Physics Informed Neural Network for Option PricingAshish Dhiman, Yibei Hu
We apply a physics-informed deep-learning approach the PINN approach to the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American and European options. We test our approach on both simulated as well as real market data, compare it to analytical/numerical benchmarks. Our model is able to accurately capture the price behaviour on simulation data, while also exhibiting reasonable performance for market data. We also experiment with the architecture and learning process of our PINN model to provide more understanding of convergence and stability issues that impact performance.
UQ for Credit Risk Management: A deep evidence regression approachAshish Dhiman
Machine Learning has invariantly found its way into various Credit Risk applications. Due to the intrinsic nature of Credit Risk, quantifying the uncertainty of the predicted risk metrics is essential, and applying uncertainty-aware deep learning models to credit risk settings can be very helpful. In this work, we have explored the application of a scalable UQ-aware deep learning technique, Deep Evidence Regression and applied it to predicting Loss Given Default. We contribute to the literature by extending the Deep Evidence Regression methodology to learning target variables generated by a Weibull process and provide the relevant learning framework. We demonstrate the application of our approach to both simulated and real-world data.