John-Joseph Brady

John-Joseph Brady, Nikolas Nusken, Yunpeng Li

Latent state space systems are ubiquitous in statistical modelling, arising naturally when a time series is observed through a noisy measurement function, however training deep state space models (DSSM) at scale remains difficult. Two largely distinct strategies and literatures have developed around the training of DSSMs. Firstly, auto-encoding DSSMs train generative DSSMs by optimising a variational lower bound. Secondly, DSSMs trained by back-propagating the outputs of a classical sequential Monte Carlo algorithm (SMC). Such approaches can train DSSMs for discriminative as well as generative tasks, however, due to the sequentiality of their forward pass, scale poorly on modern hardware. We propose a new training method \emph{parallel variational Monte Carlo} (PVMC) that bridges the gap between the paradigms, and can be used robustly to train DSSMs for both discriminative and generative tasks. Our method achieves state-of-the-art or better results on a set of baseline experiments and trains $10\times$ faster than the fastest competing SMC approach.

John-Joseph Brady, Yuhui Luo, Wenwu Wang et al.

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of models that combine sequential Monte Carlo techniques with the flexibility of neural networks to perform state space inference. This paper concerns the case where the system may switch between a finite set of state-space models, i.e. regimes. No prior approaches effectively learn both the individual regimes and the switching process simultaneously. In this paper, we propose the neural network based regime learning differentiable particle filter (RLPF) to address this problem. We further design a training procedure for the RLPF and other related algorithms. We demonstrate competitive performance compared to the previous state-of-the-art algorithms on a pair of numerical experiments.

Jiaxi Li, John-Joseph Brady, Xiongjie Chen et al.

Differentiable particle filters combine the flexibility of neural networks with the probabilistic nature of sequential Monte Carlo methods. However, traditional approaches rely on the availability of labelled data, i.e., the ground truth latent state information, which is often difficult to obtain in real-world applications. This paper compares the effectiveness of two semi-supervised training objectives for differentiable particle filters. We present results in two simulated environments where labelled data are scarce.