought (CoTs) is crucial for explainable medical Artificial Intelligence (AI) while constrained by data scarcity. Although Large Language Models (LLMs) can synthesize medical data, their clinical reliability remains unverified. This study evaluates the reliability of LLM-generated CoTs and investigates prompting strategies to enhance their quality. In a blinded comparative study, senior clinicians in Assisted Reproductive Technology (ART) evaluated CoTs generated via three distinct strategies: Zero-shot, Random Few-shot (using shallow examples), and Selective Few-shot (using diverse, high-quality examples). These expert ratings were compared against evaluations from a state-of-the-art AI model (GPT-4o). The Selective Few-shot strategy significantly outperformed other strategies across all human evaluation metrics (p < .001). Critically, the Random Few-shot strategy offered no significant improvement over the Zero-shot baseline, demonstrating that low-quality examples are as ineffective as no examples. The success of the Selective strategy is attributed to two principles: "Gold-Standard Depth" (reasoning quality) and "Representative Diversity" (generalization). Notably, the AI evaluator failed to discern these critical performance differences. The clinical reliability of synthetic CoTs is dictated by strategic prompt curation, not the mere presence of examples. We propose a "Dual Principles" framework as a foundational methodology to generate trustworthy data at scale. This work offers a validated solution to the data bottleneck and confirms the indispensable role of human expertise in evaluating high-stakes clinical AI.