Niteesh Sahni

Pawanesh Pawanesh, Charu Sharma, Niteesh Sahni

In this study, we model the Indian stock market as heterogenous scale free network, which is then embedded in a two dimensional hyperbolic space through a machine learning based technique called as coalescent embedding. This allows us to apply the hyperbolic kmeans algorithm on the Poincare disc and the clusters so obtained resemble the original network communities more closely than the clusters obtained via Euclidean kmeans on the basis of well-known measures normalised mutual information and adjusted mutual information. Through this, we are able to clearly distinguish between periods of market stability and volatility by applying non-parametric statistical tests with a significance level of 0.05 to geometric measures namely hyperbolic distance and hyperbolic shortest path distance. After that, we are able to spot significant market change early by leveraging the Bollinger Band analysis on the time series of modularity in the embedded networks of each window. Finally, the radial distance and the Equidistance Angular coordinates help in visualizing the embedded network in the Poincare disc and it is seen that specific market sectors cluster together.

Imran Ansari, Pawanesh Yadav, Niteesh Sahni

The hyperbolic network models exhibit very fundamental and essential features, like small-worldness, scale-freeness, high-clustering coefficient, and community structure. In this paper, we comprehensively explore the presence of an important feature, the core-periphery structure, in the hyperbolic network models, which is often exhibited by real-world networks. We focused on well-known hyperbolic models such as popularity-similarity optimization model (PSO) and S1/H2 models and studied core-periphery structures using a well-established method that is based on standard random walk Markov chain model. The observed core-periphery centralization values indicate that the core-periphery structure can be very pronounced under certain conditions. We also validate our findings by statistically testing for the significance of the observed core-periphery structure in the network geometry. This study extends network science and reveals core-periphery insights applicable to various domains, enhancing network performance and resiliency in transportation and information systems.

Siddharth Dixit, Meghna Chaudhary, Niteesh Sahni

The United Nations in its 2011 resolution declared the pursuit of happiness a fundamental human goal and proposed public and economic policies centered around happiness. In this paper we used 2 types of computational strategies viz. Predictive Modelling and Bayesian Networks (BNs) to model the processed historical happiness index data of 156 nations published by UN since 2012. We attacked the problem of prediction using General Regression Neural Networks (GRNNs) and show that it out performs other state of the art predictive models. To understand causal links amongst key features that have been proven to have a significant impact on world happiness, we first used a manual discretization scheme to discretize continuous variables into 3 levels viz. Low, Medium and High. A consensus World Happiness BN structure was then fixed after amalgamating information by learning 10000 different BNs using bootstrapping. Lastly, exact inference through conditional probability queries was used on this BN to unravel interesting relationships among the important features affecting happiness which would be useful in policy making.