Mile Gu

Josep Lumbreras, Ruo Cheng Huang, Yanglin Hu et al.

In reinforcement learning, an agent interacts sequentially with an environment to maximize a reward, receiving only partial, probabilistic feedback. This creates a fundamental exploration-exploitation trade-off: the agent must explore to learn the hidden dynamics while exploiting this knowledge to maximize its target objective. While extensively studied classically, applying this framework to quantum systems requires dealing with hidden quantum states that evolve via unknown dynamics. We formalize this problem via a framework where the environment maintains a hidden quantum memory evolving via unknown quantum channels, and the agent intervenes sequentially using quantum instruments. For this setting, we adapt an optimistic maximum-likelihood estimation algorithm. We extend the analysis to continuous action spaces, allowing us to model general positive operator-valued measures (POVMs). By controlling the propagation of estimation errors through quantum channels and instruments, we prove that the cumulative regret of our strategy scales as $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{K})$ over $K$ episodes. Furthermore, via a reduction to the multi-armed quantum bandit problem, we establish information-theoretic lower bounds demonstrating that this sublinear scaling is strictly optimal up to polylogarithmic factors. As a physical application, we consider state-agnostic work extraction. When extracting free energy from a sequence of non-i.i.d. quantum states correlated by a hidden memory, any lack of knowledge about the source leads to thermodynamic dissipation. In our setting, the mathematical regret exactly quantifies this cumulative dissipation. Using our adaptive algorithm, the agent uses past energy outcomes to improve its extraction protocol on the fly, achieving sublinear cumulative dissipation, and, consequently, an asymptotically zero dissipation rate.

Hari Hara Suthan Chittoor, Paul Robert Griffin, Ariel Neufeld et al.

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) involves predicting a large number of future values of a time series based on the past values. This is an essential task in a wide range of domains including weather forecasting, stock market analysis and disease outbreak prediction. Over the decades LTSF algorithms have transitioned from statistical models to deep learning models like transformer models. Despite the complex architecture of transformer based LTSF models `Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting? (Zeng et al., 2023)' showed that simple linear models can outperform the state-of-the-art transformer based LTSF models. Recently, quantum machine learning (QML) is evolving as a domain to enhance the capabilities of classical machine learning models. In this paper we initiate the application of QML to LTSF problems by proposing QuLTSF, a simple hybrid QML model for multivariate LTSF. Through extensive experiments on a widely used weather dataset we show the advantages of QuLTSF over the state-of-the-art classical linear models, in terms of reduced mean squared error and mean absolute error.