9.4ROSep 25, 2024
Building Real-time Awareness of Out-of-distribution in Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous VehiclesTongfe Guo, Taposh Banerjee, Rui Liu et al.
Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data and real-world conditions encountered during inference. In particular, the training dataset tends to overrepresent common scenes (e.g., straight lanes) while underrepresenting less frequent ones (e.g., traffic circles). In addition, it often overlooks unpredictable real-world events such as sudden braking or falling objects. To ensure safety, it is critical to detect in real-time when a model's predictions become unreliable. Leveraging the intuition that in-distribution (ID) scenes exhibit error patterns similar to training data, while out-of-distribution (OOD) scenes do not, we introduce a principled, real-time approach for OOD detection by framing it as a change-point detection problem. We address the challenging settings where the OOD scenes are deceptive, meaning that they are not easily detectable by human intuitions. Our lightweight solutions can handle the occurrence of OOD at any time during trajectory prediction inference. Experimental results on multiple real-world datasets using a benchmark trajectory prediction model demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.
1.2SPJul 2, 2018
Cyclostationary Statistical Models and Algorithms for Anomaly Detection Using Multi-Modal DataTaposh Banerjee, Gene Whipps, Prudhvi Gurram et al.
A framework is proposed to detect anomalies in multi-modal data. A deep neural network-based object detector is employed to extract counts of objects and sub-events from the data. A cyclostationary model is proposed to model regular patterns of behavior in the count sequences. The anomaly detection problem is formulated as a problem of detecting deviations from learned cyclostationary behavior. Sequential algorithms are proposed to detect anomalies using the proposed model. The proposed algorithms are shown to be asymptotically efficient in a well-defined sense. The developed algorithms are applied to a multi-modal data consisting of CCTV imagery and social media posts to detect a 5K run in New York City.
1.8MLFeb 26, 2017
Kiefer Wolfowitz Algorithm is Asymptotically Optimal for a Class of Non-Stationary Bandit ProblemsRahul Singh, Taposh Banerjee
We consider the problem of designing an allocation rule or an "online learning algorithm" for a class of bandit problems in which the set of control actions available at each time $s$ is a convex, compact subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$. Upon choosing an action $x$ at time $s$, the algorithm obtains a noisy value of the unknown and time-varying function $f_s$ evaluated at $x$. The "regret" of an algorithm is the gap between its expected reward, and the reward earned by a strategy which has the knowledge of the function $f_s$ at each time $s$ and hence chooses the action $x_s$ that maximizes $f_s$. For this non-stationary bandit problem set-up, we consider two variants of the Kiefer Wolfowitz (KW) algorithm i) KW with fixed step-size $β$, and ii) KW with sliding window of length $L$. We show that if the number of times that the function $f_s$ varies during time $T$ is $o(T)$, and if the learning rates of the proposed algorithms are chosen "optimally", then the regret of the proposed algorithms is $o(T)$, and hence the algorithms are asymptotically efficient.