Ren Ozeki

Ren Ozeki, Hamada Rizk, Hirozumi Yamaguchi

Rainfall-induced landslides pose a growing risk worldwide as climate change intensifies extreme rainfall events. To provide sufficient evacuation time, landslide early warning systems (LEWS) for real-time disaster monitoring must estimate near-future landslide risk by integrating observed rainfall with short-term rainfall forecasts from spatio-temporal environmental data streams. Although recent landslide prediction methods have improved predictive performance using statistical and deep learning approaches, most assume accurate rainfall inputs. In operational settings, however, landslide prediction relies on rainfall forecasts, which often contain spatial displacement of rainfall fields due to forecasting uncertainties. Such displacement can alter local accumulated rainfall and degrade prediction accuracy. To address this challenge, we propose a novel LEWS robust to rainfall field displacement. The key idea is to learn latent representations from rainfall and terrain data that remain stable under displacement in rainfall field motion, enabling reliable geospatial data integration for landslide risk estimation. The landslide prediction model is trained using Rainfall-Motion-Aware Contrastive Learning (RMCL), which introduces temporally correlated rainfall field perturbations to emulate forecast-induced displacement in rainfall-driven spatio-temporal environmental data streams. Experiments were conducted using two years of rainfall and terrain data across Japan, covering 19 regions with landslide events. The proposed system achieved up to 37% higher precision than state-of-the-art baselines. These results demonstrate that modeling rainfall as a moving spatial field and addressing rainfall field displacement during learning significantly improve the reliability of short-term landslide prediction in operational early warning systems.

Ren Ozeki, Haruki Yonekura, Aidana Baimbetova et al.

The growing demand for ride-hailing services has led to an increasing need for accurate taxi demand prediction. Existing systems are limited to specific regions, lacking generalizability to unseen areas. This paper presents a novel taxi demand forecasting system that leverages a graph neural network to capture spatial dependencies and patterns in urban environments. Additionally, the proposed system employs a region-neutral approach, enabling it to train a model that can be applied to any region, including unseen regions. To achieve this, the framework incorporates the power of Variational Autoencoder to disentangle the input features into region-specific and region-neutral components. The region-neutral features facilitate cross-region taxi demand predictions, allowing the model to generalize well across different urban areas. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed system in accurately forecasting taxi demand, even in previously unobserved regions, thus showcasing its potential for optimizing taxi services and improving transportation efficiency on a broader scale.

Haruki Yonekura, Ren Ozeki, Hamada Rizk et al.

This paper presents a novel system for reconstructing high-resolution GPS trajectory data from truncated or synthetic low-resolution inputs, addressing the critical challenge of balancing data utility with privacy preservation in mobility applications. The system integrates transformer-based encoder-decoder models with graph convolutional networks (GCNs) to effectively capture both the temporal dependencies of trajectory data and the spatial relationships in road networks. By combining these techniques, the system is able to recover fine-grained trajectory details that are lost through data truncation or rounding, a common practice to protect user privacy. We evaluate the system on the Beijing trajectory dataset, demonstrating its superior performance over traditional map-matching algorithms and LSTM-based synthetic data generation methods. The proposed model achieves an average Fréchet distance of 0.198 km, significantly outperforming map-matching algorithms (0.632 km) and synthetic trajectory models (0.498 km). The results show that the system is not only capable of accurately reconstructing real-world trajectories but also generalizes effectively to synthetic data. These findings suggest that the system can be deployed in urban mobility applications, providing both high accuracy and robust privacy protection.