Yan Sun

Faming Liang, Sehwan Kim, Yan Sun

While fiducial inference was widely considered a big blunder by R.A. Fisher, the goal he initially set --`inferring the uncertainty of model parameters on the basis of observations' -- has been continually pursued by many statisticians. To this end, we develop a new statistical inference method called extended Fiducial inference (EFI). The new method achieves the goal of fiducial inference by leveraging advanced statistical computing techniques while remaining scalable for big data. EFI involves jointly imputing random errors realized in observations using stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo and estimating the inverse function using a sparse deep neural network (DNN). The consistency of the sparse DNN estimator ensures that the uncertainty embedded in observations is properly propagated to model parameters through the estimated inverse function, thereby validating downstream statistical inference. Compared to frequentist and Bayesian methods, EFI offers significant advantages in parameter estimation and hypothesis testing. Specifically, EFI provides higher fidelity in parameter estimation, especially when outliers are present in the observations; and eliminates the need for theoretical reference distributions in hypothesis testing, thereby automating the statistical inference process. EFI also provides an innovative framework for semi-supervised learning.

Mingxuan Zhang, Yan Sun, Faming Liang

Large pretrained transformer models have revolutionized modern AI applications with their state-of-the-art performance in natural language processing (NLP). However, their substantial parameter count poses challenges for real-world deployment. To address this, researchers often reduce model size by pruning parameters based on their magnitude or sensitivity. Previous research has demonstrated the limitations of magnitude pruning, especially in the context of transfer learning for modern NLP tasks. In this paper, we introduce a new magnitude-based pruning algorithm called mixture Gaussian prior pruning (MGPP), which employs a mixture Gaussian prior for regularization. MGPP prunes non-expressive weights under the guidance of the mixture Gaussian prior, aiming to retain the model's expressive capability. Extensive evaluations across various NLP tasks, including natural language understanding, question answering, and natural language generation, demonstrate the superiority of MGPP over existing pruning methods, particularly in high sparsity settings. Additionally, we provide a theoretical justification for the consistency of the sparse transformer, shedding light on the effectiveness of the proposed pruning method.

Yan Sun, Wenjun Xiong, Faming Liang

Deep learning has powered recent successes of artificial intelligence (AI). However, the deep neural network, as the basic model of deep learning, has suffered from issues such as local traps and miscalibration. In this paper, we provide a new framework for sparse deep learning, which has the above issues addressed in a coherent way. In particular, we lay down a theoretical foundation for sparse deep learning and propose prior annealing algorithms for learning sparse neural networks. The former has successfully tamed the sparse deep neural network into the framework of statistical modeling, enabling prediction uncertainty correctly quantified. The latter can be asymptotically guaranteed to converge to the global optimum, enabling the validity of the down-stream statistical inference. Numerical result indicates the superiority of the proposed method compared to the existing ones.

Yan Sun, Qifan Song, Faming Liang

Deep learning has been the engine powering many successes of data science. However, the deep neural network (DNN), as the basic model of deep learning, is often excessively over-parameterized, causing many difficulties in training, prediction and interpretation. We propose a frequentist-like method for learning sparse DNNs and justify its consistency under the Bayesian framework: the proposed method could learn a sparse DNN with at most $O(n/\log(n))$ connections and nice theoretical guarantees such as posterior consistency, variable selection consistency and asymptotically optimal generalization bounds. In particular, we establish posterior consistency for the sparse DNN with a mixture Gaussian prior, show that the structure of the sparse DNN can be consistently determined using a Laplace approximation-based marginal posterior inclusion probability approach, and use Bayesian evidence to elicit sparse DNNs learned by an optimization method such as stochastic gradient descent in multiple runs with different initializations. The proposed method is computationally more efficient than standard Bayesian methods for large-scale sparse DNNs. The numerical results indicate that the proposed method can perform very well for large-scale network compression and high-dimensional nonlinear variable selection, both advancing interpretable machine learning.

Qifan Song, Yan Sun, Mao Ye et al.

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have received much attention in Bayesian computing for big data problems, but they are only applicable to a small class of problems for which the parameter space has a fixed dimension and the log-posterior density is differentiable with respect to the parameters. This paper proposes an extended stochastic gradient MCMC lgoriathm which, by introducing appropriate latent variables, can be applied to more general large-scale Bayesian computing problems, such as those involving dimension jumping and missing data. Numerical studies show that the proposed algorithm is highly scalable and much more efficient than traditional MCMC algorithms. The proposed algorithms have much alleviated the pain of Bayesian methods in big data computing.