Aron Distelzweig

Aron Distelzweig, Eitan Kosman, Andreas Look et al.

Forecasting the future trajectories of surrounding agents is crucial for autonomous vehicles to ensure safe, efficient, and comfortable route planning. While model ensembling has improved prediction accuracy in various fields, its application in trajectory prediction is limited due to the multi-modal nature of predictions. In this paper, we propose a novel sampling method applicable to trajectory prediction based on the predictions of multiple models. We first show that conventional sampling based on predicted probabilities can degrade performance due to missing alignment between models. To address this problem, we introduce a new method that generates optimal trajectories from a set of neural networks, framing it as a risk minimization problem with a variable loss function. By using state-of-the-art models as base learners, our approach constructs diverse and effective ensembles for optimal trajectory sampling. Extensive experiments on the nuScenes prediction dataset demonstrate that our method surpasses current state-of-the-art techniques, achieving top ranks on the leaderboard. We also provide a comprehensive empirical study on ensembling strategies, offering insights into their effectiveness. Our findings highlight the potential of advanced ensembling techniques in trajectory prediction, significantly improving predictive performance and paving the way for more reliable predicted trajectories.

Aron Distelzweig, Faris Janjoš, Andreas Look et al.

Recent Autonomous Driving (AD) works such as GigaFlow and PufferDrive have unlocked Reinforcement Learning (RL) at scale as a training strategy for driving policies. Yet such policies remain disconnected from established benchmarks, leaving the performance of large-scale RL for driving on standardized evaluations unknown. We present BehaviorBench -- a comprehensive test suite that closes this gap along three axes: Evaluation, Complexity, and Behavior Diversity. In terms of Evaluation, we provide an interface connecting PufferDrive to nuPlan, which, for the first time, enables policies trained via RL at scale to be evaluated on an established planning benchmark for autonomous driving. Complementarily, we offer an evaluation framework that allows planners to be benchmarked directly inside the PufferDrive simulation, at a fraction of the time. Regarding Complexity, we observe that today's standardized benchmarks are so simple that near-perfect scores are achievable by straight lane following with collision checking. We extract a meaningful, interaction-rich split from the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) on which strong performance is impossible without multi-agent reasoning. Lastly, we address Behavior Diversity. Existing benchmarks commonly evaluate planners against a single rule-based traffic model, the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM). We provide a diverse suite of interactive traffic agents to stress-test policies under heterogeneous behaviors, beyond just using IDM. Overall, our benchmarking analysis uncovers the following insight: despite learning interactive behaviors in an emergent manner, policies trained via pure self-play under standard reward functions overfit to their training opponents and fail to generalize to other traffic agent behaviors. Building on this observation, we propose a hybrid planner that combines a PPO policy with a rule-based planner.

Steffen Hagedorn, Luka Donkov, Aron Distelzweig et al.

Planner evaluation in closed-loop simulation often uses rule-based traffic agents, whose simplistic and passive behavior can hide planner deficiencies and bias rankings. Widely used IDM agents simply follow a lead vehicle and cannot react to vehicles in adjacent lanes, hindering tests of complex interaction capabilities. We address this issue by integrating the state-of-the-art learned traffic agent model SMART into nuPlan. Thus, we are the first to evaluate planners under more realistic conditions and quantify how conclusions shift when narrowing the sim-to-real gap. Our analysis covers 14 recent planners and established baselines and shows that IDM-based simulation overestimates planning performance: nearly all scores deteriorate. In contrast, many planners interact better than previously assumed and even improve in multi-lane, interaction-heavy scenarios like lane changes or turns. Methods trained in closed-loop demonstrate the best and most stable driving performance. However, when reaching their limits in augmented edge-case scenarios, all learned planners degrade abruptly, whereas rule-based planners maintain reasonable basic behavior. Based on our results, we suggest SMART-reactive simulation as a new standard closed-loop benchmark in nuPlan and release the SMART agents as a drop-in alternative to IDM at https://github.com/shgd95/InteractiveClosedLoop.

Steffen Hagedorn, Aron Distelzweig, Marcel Hallgarten et al.

In automated driving, predicting trajectories of surrounding vehicles supports reasoning about scene dynamics and enables safe planning for the ego vehicle. However, existing models handle predictions as an instantaneous task of forecasting future trajectories based on observed information. As time proceeds, the next prediction is made independently of the previous one, which means that the model cannot correct its errors during inference and will repeat them. To alleviate this problem and better leverage temporal data, we propose a novel retrospection technique. Through training on closed-loop rollouts the model learns to use aggregated feedback. Given new observations it reflects on previous predictions and analyzes its errors to improve the quality of subsequent predictions. Thus, the model can learn to correct systematic errors during inference. Comprehensive experiments on nuScenes and Argoverse demonstrate a considerable decrease in minimum Average Displacement Error of up to 31.9% compared to the state-of-the-art baseline without retrospection. We further showcase the robustness of our technique by demonstrating a better handling of out-of-distribution scenarios with undetected road-users.