Dan Zhao

Maximilian Puelma Touzel, Sneheel Sarangi, Austin Welch et al.

The rise of AI-driven manipulation poses significant risks to societal trust and democratic processes. Yet, studying these effects in real-world settings at scale is ethically and logistically impractical, highlighting a need for simulation tools that can model these dynamics in controlled settings to enable experimentation with possible defenses. We present a simulation environment designed to address this. We elaborate upon the Concordia framework that simulates offline, `real life' activity by adding online interactions to the simulation through social media with the integration of a Mastodon server. We improve simulation efficiency and information flow, and add a set of measurement tools, particularly longitudinal surveys. We demonstrate the simulator with a tailored example in which we track agents' political positions and show how partisan manipulation of agents can affect election results.

Oliver Knitter, Dan Zhao, James Stokes et al.

Neural-network quantum states (NQS) has emerged as a powerful application of quantum-inspired deep learning for variational Monte Carlo methods, offering a competitive alternative to existing techniques for identifying ground states of quantum problems. A significant advancement toward improving the practical scalability of NQS has been the incorporation of autoregressive models, most recently transformers, as variational ansatze. Transformers learn sequence information with greater expressiveness than recurrent models, but at the cost of increased time complexity with respect to sequence length. We explore the use of the retentive network (RetNet), a recurrent alternative to transformers, as an ansatz for solving electronic ground state problems in $\textit{ab initio}$ quantum chemistry. Unlike transformers, RetNets overcome this time complexity bottleneck by processing data in parallel during training, and recurrently during inference. We give a simple computational cost estimate of the RetNet and directly compare it with similar estimates for transformers, establishing a clear threshold ratio of problem-to-model size past which the RetNet's time complexity outperforms that of the transformer. Though this efficiency can comes at the expense of decreased expressiveness relative to the transformer, we overcome this gap through training strategies that leverage the autoregressive structure of the model -- namely, variational neural annealing. Our findings support the RetNet as a means of improving the time complexity of NQS without sacrificing accuracy. We provide further evidence that the ablative improvements of neural annealing extend beyond the RetNet architecture, suggesting it would serve as an effective general training strategy for autoregressive NQS.

Oliver Knitter, Dan Zhao, Stefan Leichenauer et al.

Scaling laws have been used to describe how large language model (LLM) performance scales with model size, training data size, or amount of computational resources. Motivated by the fact that neural quantum states (NQS) has increasingly adopted LLM-based components, we seek to understand NQS scaling laws, thereby shedding light on the scalability and optimal performance--resource trade-offs of NQS ansatze. In particular, we identify scaling laws that predict the performance, as measured by absolute error and V-score, for transformer-based NQS as a function of problem size in second-quantized quantum chemistry applications. By performing analogous compute-constrained optimization of the obtained parametric curves, we find that the relationship between model size and training time is highly dependent on loss metric and ansatz, and does not follow the approximately linear relationship found for language models.

Wei Du, Branislav Kisacanin, George Armstrong et al.

Reasoning-capable language models achieve state-of-the-art performance in diverse complex tasks by generating long, explicit Chain-of-Thought (CoT) traces. While recent works show that base models can acquire such reasoning traces via reinforcement learning or distillation from stronger models like DeepSeek-R1, previous works demonstrate that even short CoT prompting without fine-tuning is able to improve reasoning. We ask whether long CoT can be induced in a base model using only prompting or minimal tuning. Using just 20 long CoT examples from the reasoning model \texttt{QwQ-32B-Preview}, we lightly fine-tune the base model \texttt{Qwen2.5-32B}. The resulting model outperforms the much larger \texttt{Qwen2.5-Math-72B-Instruct}, showing that a handful of high-quality examples can unlock strong reasoning capabilities. We further explore using CoT data from non-reasoning models and human annotators, enhanced with prompt engineering, multi-pass editing, and structural guidance. However, neither matches the performance of reasoning model traces, suggesting that certain latent qualities of expert CoT are difficult to replicate. We analyze key properties of reasoning data, such as problem difficulty, diversity, and answer length, that influence reasoning distillation. While challenges remain, we are optimistic that carefully curated human-written CoT, even in small quantities, can activate reasoning behaviors in base models. We release our human-authored dataset across refinement stages and invite further investigation into what makes small-scale reasoning supervision so effective.