Xiao Huang

Xiaoming Li, Chun Wang, Xiao Huang et al.

The conventional deep learning approaches for solving time-series problem such as long-short term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) both consider the time-series data sequence as the input with one single unit as the output (predicted time-series result). Those deep learning approaches have made tremendous success in many time-series related problems, however, this cannot be applied in data-driven stochastic programming problems since the output of either LSTM or GRU is a scalar rather than probability distribution which is required by stochastic programming model. To fill the gap, in this work, we propose an innovative data-driven dynamic stochastic programming (DD-DSP) framework for time-series decision-making problem, which involves three components: GRU, Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and SP. Specifically, we devise the deep neural network that integrates GRU and GMM which is called GRU-based Mixture Density Network (MDN), where GRU is used to predict the time-series outcomes based on the recent historical data, and GMM is used to extract the corresponding probability distribution of predicted outcomes, then the results will be input as the parameters for SP. To validate our approach, we apply the framework on the car-sharing relocation problem. The experiment validations show that our framework is superior to data-driven optimization based on LSTM with the vehicle average moving lower than LSTM.

Xiaoming Li, Chun Wang, Xiao Huang

Car-sharing issue is a popular research field in sharing economy. In this paper, we investigate the car-sharing relocation problem (CSRP) under uncertain demands. Normally, the real customer demands follow complicating probability distribution which cannot be described by parametric approaches. In order to overcome the problem, an innovative framework called Data-Driven Kernel Stochastic Programming (DDKSP) that integrates a non-parametric approach - kernel density estimation (KDE) and a two-stage stochastic programming (SP) model is proposed. Specifically, the probability distributions are derived from historical data by KDE, which are used as the input uncertain parameters for SP. Additionally, the CSRP is formulated as a two-stage SP model. Meanwhile, a Monte Carlo method called sample average approximation (SAA) and Benders decomposition algorithm are introduced to solve the large-scale optimization model. Finally, the numerical experimental validations which are based on New York taxi trip data sets show that the proposed framework outperforms the pure parametric approaches including Gaussian, Laplace and Poisson distributions with 3.72% , 4.58% and 11% respectively in terms of overall profits.

Xiaoming Li, Chun Wang, Xiao Huang

Car-sharing problem is a popular research field in sharing economy. In this paper, we investigate the car-sharing re-balancing problem under uncertain demands. An innovative framework that integrates a non-parametric approach - kernel density estimation (KDE) and a two-stage stochastic programming (SP) model are proposed. Specifically, the probability distributions are derived from New York taxi trip data sets by KDE, which is used as the input uncertain parameters for SP. Additionally, the car-sharing problem is formulated as a two-stage SP model which aims to maximize the overall profit. Meanwhile, a Monte Carlo method called sample average approximation (SAA) and Benders decomposition algorithm is introduced to solve the large-scale optimization model. Finally, the experimental validations show that the proposed framework outperforms the existing works in terms of outcomes.