Haoran Deng

Amit Milstein, Haoran Deng, Guy Revach et al. · eth-zurich

Pairs trading is a family of trading techniques that determine their policies based on monitoring the relationships between pairs of assets. A common pairs trading approach relies on describing the pair-wise relationship as a linear Space State (SS) model with Gaussian noise. This representation facilitates extracting financial indicators with low complexity and latency using a Kalman Filter (KF), that are then processed using classic policies such as Bollinger Bands (BB). However, such SS models are inherently approximated and mismatched, often degrading the revenue. In this work, we propose KalmenNet-aided Bollinger bands Pairs Trading (KBPT), a deep learning aided policy that augments the operation of KF-aided BB trading. KBPT is designed by formulating an extended SS model for pairs trading that approximates their relationship as holding partial co-integration. This SS model is utilized by a trading policy that augments KF-BB trading with a dedicated neural network based on the KalmanNet architecture. The resulting KBPT is trained in a two-stage manner which first tunes the tracking algorithm in an unsupervised manner independently of the trading task, followed by its adaptation to track the financial indicators to maximize revenue while approximating BB with a differentiable mapping. KBPT thus leverages data to overcome the approximated nature of the SS model, converting the KF-BB policy into a trainable model. We empirically demonstrate that our proposed KBPT systematically yields improved revenue compared with model-based and data-driven benchmarks over various different assets.

Xiaoyang Huang, Jiancheng Yang, Linguo Li et al.

Emergence of artificial intelligence techniques in biomedical applications urges the researchers to pay more attention on the uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine-assisted medical decision making. For classification tasks, prior studies on UQ are difficult to compare with each other, due to the lack of a unified quantitative evaluation metric. Considering that well-performing UQ models ought to know when the classification models act incorrectly, we design a new evaluation metric, area under Confidence-Classification Characteristic curves (AUCCC), to quantitatively evaluate the performance of the UQ models. AUCCC is threshold-free, robust to perturbation, and insensitive to the classification performance. We evaluate several UQ methods (e.g., max softmax output) with AUCCC to validate its effectiveness. Furthermore, a simple scheme, named Uncertainty Distillation (UDist), is developed to boost the UQ performance, where a confidence model is distilling the confidence estimated by deep ensembles. The proposed method is easy to implement; it consistently outperforms strong baselines on natural and medical image datasets in our experiments.

Yunxiang Zhang, Chenglong Zhao, Bingbing Ni et al.

To address the limitations of existing magnitude-based pruning algorithms in cases where model weights or activations are of large and similar magnitude, we propose a novel perspective to discover parameter redundancy among channels and accelerate deep CNNs via channel pruning. Precisely, we argue that channels revealing similar feature information have functional overlap and that most channels within each such similarity group can be removed without compromising model's representational power. After deriving an effective metric for evaluating channel similarity through probabilistic modeling, we introduce a pruning algorithm via hierarchical clustering of channels. In particular, the proposed algorithm does not rely on sparsity training techniques or complex data-driven optimization and can be directly applied to pre-trained models. Extensive experiments on benchmark datasets strongly demonstrate the superior acceleration performance of our approach over prior arts. On ImageNet, our pruned ResNet-50 with 30% FLOPs reduced outperforms the baseline model.