Yongli Zhu

Yongli Zhu, Chanan Singh

Conventional power system reliability suffers from the long run time of Monte Carlo simulation and the dimension-curse of analytic enumeration methods. This paper proposes a preliminary investigation on end-to-end machine learning for directly predicting the reliability index, e.g., the Loss of Load Probability (LOLP). By encoding the system admittance matrix into the input feature, the proposed machine learning pipeline can consider the impact of specific topology changes due to regular maintenances of transmission lines. Two models (Support Vector Machine and Boosting Trees) are trained and compared. Details regarding the training data creation and preprocessing are also discussed. Finally, experiments are conducted on the IEEE RTS-79 system. Results demonstrate the applicability of the proposed end-to-end machine learning pipeline in reliability assessment.

Linna Xu, Yongli Zhu

As a key component of power system production simulation, load forecasting is critical for the stable operation of power systems. Machine learning methods prevail in this field. However, the limited training data can be a challenge. This paper proposes a generative model-assisted approach for load forecasting under small sample scenarios, consisting of two steps: expanding the dataset using a diffusion-based generative model and then training various machine learning regressors on the augmented dataset to identify the best performer. The expanded dataset significantly reduces forecasting errors compared to the original dataset, and the diffusion model outperforms the generative adversarial model by achieving about 200 times smaller errors and better alignment in latent data distributions.

Shan Yang, Yongli Zhu

This paper presents a study on using different offline reinforcement learning algorithms for microgrid voltage regulation with solar power penetration. When environment interaction is unviable due to technical or safety reasons, the proposed approach can still obtain an applicable model through offline-style training on a previously collected dataset, lowering the negative impact of lacking online environment interactions. Experiment results on the IEEE 33-bus system demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach on different offline datasets, including the one with merely low-quality experience.

Bo Meng, Chenghao Xu, Yongli Zhu

Cascading failures in power grids can lead to grid collapse, causing severe disruptions to social operations and economic activities. In certain cases, multi-stage cascading failures can occur. However, existing cascading-failure-mitigation strategies are usually single-stage-based, overlooking the complexity of the multi-stage scenario. This paper treats the multi-stage cascading failure problem as a reinforcement learning task and develops a simulation environment. The reinforcement learning agent is then trained via the deterministic policy gradient algorithm to achieve continuous actions. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed approach is validated on the IEEE 14-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems.

Yongli Zhu

This paper proposes a cascading failure mitigation strategy based on Reinforcement Learning (RL). The motivation of the Multi-Stage Cascading Failure (MSCF) problem and its connection with the challenge of climate change are introduced. The bottom-level corrective control of the MCSF problem is formulated based on DCOPF (Direct Current Optimal Power Flow). Then, to mitigate the MSCF issue by a high-level RL-based strategy, physics-informed reward, action, and state are devised. Besides, both shallow and deep neural network architectures are tested. Experiments on the IEEE 118-bus system by the proposed mitigation strategy demonstrate a promising performance in reducing system collapses.

Yongli Zhu, Chengxi Liu

This paper proposes a cascading failure mitigation strategy based on Reinforcement Learning (RL) method. Firstly, the principles of RL are introduced. Then, the Multi-Stage Cascading Failure (MSCF) problem is presented and its challenges are investigated. The problem is then tackled by the RL based on DC-OPF (Optimal Power Flow). Designs of the key elements of the RL framework (rewards, states, etc.) are also discussed in detail. Experiments on the IEEE 118-bus system by both shallow and deep neural networks demonstrate promising results in terms of reduced system collapse rates.

Yongli Zhu, Chengxi Liu, Renchang Dai et al.

A placement problem for multiple Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) units is formulated towards power system transient voltage stability enhancement in this paper. The problem is solved by the Cross-Entropy (CE) optimization method. A simulation-based approach is adopted to incorporate higher-order dynamics and nonlinearities of generators and loads. The objective is to maximize the voltage stability index, which is set up based on certain grid-codes. Formulations of the optimization problem are then discussed. Finally, the proposed approach is implemented in MATLAB/DIgSILENT and tested on the New England 39-Bus system. Results indicate that installing BESS units at the optimized location can alleviate transient voltage instability issue compared with the original system with no BESS. The CE placement algorithm is also compared with the classic PSO (Particle Swarm Optimization) method, and its superiority is demonstrated in terms of fewer iterations for convergence with better solution qualities.

Yongli Zhu, Songtao Lu, Renchang Dai et al.

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and PJM day-ahead markets are used in this study. First, a LSTM network is formulated and trained. Then the raw input and output data are preprocessed by unit scaling, and the trained network is tested on the real price data under different input lengths, forecasting horizons and data sizes. Its performance is also compared with other existing methods. The forecasted results demonstrate that, the LSTM deep neural network can outperform the others under different application settings in this problem.