Link-aware link prediction over temporal graph by pattern recognitionBingqing Liu, Xikun Huang
A temporal graph can be considered as a stream of links, each of which represents an interaction between two nodes at a certain time. On temporal graphs, link prediction is a common task, which aims to answer whether the query link is true or not. To do this task, previous methods usually focus on the learning of representations of the two nodes in the query link. We point out that the learned representation by their models may encode too much information with side effects for link prediction because they have not utilized the information of the query link, i.e., they are link-unaware. Based on this observation, we propose a link-aware model: historical links and the query link are input together into the following model layers to distinguish whether this input implies a reasonable pattern that ends with the query link. During this process, we focus on the modeling of link evolution patterns rather than node representations. Experiments on six datasets show that our model achieves strong performances compared with state-of-the-art baselines, and the results of link prediction are interpretable. The code and datasets are available on the project website: https://github.com/lbq8942/TGACN.
Cumulative Hazard Function Based Efficient Multivariate Temporal Point Process LearningBingqing Liu
Most existing temporal point process models are characterized by conditional intensity function. These models often require numerical approximation methods for likelihood evaluation, which potentially hurts their performance. By directly modelling the integral of the intensity function, i.e., the cumulative hazard function (CHF), the likelihood can be evaluated accurately, making it a promising approach. However, existing CHF-based methods are not well-defined, i.e., the mathematical constraints of CHF are not completely satisfied, leading to untrustworthy results. For multivariate temporal point process, most existing methods model intensity (or density, etc.) functions for each variate, limiting the scalability. In this paper, we explore using neural networks to model a flexible but well-defined CHF and learning the multivariate temporal point process with low parameter complexity. Experimental results on six datasets show that the proposed model achieves the state-of-the-art performance on data fitting and event prediction tasks while having significantly fewer parameters and memory usage than the strong competitors. The source code and data can be obtained from https://github.com/lbq8942/NPP.
6.4LGApr 9, 2024
Interpretable Neural Temporal Point Processes for Modelling Electronic Health RecordsBingqing Liu
Electronic Health Records (EHR) can be represented as temporal sequences that record the events (medical visits) from patients. Neural temporal point process (NTPP) has achieved great success in modeling event sequences that occur in continuous time space. However, due to the black-box nature of neural networks, existing NTPP models fall short in explaining the dependencies between different event types. In this paper, inspired by word2vec and Hawkes process, we propose an interpretable framework inf2vec for event sequence modelling, where the event influences are directly parameterized and can be learned end-to-end. In the experiment, we demonstrate the superiority of our model on event prediction as well as type-type influences learning.