Guanhao Xu

Haowen Xu, Jinghui Yuan, Anye Zhou et al.

Leveraging recent advances in generative AI, multi-agent systems are increasingly being developed to enhance the functionality and efficiency of smart city applications. This paper explores the transformative potential of large language models (LLMs) and emerging Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) technologies in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), paving the way for innovative solutions to address critical challenges in urban mobility. We begin by providing a comprehensive overview of the current state-of-the-art in mobility data, ITS, and Connected Vehicles (CV) applications. Building on this review, we discuss the rationale behind RAG and examine the opportunities for integrating these Generative AI (GenAI) technologies into the smart mobility sector. We propose a conceptual framework aimed at developing multi-agent systems capable of intelligently and conversationally delivering smart mobility services to urban commuters, transportation operators, and decision-makers. Our approach seeks to foster an autonomous and intelligent approach that (a) promotes science-based advisory to reduce traffic congestion, accidents, and carbon emissions at multiple scales, (b) facilitates public education and engagement in participatory mobility management, and (c) automates specialized transportation management tasks and the development of critical ITS platforms, such as data analytics and interpretation, knowledge representation, and traffic simulations. By integrating LLM and RAG, our approach seeks to overcome the limitations of traditional rule-based multi-agent systems, which rely on fixed knowledge bases and limited reasoning capabilities. This integration paves the way for a more scalable, intuitive, and automated multi-agent paradigm, driving advancements in ITS and urban mobility.

Abhilasha Saroj, Shaked Regev, Guanhao Xu et al.

Traffic simulation and digital-twin calibration is a challenging optimization problem with a limited simulation budget. Each trial requires an expensive simulation run, and the relationship between calibration inputs and model error is often nonconvex, and noisy. The problem becomes more difficult as the number of calibration parameters increases. We compare a commonly used automatic calibration method, a genetic algorithm (GA), with Bayesian optimization methods (BOMs): classical Bayesian optimization (BO), Trust-Region BO (TuRBO), Multi-TuRBO, and a proposed Memory-Guided TuRBO (MG-TuRBO) method. We compare performance on 2 real-world traffic simulation calibration problems with 14 and 84 decision variables, representing lower- and higher-dimensional (14D and 84D) settings. For BOMs, we study two acquisition strategies, Thompson sampling and a novel adaptive strategy. We evaluate performance using final calibration quality, convergence behavior, and consistency across runs. The results show that BOMs reach good calibration targets much faster than GA in the lower-D problem. MG-TuRBO performs comparably in our 14D setting, it demonstrates noticeable advantages in the 84D problem, particularly when paired with our adaptive strategy. Our results suggest that MG-TuRBO is especially useful for high-D traffic simulation calibration and potentially for high-D problems in general.

Ke Liu, Kaijing Ding, Xi Cheng et al.

Since flight delay hurts passengers, airlines, and airports, its prediction becomes crucial for the decision-making of all stakeholders in the aviation industry and thus has been attempted by various previous research. However, previous delay predictions are often categorical and at a highly aggregated level. To improve that, this study proposes to apply the novel Temporal Fusion Transformer model and predict numerical airport arrival delays at quarter hour level for U.S. top 30 airports. Inputs to our model include airport demand and capacity forecasts, historic airport operation efficiency information, airport wind and visibility conditions, as well as enroute weather and traffic conditions. The results show that our model achieves satisfactory performance measured by small prediction errors on the test set. In addition, the interpretability analysis of the model outputs identifies the important input factors for delay prediction.