David Dunson

Niccolo Anceschi, Federico Ferrari, David B. Dunson et al.

It is increasingly common to collect data of multiple different types on the same set of samples. Our focus is on studying relationships between such multiview features and responses. A motivating application arises in the context of precision medicine where multi-omics data are collected to correlate with clinical outcomes. It is of interest to infer dependence within and across views while combining multimodal information to improve the prediction of outcomes. The signal-to-noise ratio can vary substantially across views, motivating more nuanced statistical tools beyond standard late and early fusion. This challenge comes with the need to preserve interpretability, select features, and obtain accurate uncertainty quantification. To address these challenges, we introduce two complementary factor regression models. A baseline Joint Factor Regression (\textsc{jfr}) captures combined variation across views via a single factor set, and a more nuanced Joint Additive FActor Regression (\textsc{jafar}) that decomposes variation into shared and view-specific components. For \textsc{jfr}, we use independent cumulative shrinkage process (\textsc{i-cusp}) priors, while for \textsc{jafar} we develop a dependent version (\textsc{d-cusp}) designed to ensure identifiability of the components. We develop Gibbs samplers that exploit the model structure and accommodate flexible feature and outcome distributions. Prediction of time-to-labor onset from immunome, metabolome, and proteome data illustrates performance gains against state-of-the-art competitors. Our open-source software (\texttt{R} package) is available at https://github.com/niccoloanceschi/jafar.

Shaobo Han, David B. Dunson

We introduce a multiscale supervised dimension reduction method for SPatial Interaction Network (SPIN) data, which consist of a collection of spatially coordinated interactions. This type of predictor arises when the sampling unit of data is composed of a collection of primitive variables, each of them being essentially unique, so that it becomes necessary to group the variables in order to simplify the representation and enhance interpretability. In this paper, we introduce an empirical Bayes approach called spinlets, which first constructs a partitioning tree to guide the reduction over multiple spatial granularities, and then refines the representation of predictors according to the relevance to the response. We consider an inverse Poisson regression model and propose a new multiscale generalized double Pareto prior, which is induced via a tree-structured parameter expansion scheme. Our approach is motivated by an application in soccer analytics, in which we obtain compact vectorial representations and readily interpretable visualizations of the complex network objects, supervised by the response of interest.

Bruno Cornelis, Yun Yang, Joshua T. Vogelstein et al.

The preservation of our cultural heritage is of paramount importance. Thanks to recent developments in digital acquisition techniques, powerful image analysis algorithms are developed which can be useful non-invasive tools to assist in the restoration and preservation of art. In this paper we propose a semi-supervised crack detection method that can be used for high-dimensional acquisitions of paintings coming from different modalities. Our dataset consists of a recently acquired collection of images of the Ghent Altarpiece (1432), one of Northern Europe's most important art masterpieces. Our goal is to build a classifier that is able to discern crack pixels from the background consisting of non-crack pixels, making optimal use of the information that is provided by each modality. To accomplish this we employ a recently developed non-parametric Bayesian classifier, that uses tensor factorizations to characterize any conditional probability. A prior is placed on the parameters of the factorization such that every possible interaction between predictors is allowed while still identifying a sparse subset among these predictors. The proposed Bayesian classifier, which we will refer to as conditional Bayesian tensor factorization or CBTF, is assessed by visually comparing classification results with the Random Forest (RF) algorithm.

Ivo Shterev, David Dunson

This paper presents an application of statistical machine learning to the field of watermarking. We propose a new attack model on additive spread-spectrum watermarking systems. The proposed attack is based on Bayesian statistics. We consider the scenario in which a watermark signal is repeatedly embedded in specific, possibly chosen based on a secret message bitstream, segments (signals) of the host data. The host signal can represent a patch of pixels from an image or a video frame. We propose a probabilistic model that infers the embedded message bitstream and watermark signal, directly from the watermarked data, without access to the decoder. We develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for updating the model parameters from their conjugate full conditional posteriors. We also provide a variational Bayesian solution, which further increases the convergence speed of the algorithm. Experiments with synthetic and real image signals demonstrate that the attack model is able to correctly infer a large part of the message bitstream and obtain a very accurate estimate of the watermark signal.