AIMay 16
Brain Vascular Age Prediction Using Cerebral Blood Flow Velocity and Machine Learning AlgorithmsAnni Zhao, Alex Bateh, Tyler Baldridge et al.
Defining vascular age in terms of physiological function has become one focal point of the extensive studies to categorize and track chronological age. Transcranial Doppler (TCD) is a method by which cerebral blood flow velocity is measured along the major arteries feeding the human brain. This study aims to use features extracted from TCD to estimate chronological age and assess accelerated aging in subjects with various brain diseases. We predict subjects with various brain diseases to present with accelerated cerebrovascular aging when tested on various regression models trained by healthy subjects. 168 healthy subjects and 277 diseased subjects with bilateral TCD recordings of the middle cerebral artery were analyzed using the Morphological Analysis and Clustering of Intracranial Pressure (MOCAIP) algorithm. MOCAIP-generated features and heart rate variability features were used as input features for regression models to predict the brain vascular age. 66 subjects with acute stroke, 27 subjects with post stroke, 26 subjects with Alzheimer's disease, 23 subjects with mild cognitive impairment, and 135 established subjects were tested against the machine learning model to assess for accelerated cerebrovascular age. The trained model, on average, predicted healthy subjects' cerebrovascular age to be 3.69 years above their chronological age. Subjects with different disease conditions exhibited varying levels of age acceleration. The differences in healthy and diseased subjects' performances suggest that features generated using TCD may be relevant when evaluating accelerated cerebrovascular aging. Moreover, imbalanced datasets have been observed to affect the performance of machine-learning-based brain age prediction models.
LGMay 22, 2025
Offline Guarded Safe Reinforcement Learning for Medical Treatment Optimization StrategiesRunze Yan, Xun Shen, Akifumi Wachi et al.
When applying offline reinforcement learning (RL) in healthcare scenarios, the out-of-distribution (OOD) issues pose significant risks, as inappropriate generalization beyond clinical expertise can result in potentially harmful recommendations. While existing methods like conservative Q-learning (CQL) attempt to address the OOD issue, their effectiveness is limited by only constraining action selection by suppressing uncertain actions. This action-only regularization imitates clinician actions that prioritize short-term rewards, but it fails to regulate downstream state trajectories, thereby limiting the discovery of improved long-term treatment strategies. To safely improve policy beyond clinician recommendations while ensuring that state-action trajectories remain in-distribution, we propose \textit{Offline Guarded Safe Reinforcement Learning} ($\mathsf{OGSRL}$), a theoretically grounded model-based offline RL framework. $\mathsf{OGSRL}$ introduces a novel dual constraint mechanism for improving policy with reliability and safety. First, the OOD guardian is established to specify clinically validated regions for safe policy exploration. By constraining optimization within these regions, it enables the reliable exploration of treatment strategies that outperform clinician behavior by leveraging the full patient state history, without drifting into unsupported state-action trajectories. Second, we introduce a safety cost constraint that encodes medical knowledge about physiological safety boundaries, providing domain-specific safeguards even in areas where training data might contain potentially unsafe interventions. Notably, we provide theoretical guarantees on safety and near-optimality: policies that satisfy these constraints remain in safe and reliable regions and achieve performance close to the best possible policy supported by the data.
LGJan 28
Noninvasive Intracranial Pressure Estimation Using Subspace System Identification and Bespoke Machine Learning Algorithms: A Learning-to-Rank ApproachAnni Zhao, Ayca Ermis, Jeffrey Robert Vitt et al.
Objective: Accurate noninvasive estimation of intracranial pressure (ICP) remains a major challenge in critical care. We developed a bespoke machine learning algorithm that integrates system identification and ranking-constrained optimization to estimate mean ICP from noninvasive signals. Methods: A machine learning framework was proposed to obtain accurate mean ICP values using arbitrary noninvasive signals. The subspace system identification algorithm is employed to identify cerebral hemodynamics models for ICP simulation using arterial blood pressure (ABP), cerebral blood velocity (CBv), and R-wave to R-wave interval (R-R interval) signals in a comprehensive database. A mapping function to describe the relationship between the features of noninvasive signals and the estimation errors is learned using innovative ranking constraints through convex optimization. Patients across multiple clinical settings were randomly split into testing and training datasets for performance evaluation of the mapping function. Results: The results indicate that about 31.88% of testing entries achieved estimation errors within 2 mmHg and 34.07% of testing entries between 2 mmHg to 6 mmHg from the nonlinear mapping with constraints. Conclusion: Our results demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed noninvasive ICP estimation approach. Significance: Further validation and technical refinement are required before clinical deployment, but this work lays the foundation for safe and broadly accessible ICP monitoring in patients with acute brain injury and related conditions.
LGOct 16, 2025
Generalist vs Specialist Time Series Foundation Models: Investigating Potential Emergent Behaviors in Assessing Human Health Using PPG SignalsSaurabh Kataria, Yi Wu, Zhaoliang Chen et al.
Foundation models are large-scale machine learning models that are pre-trained on massive amounts of data and can be adapted for various downstream tasks. They have been extensively applied to tasks in Natural Language Processing and Computer Vision with models such as GPT, BERT, and CLIP. They are now also increasingly gaining attention in time-series analysis, particularly for physiological sensing. However, most time series foundation models are specialist models - with data in pre-training and testing of the same type, such as Electrocardiogram, Electroencephalogram, and Photoplethysmogram (PPG). Recent works, such as MOMENT, train a generalist time series foundation model with data from multiple domains, such as weather, traffic, and electricity. This paper aims to conduct a comprehensive benchmarking study to compare the performance of generalist and specialist models, with a focus on PPG signals. Through an extensive suite of total 51 tasks covering cardiac state assessment, laboratory value estimation, and cross-modal inference, we comprehensively evaluate both models across seven dimensions, including win score, average performance, feature quality, tuning gain, performance variance, transferability, and scalability. These metrics jointly capture not only the models' capability but also their adaptability, robustness, and efficiency under different fine-tuning strategies, providing a holistic understanding of their strengths and limitations for diverse downstream scenarios. In a full-tuning scenario, we demonstrate that the specialist model achieves a 27% higher win score. Finally, we provide further analysis on generalization, fairness, attention visualizations, and the importance of training data choice.