11.4LGAug 18, 2025
Counterfactual Probabilistic Diffusion with Expert ModelsWenhao Mu, Zhi Cao, Mehmed Uludag et al.
Predicting counterfactual distributions in complex dynamical systems is essential for scientific modeling and decision-making in domains such as public health and medicine. However, existing methods often rely on point estimates or purely data-driven models, which tend to falter under data scarcity. We propose a time series diffusion-based framework that incorporates guidance from imperfect expert models by extracting high-level signals to serve as structured priors for generative modeling. Our method, ODE-Diff, bridges mechanistic and data-driven approaches, enabling more reliable and interpretable causal inference. We evaluate ODE-Diff across semi-synthetic COVID-19 simulations, synthetic pharmacological dynamics, and real-world case studies, demonstrating that it consistently outperforms strong baselines in both point prediction and distributional accuracy.
3.3DCAug 26, 2019
A Deep Reinforcement Learning Approach to Multi-component Job Scheduling in Edge ComputingZhi Cao, Honggang Zhang, Yu Cao et al.
We are interested in the optimal scheduling of a collection of multi-component application jobs in an edge computing system that consists of geo-distributed edge computing nodes connected through a wide area network. The scheduling and placement of application jobs in an edge system is challenging due to the interdependence of multiple components of each job, and the communication delays between the geographically distributed data sources and edge nodes and their dynamic availability. In this paper we explore the feasibility of applying Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) based design to address these challenges. We introduce a DRL actor-critic algorithm that aims to find an optimal scheduling policy to minimize average job slowdown in the edge system. We have demonstrated through simulations that our design outperforms a few existing algorithms, based on both synthetic data and a Google cloud data trace.