Xiaoyang Xu

Haiping Zhu, Hongming Shan, Yuheng Zhang et al.

Image ordinal estimation is to predict the ordinal label of a given image, which can be categorized as an ordinal regression problem. Recent methods formulate an ordinal regression problem as a series of binary classification problems. Such methods cannot ensure that the global ordinal relationship is preserved since the relationships among different binary classifiers are neglected. We propose a novel ordinal regression approach, termed Convolutional Ordinal Regression Forest or CORF, for image ordinal estimation, which can integrate ordinal regression and differentiable decision trees with a convolutional neural network for obtaining precise and stable global ordinal relationships. The advantages of the proposed CORF are twofold. First, instead of learning a series of binary classifiers \emph{independently}, the proposed method aims at learning an ordinal distribution for ordinal regression by optimizing those binary classifiers \emph{simultaneously}. Second, the differentiable decision trees in the proposed CORF can be trained together with the ordinal distribution in an end-to-end manner. The effectiveness of the proposed CORF is verified on two image ordinal estimation tasks, i.e. facial age estimation and image aesthetic assessment, showing significant improvements and better stability over the state-of-the-art ordinal regression methods.

Yiqun Liu, Shouzhen Chen, Lei Chen et al.

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) can reduce human suffering by predicting disastrous precipitation in time. A commonly-used NWP in the world is the European Centre for medium-range weather forecasts (EC). However, it is necessary to correct EC forecast through Bias Correcting on Precipitation (BCoP) since we still have not fully understood the mechanism of precipitation, making EC often have some biases. The existing BCoPs suffers from limited prior data and the fixed Spatio-Temporal (ST) scale. We thus propose an end-to-end deep-learning BCoP model named Spatio-Temporal feature Auto-Selective (STAS) model to select optimal ST regularity from EC via the ST Feature-selective Mechanisms (SFM/TFM). Given different input features, these two mechanisms can automatically adjust the spatial and temporal scales for correcting. Experiments on an EC public dataset indicate that compared with 8 published BCoP methods, STAS shows state-of-the-art performance on several criteria of BCoP, named threat scores (TS). Further, ablation studies justify that the SFM/TFM indeed work well in boosting the performance of BCoP, especially on the heavy precipitation.

Xiaoyang Xu, Yiqun Liu, Hanqing Chao et al.

With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and conventional meteorological models, the numerical precipitation predictions are often highly biased. To correct this bias, classical correction methods heavily depend on profound experts who have knowledge in aerodynamics, thermodynamics and meteorology. As precipitation can be influenced by countless factors, however, the performances of these expert-driven methods can drop drastically when some un-modeled factors change. To address this issue, this paper presents a data-driven deep learning model which mainly includes two blocks, i.e. a Denoising Autoencoder Block and an Ordinal Regression Block. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first expert-free models for bias correction. The proposed model can effectively correct the numerical precipitation prediction based on 37 basic meteorological data from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Experiments indicate that compared with several classical machine learning algorithms and deep learning models, our method achieves the best correcting performance and meteorological index, namely the threat scores (TS), obtaining satisfactory visualization effect.