STSep 29, 2024
Stock Price Prediction and Traditional Models: An Approach to Achieve Short-, Medium- and Long-Term GoalsOpeyemi Sheu Alamu, Md Kamrul Siam
A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement models such as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA). These models are assessed over three-time horizons: short-term (1 year), medium-term (2.5 years), and long-term (5 years), with performance measured by Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The stability of the time series is tested using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. Results reveal that deep learning models, particularly LSTM, outperform traditional methods by capturing complex, nonlinear patterns in the data, resulting in more accurate predictions. However, these models require greater computational resources and offer less interpretability than traditional approaches. The findings highlight the potential of deep learning for improving financial forecasting and investment strategies. Future research could incorporate external factors such as social media sentiment and economic indicators, refine model architectures, and explore real-time applications to enhance prediction accuracy and scalability.
CVFeb 12
A Lightweight and Explainable DenseNet-121 Framework for Grape Leaf Disease ClassificationMd. Ehsanul Haque, Md. Saymon Hosen Polash, Rakib Hasan Ovi et al.
Grapes are among the most economically and culturally significant fruits on a global scale, and table grapes and wine are produced in significant quantities in Europe and Asia. The production and quality of grapes are significantly impacted by grape diseases such as Bacterial Rot, Downy Mildew, and Powdery Mildew. Consequently, the sustainable management of a vineyard necessitates the early and precise identification of these diseases. Current automated methods, particularly those that are based on the YOLO framework, are often computationally costly and lack interpretability that makes them unsuitable for real-world scenarios. This study proposes grape leaf disease classification using Optimized DenseNet 121. Domain-specific preprocessing and extensive connectivity reveal disease-relevant characteristics, including veins, edges, and lesions. An extensive comparison with baseline CNN models, including ResNet18, VGG16, AlexNet, and SqueezeNet, demonstrates that the proposed model exhibits superior performance. It achieves an accuracy of 99.27%, an F1 score of 99.28%, a specificity of 99.71%, and a Kappa of 98.86%, with an inference time of 9 seconds. The cross-validation findings show a mean accuracy of 99.12%, indicating strength and generalizability across all classes. We also employ Grad-CAM to highlight disease-related regions to guarantee the model is highlighting physiologically relevant aspects and increase transparency and confidence. Model optimization reduces processing requirements for real-time deployment, while transfer learning ensures consistency on smaller and unbalanced samples. An effective architecture, domain-specific preprocessing, and interpretable outputs make the proposed framework scalable, precise, and computationally inexpensive for detecting grape leaf diseases.
ROJul 10, 2024
Missile detection and destruction robot using detection algorithmMd Kamrul Siam, Shafayet Ahmed, Md Habibur Rahman et al.
This research is based on the present missile detection technologies in the world and the analysis of these technologies to find a cost effective solution to implement the system in Bangladesh. The paper will give an idea of the missile detection technologies using the electro-optical sensor and the pulse doppler radar. The system is made to detect the target missile. Automatic detection and destruction with the help of ultrasonic sonar, a metal detector sensor, and a smoke detector sensor. The system is mainly based on an ultrasonic sonar sensor. It has a transducer, a transmitter, and a receiver. Transducer is connected with the connected with controller. When it detects an object by following the algorithm, it finds its distance and angle. It can also assure whether the system can destroy the object or not by using another algorithm's simulation.
SENov 14, 2024
Programming with AI: Evaluating ChatGPT, Gemini, AlphaCode, and GitHub Copilot for ProgrammersMd Kamrul Siam, Huanying Gu, Jerry Q. Cheng
Our everyday lives now heavily rely on artificial intelligence (AI) powered large language models (LLMs). Like regular users, programmers are also benefiting from the newest large language models. In response to the critical role that AI models play in modern software development, this study presents a thorough evaluation of leading programming assistants, including ChatGPT, Gemini(Bard AI), AlphaCode, and GitHub Copilot. The evaluation is based on tasks like natural language processing and code generation accuracy in different programming languages like Java, Python and C++. Based on the results, it has emphasized their strengths and weaknesses and the importance of further modifications to increase the reliability and accuracy of the latest popular models. Although these AI assistants illustrate a high level of progress in language understanding and code generation, along with ethical considerations and responsible usage, they provoke a necessity for discussion. With time, developing more refined AI technology is essential for achieving advanced solutions in various fields, especially with the knowledge of the feature intricacies of these models and their implications. This study offers a comparison of different LLMs and provides essential feedback on the rapidly changing area of AI models. It also emphasizes the need for ethical developmental practices to actualize AI models' full potential.
GNNov 18, 2024
Leveraging Gene Expression Data and Explainable Machine Learning for Enhanced Early Detection of Type 2 DiabetesAurora Lithe Roy, Md Kamrul Siam, Nuzhat Noor Islam Prova et al.
