Daniel Zhang

Daniel Zhang, Nestor Maslej, Erik Brynjolfsson et al. · salesforce, stanford

Welcome to the fifth edition of the AI Index Report! The latest edition includes data from a broad set of academic, private, and nonprofit organizations as well as more self-collected data and original analysis than any previous editions, including an expanded technical performance chapter, a new survey of robotics researchers around the world, data on global AI legislation records in 25 countries, and a new chapter with an in-depth analysis of technical AI ethics metrics. The AI Index Report tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data related to artificial intelligence. Its mission is to provide unbiased, rigorously vetted, and globally sourced data for policymakers, researchers, executives, journalists, and the general public to develop a more thorough and nuanced understanding of the complex field of AI. The report aims to be the world's most credible and authoritative source for data and insights about AI.

Rishi Bommasani, Kevin Klyman, Shayne Longpre et al.

Foundation models have rapidly permeated society, catalyzing a wave of generative AI applications spanning enterprise and consumer-facing contexts. While the societal impact of foundation models is growing, transparency is on the decline, mirroring the opacity that has plagued past digital technologies (e.g. social media). Reversing this trend is essential: transparency is a vital precondition for public accountability, scientific innovation, and effective governance. To assess the transparency of the foundation model ecosystem and help improve transparency over time, we introduce the Foundation Model Transparency Index. The Foundation Model Transparency Index specifies 100 fine-grained indicators that comprehensively codify transparency for foundation models, spanning the upstream resources used to build a foundation model (e.g data, labor, compute), details about the model itself (e.g. size, capabilities, risks), and the downstream use (e.g. distribution channels, usage policies, affected geographies). We score 10 major foundation model developers (e.g. OpenAI, Google, Meta) against the 100 indicators to assess their transparency. To facilitate and standardize assessment, we score developers in relation to their practices for their flagship foundation model (e.g. GPT-4 for OpenAI, PaLM 2 for Google, Llama 2 for Meta). We present 10 top-level findings about the foundation model ecosystem: for example, no developer currently discloses significant information about the downstream impact of its flagship model, such as the number of users, affected market sectors, or how users can seek redress for harm. Overall, the Foundation Model Transparency Index establishes the level of transparency today to drive progress on foundation model governance via industry standards and regulatory intervention.

Daniel Zhang

Time series data are observations collected over time intervals. Successful analysis of time series data captures patterns such as trends, cyclicity and irregularity, which are crucial for decision making in research, business, and governance. However, missing values in time series data occur often and present obstacles to successful analysis, thus they need to be filled with alternative values, a process called imputation. Although various approaches have been attempted for robust imputation of time series data, even the most advanced methods still face challenges including limited scalability, poor capacity to handle heterogeneous data types and inflexibility due to requiring strong assumptions of data missing mechanisms. Moreover, the imputation accuracy of these methods still has room for improvement. In this study, I developed tsDataWig (time-series DataWig) by modifying DataWig, a neural network-based method that possesses the capacity to process large datasets and heterogeneous data types but was designed for non-time series data imputation. Unlike the original DataWig, tsDataWig can directly handle values of time variables and impute missing values in complex time series datasets. Using one simulated and three different complex real-world time series datasets, I demonstrated that tsDataWig outperforms the original DataWig and the current state-of-the-art methods for time series data imputation and potentially has broad application due to not requiring strong assumptions of data missing mechanisms. This study provides a valuable solution for robustly imputing missing values in challenging time series datasets, which often contain millions of samples, high dimensional variables, and heterogeneous data types.

Daniel Zhang, Saurabh Mishra, Erik Brynjolfsson et al.

Welcome to the fourth edition of the AI Index Report. This year we significantly expanded the amount of data available in the report, worked with a broader set of external organizations to calibrate our data, and deepened our connections with the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI). The AI Index Report tracks, collates, distills, and visualizes data related to artificial intelligence. Its mission is to provide unbiased, rigorously vetted, and globally sourced data for policymakers, researchers, executives, journalists, and the general public to develop intuitions about the complex field of AI. The report aims to be the most credible and authoritative source for data and insights about AI in the world.

Yang Zhang, Daniel Zhang, Nathan Vance et al.

Social sensing has emerged as a new sensing paradigm where humans (or devices on their behalf) collectively report measurements about the physical world. This paper focuses on a quality-cost-aware task allocation problem in multi-attribute social sensing applications. The goal is to identify a task allocation strategy (i.e., decide when and where to collect sensing data) to achieve an optimized tradeoff between the data quality and the sensing cost. While recent progress has been made to tackle similar problems, three important challenges have not been well addressed: (i) "online task allocation": the task allocation schemes need to respond quickly to the potentially large dynamics of the measured variables in social sensing; (ii) "multi-attribute constrained optimization": minimizing the overall sensing error given the dependencies and constraints of multiple attributes of the measured variables is a non-trivial problem to solve; (iii) "nonuniform task allocation cost": the task allocation cost in social sensing often has a nonuniform distribution which adds additional complexity to the optimized task allocation problem. This paper develops a Quality-Cost-Aware Online Task Allocation (QCO-TA) scheme to address the above challenges using a principled online reinforcement learning framework. We evaluate the QCO-TA scheme through a real-world social sensing application and the results show that our scheme significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art baselines in terms of both sensing accuracy and cost.

Lanyu Shang, Daniel Zhang, Michael Wang et al.

Online video sharing platforms (e.g., YouTube, Vimeo) have become an increasingly popular paradigm for people to consume video contents. Clickbait video, whose content clearly deviates from its title/thumbnail, has emerged as a critical problem on online video sharing platforms. Current clickbait detection solutions that mainly focus on analyzing the text of the title, the image of the thumbnail, or the content of the video are shown to be suboptimal in detecting the online clickbait videos. In this paper, we develop a novel content-agnostic scheme, Online Video Clickbait Protector (OVCP), to effectively detect clickbait videos by exploring the comments from the audience who watched the video. Different from existing solutions, OVCP does not directly analyze the content of the video and its pre-click information (e.g., title and thumbnail). Therefore, it is robust against sophisticated content creators who often generate clickbait videos that can bypass the current clickbait detectors. We evaluate OVCP with a real-world dataset collected from YouTube. Experimental results demonstrate that OVCP is effective in identifying clickbait videos and significantly outperforms both state-of-the-art baseline models and human annotators.

Daniel Zhang, Nathan Vance, Dong Wang

This paper overviews the state of the art, research challenges, and future opportunities in an emerging research direction: Social Sensing based Edge Computing (SSEC). Social sensing has emerged as a new sensing application paradigm where measurements about the physical world are collected from humans or from devices on their behalf. The advent of edge computing pushes the frontier of computation, service, and data along the cloud-to-things continuum. The merging of these two technical trends generates a set of new research challenges that need to be addressed. In this paper, we first define the new SSEC paradigm that is motivated by a few underlying technology trends. We then present a few representative real-world case studies of SSEC applications and several key research challenges that exist in those applications. Finally, we envision a few exciting research directions in future SSEC. We hope this paper will stimulate discussions of this emerging research direction in the community.