Xiaojia Xiang

Fanglan Zheng, Menghan Wang, Kun Li et al.

In this manuscript (ms), we propose causal inference based single-branch ensemble trees for uplift modeling, namely CIET. Different from standard classification methods for predictive probability modeling, CIET aims to achieve the change in the predictive probability of outcome caused by an action or a treatment. According to our CIET, two partition criteria are specifically designed to maximize the difference in outcome distribution between the treatment and control groups. Next, a novel single-branch tree is built by taking a top-down node partition approach, and the remaining samples are censored since they are not covered by the upper node partition logic. Repeating the tree-building process on the censored data, single-branch ensemble trees with a set of inference rules are thus formed. Moreover, CIET is experimentally demonstrated to outperform previous approaches for uplift modeling in terms of both area under uplift curve (AUUC) and Qini coefficient significantly. At present, CIET has already been applied to online personal loans in a national financial holdings group in China. CIET will also be of use to analysts applying machine learning techniques to causal inference in broader business domains such as web advertising, medicine and economics.

Chao Yan, Xiaojia Xiang, Chang Wang et al.

Developing the flocking behavior for a dynamic squad of fixed-wing UAVs is still a challenge due to kinematic complexity and environmental uncertainty. In this paper, we deal with the decentralized flocking and collision avoidance problem through deep reinforcement learning (DRL). Specifically, we formulate a decentralized DRL-based decision making framework from the perspective of every follower, where a collision avoidance mechanism is integrated into the flocking controller. Then, we propose a novel reinforcement learning algorithm PS-CACER for training a shared control policy for all the followers. Besides, we design a plug-n-play embedding module based on convolutional neural networks and the attention mechanism. As a result, the variable-length system state can be encoded into a fixed-length embedding vector, which makes the learned DRL policy independent with the number and the order of followers. Finally, numerical simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, and the learned policies can be directly transferred to semi-physical simulation without any parameter finetuning.