Diabetes, particularly Type 2 diabetes (T2D), poses a substantial global health burden, compounded by its associated complications such as cardiovascular diseases, kidney failure, and vision impairment. Early detection of T2D is critical for improving healthcare outcomes and optimizing resource allocation. In this study, we address the gap in early T2D detection by leveraging machine learning (ML) techniques on gene expression data obtained from T2D patients. Our primary objective was to enhance the accuracy of early T2D detection through advanced ML methodologies and increase the model's trustworthiness using the explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) technique. Analyzing the biological mechanisms underlying T2D through gene expression datasets represents a novel research frontier, relatively less explored in previous studies. While numerous investigations have focused on utilizing clinical and demographic data for T2D prediction, the integration of molecular insights from gene expression datasets offers a unique and promising avenue for understanding the pathophysiology of the disease. By employing six ML classifiers on data sourced from NCBI's Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO), we observed promising performance across all models. Notably, the XGBoost classifier exhibited the highest accuracy, achieving 97%. Our study addresses a notable gap in early T2D detection methodologies, emphasizing the importance of leveraging gene expression data and advanced ML techniques.
CLOct 16, 2025
Fusion-Augmented Large Language Models: Boosting Diagnostic Trustworthiness via Model ConsensusMd Kamrul Siam, Md Jobair Hossain Faruk, Jerry Q. Cheng et al.
This study presents a novel multi-model fusion framework leveraging two state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs), ChatGPT and Claude, to enhance the reliability of chest X-ray interpretation on the CheXpert dataset. From the full CheXpert corpus of 224,316 chest radiographs, we randomly selected 234 radiologist-annotated studies to evaluate unimodal performance using image-only prompts. In this setting, ChatGPT and Claude achieved diagnostic accuracies of 62.8% and 76.9%, respectively. A similarity-based consensus approach, using a 95% output similarity threshold, improved accuracy to 77.6%. To assess the impact of multimodal inputs, we then generated synthetic clinical notes following the MIMIC-CXR template and evaluated a separate subset of 50 randomly selected cases paired with both images and synthetic text. On this multimodal cohort, performance improved to 84% for ChatGPT and 76% for Claude, while consensus accuracy reached 91.3%. Across both experimental conditions, agreement-based fusion consistently outperformed individual models. These findings highlight the utility of integrating complementary modalities and using output-level consensus to improve the trustworthiness and clinical utility of AI-assisted radiological diagnosis, offering a practical path to reduce diagnostic errors with minimal computational overhead.
CRApr 24, 2025
Optimized Approaches to Malware Detection: A Study of Machine Learning and Deep Learning TechniquesAbrar Fahim, Shamik Dey, Md. Nurul Absur et al.
Digital systems find it challenging to keep up with cybersecurity threats. The daily emergence of more than 560,000 new malware strains poses significant hazards to the digital ecosystem. The traditional malware detection methods fail to operate properly and yield high false positive rates with low accuracy of the protection system. This study explores the ways in which malware can be detected using these machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) approaches to address those shortcomings. This study also includes a systematic comparison of the performance of some of the widely used ML models, such as random forest, multi-layer perceptron (MLP), and deep neural network (DNN), for determining the effectiveness of the domain of modern malware threat systems. We use a considerable-sized database from Kaggle, which has undergone optimized feature selection and preprocessing to improve model performance. Our finding suggests that the DNN model outperformed the other traditional models with the highest training accuracy of 99.92% and an almost perfect AUC score. Furthermore, the feature selection and preprocessing can help improve the capabilities of detection. This research makes an important contribution by analyzing the performance of the model on the performance metrics and providing insight into the effectiveness of the advanced detection techniques to build more robust and more reliable cybersecurity solutions against the growing malware threats.
LGOct 17, 2024
Predicting Breast Cancer Survival: A Survival Analysis Approach Using Log Odds and Clinical VariablesOpeyemi Sheu Alamu, Bismar Jorge Gutierrez Choque, Syed Wajeeh Abbs Rizvi et al.
Breast cancer remains a significant global health challenge, with prognosis and treatment decisions largely dependent on clinical characteristics. Accurate prediction of patient outcomes is crucial for personalized treatment strategies. This study employs survival analysis techniques, including Cox proportional hazards and parametric survival models, to enhance the prediction of the log odds of survival in breast cancer patients. Clinical variables such as tumor size, hormone receptor status, HER2 status, age, and treatment history were analyzed to assess their impact on survival outcomes. Data from 1557 breast cancer patients were obtained from a publicly available dataset provided by the University College Hospital, Ibadan, Nigeria. This dataset was preprocessed and analyzed using both univariate and multivariate approaches to evaluate survival outcomes. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated to visualize survival probabilities, while the Cox proportional hazards model identified key risk factors influencing mortality. The results showed that older age, larger tumor size, and HER2-positive status were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. In contrast, estrogen receptor positivity and breast-conserving surgery were linked to better survival outcomes. The findings suggest that integrating these clinical variables into predictive models improvesthe accuracy of survival predictions, helping to identify high-risk patients who may benefit from more aggressive interventions. This study demonstrates the potential of survival analysis in optimizing breast cancer care, particularly in resource-limited settings. Future research should focus on integrating genomic data and real-world clinical outcomes to further refine these models.