David J. Sher

Michael Dohopolski, Kai Wang, Biling Wang et al.

Prediction uncertainty estimation has clinical significance as it can potentially quantify prediction reliability. Clinicians may trust 'blackbox' models more if robust reliability information is available, which may lead to more models being adopted into clinical practice. There are several deep learning-inspired uncertainty estimation techniques, but few are implemented on medical datasets -- fewer on single institutional datasets/models. We sought to compare dropout variational inference (DO), test-time augmentation (TTA), conformal predictions, and single deterministic methods for estimating uncertainty using our model trained to predict feeding tube placement for 271 head and neck cancer patients treated with radiation. We compared the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) trends for each method at various cutoffs that sought to stratify patients into 'certain' and 'uncertain' cohorts. These cutoffs were obtained by calculating the percentile "uncertainty" within the validation cohort and applied to the testing cohort. Broadly, the AUC, sensitivity, and NPV increased as the predictions were more 'certain' -- i.e., lower uncertainty estimates. However, when a majority vote (implementing 2/3 criteria: DO, TTA, conformal predictions) or a stricter approach (3/3 criteria) were used, AUC, sensitivity, and NPV improved without a notable loss in specificity or PPV. Especially for smaller, single institutional datasets, it may be important to evaluate multiple estimations techniques before incorporating a model into clinical practice.

Meixu Chen, Kai Wang, Michael Dohopolski et al.

Early identification of head and neck cancer (HNC) patients who would experience significant anatomical change during radiotherapy (RT) is important to optimize patient clinical benefit and treatment resources. This study aims to assess the feasibility of using a vision-transformer (ViT) based neural network to predict RT-induced anatomic change in HNC patients. We retrospectively included 121 HNC patients treated with definitive RT/CRT. We collected the planning CT (pCT), planned dose, CBCTs acquired at the initial treatment (CBCT01) and fraction 21 (CBCT21), and primary tumor volume (GTVp) and involved nodal volume (GTVn) delineated on both pCT and CBCTs for model construction and evaluation. A UNet-style ViT network was designed to learn spatial correspondence and contextual information from embedded CT, dose, CBCT01, GTVp, and GTVn image patches. The model estimated the deformation vector field between CBCT01 and CBCT21 as the prediction of anatomic change, and deformed CBCT01 was used as the prediction of CBCT21. We also generated binary masks of GTVp, GTVn, and patient body for volumetric change evaluation. The predicted image from the proposed method yielded the best similarity to the real image (CBCT21) over pCT, CBCT01, and predicted CBCTs from other comparison models. The average MSE and SSIM between the normalized predicted CBCT to CBCT21 are 0.009 and 0.933, while the average dice coefficient between body mask, GTVp mask, and GTVn mask are 0.972, 0.792, and 0.821 respectively. The proposed method showed promising performance for predicting radiotherapy-induced anatomic change, which has the potential to assist in the decision-making of HNC Adaptive RT.

Ti Bai, Anjali Balagopal, Michael Dohopolski et al.

Automatic segmentation of anatomical structures is critical for many medical applications. However, the results are not always clinically acceptable and require tedious manual revision. Here, we present a novel concept called artificial intelligence assisted contour revision (AIACR) and demonstrate its feasibility. The proposed clinical workflow of AIACR is as follows given an initial contour that requires a clinicians revision, the clinician indicates where a large revision is needed, and a trained deep learning (DL) model takes this input to update the contour. This process repeats until a clinically acceptable contour is achieved. The DL model is designed to minimize the clinicians input at each iteration and to minimize the number of iterations needed to reach acceptance. In this proof-of-concept study, we demonstrated the concept on 2D axial images of three head-and-neck cancer datasets, with the clinicians input at each iteration being one mouse click on the desired location of the contour segment. The performance of the model is quantified with Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) and 95th percentile of Hausdorff Distance (HD95). The average DSC/HD95 (mm) of the auto-generated initial contours were 0.82/4.3, 0.73/5.6 and 0.67/11.4 for three datasets, which were improved to 0.91/2.1, 0.86/2.4 and 0.86/4.7 with three mouse clicks, respectively. Each DL-based contour update requires around 20 ms. We proposed a novel AIACR concept that uses DL models to assist clinicians in revising contours in an efficient and effective way, and we demonstrated its feasibility by using 2D axial CT images from three head-and-neck cancer datasets.