4.6LGFeb 5, 2024
State estimation of urban air pollution with statistical, physical, and super-learning graph modelsMatthieu Dolbeault, Olga Mula, Agustín Somacal
We consider the problem of real-time reconstruction of urban air pollution maps. The task is challenging due to the heterogeneous sources of available data, the scarcity of direct measurements, the presence of noise, and the large surfaces that need to be considered. In this work, we introduce different reconstruction methods based on posing the problem on city graphs. Our strategies can be classified as fully data-driven, physics-driven, or hybrid, and we combine them with super-learning models. The performance of the methods is tested in the case of the inner city of Paris, France.
1.2APDec 14, 2020
Clustering high dimensional meteorological scenarios: results and performance indexYamila Barrera, Leonardo Boechi, Matthieu Jonckheere et al.
The Reseau de Transport d'Electricité (RTE) is the French main electricity network operational manager and dedicates large number of resources and efforts towards understanding climate time series data. We discuss here the problem and the methodology of grouping and selecting representatives of possible climate scenarios among a large number of climate simulations provided by RTE. The data used is composed of temperature times series for 200 different possible scenarios on a grid of geographical locations in France. These should be clustered in order to detect common patterns regarding temperatures curves and help to choose representative scenarios for network simulations, which in turn can be used for energy optimisation. We first show that the choice of the distance used for the clustering has a strong impact on the meaning of the results: depending on the type of distance used, either spatial or temporal patterns prevail. Then we discuss the difficulty of fine-tuning the distance choice (combined with a dimension reduction procedure) and we propose a methodology based on a carefully designed index.
10.9MLFeb 6, 2020
Uncovering differential equations from data with hidden variablesAgustín Somacal, Yamila Barrera, Leonardo Boechi et al.
SINDy is a method for learning system of differential equations from data by solving a sparse linear regression optimization problem [Brunton et al., 2016]. In this article, we propose an extension of the SINDy method that learns systems of differential equations in cases where some of the variables are not observed. Our extension is based on regressing a higher order time derivative of a target variable onto a dictionary of functions that includes lower order time derivatives of the target variable. We evaluate our method by measuring the prediction accuracy of the learned dynamical systems on synthetic data and on a real data-set of temperature time series provided by the Réseau de Transport d'Électricité (RTE). Our method provides high quality short-term forecasts and it is orders of magnitude faster than competing methods for learning differential equations with latent variables.