Hiroki Nakamoto

Ryota Takamido, Chiharu Suzuki, Hiroki Nakamoto

Although machine learning (ML)-based performance outcome prediction is an important topic in contemporary sports science, one important issue is the limited understanding of the cross-individual generalizability of ML models in sports contexts. To address this issue, this study aimed to evaluate the cross-individual generalizability of ML models for predicting ball speed in baseball pitching. A dataset comprising 50 pitchers from various competitive levels was analyzed. Cross-individual generalizability was assessed using leave-one-subject-out cross-validation. Specifically, the effects of expertise level and restrictions on spatiotemporal motion information were examined to identify factors influencing model generalizability. The results revealed that, under cross-individual evaluation, (1) predictive performance was markedly lower than under within-individual evaluation, with R-squared value decreasing from 0.91 to 0.38; (2) the model tended to overestimate the performance of Intermediate pitchers relative to Expert pitchers, with a significant group difference in signed prediction error (p < .05); and (3) the trunk and pivot leg demonstrated relatively high generalization performance, with the pivot leg showing notable generalizability even during the weight-shift initiation phase (R-squared value > 0.25). These findings underscore the importance of cross-individual evaluation in enhancing the practical applicability of ML in sports settings and contribute to a deeper understanding of the biomechanical factors underlying the target movement.

Ryota Takamido, Chiharu Suzuki, Jun Ota et al.

Background: Simultaneously focusing on intra- and inter-individual body dynamics and elucidating how these affect each other will help understand human inter-personal coordination behavior. However, this association has not been investigated previously owing to difficulties in analyzing complex causal relations among several body components.To address this issue, this study proposes a new analytical framework that attempts to understand the underlying causal structures behind each joint movement of individual baseball players using neural Granger causality (NGC) as the explainable AI. Methods: In the NGC analysis, causal relationships were defined as the size of the weight parameters of the first layer of a machine-learning model trained to predict the future state of a specific time-series variable. To verify the approach in a practical context, we conducted an experiment with 16 pairs of expert baseball pitchers and batters; input datasets with 27 joint resultant velocity data (joints of 13 pitchers and 14 batters) were generated and used for model training.Results: NGC analysis revealed significant causal relations among intra- and inter-individual body components such as the batter's hands having a causal effect from the pitcher's throwing arm. Remarkably, although the causality from the batter's body to pitcher's body is much lower than the reverse, it is significantly correlated with batter performance outcomes. Conclusions: The above results suggest the effectiveness of NGC analysis for understanding whole-body inter-personal coordination dynamics and that of the AI technique as a new approach for analyzing complex human behavior from a different perspective than conventional techniques.

Ryota Takamido, Jun Ota, Hiroki Nakamoto

This study developed a new explainable artificial intelligence algorithm called PassAI, which classifies successful or failed passes in a soccer game and explains its rationale using both tracking and passer's seasonal stats information. This study aimed to address two primary challenges faced by artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms in the sports domain: how to use different modality data for the analysis and how to explain the rationale of the outcome from multimodal perspectives. To address these challenges, PassAI has two processing streams for multimodal information: tracking image data and passer's stats and classifying pass success and failure. After completing the classification, it provides a rationale by either calculating the relative contribution between the different modality data or providing more detailed contribution factors within the modality. The results of the experiment with 6,349 passes of data obtained from professional soccer games revealed that PassAI showed higher classification performance than state-of-the-art algorithms by >5% and could visualize the rationale of the pass success/failure for both tracking and stats data. These results highlight the importance of using multimodality data in the sports domain to increase the performance of the artificial intelligence algorithm and explainability of the outcomes.

Ryota Takamidoa, Chiharu Suzukia, Hiroki Nakamoto

A critical challenge in contemporary sports science lies in filling the gap between group-level insights derived from controlled hypothesis-driven experiments and the real-world need for personalized coaching tailored to individual athletes' unique movement patterns. This study developed a Personalized Motion Guidance Framework (PMGF) to enhance athletic performance by generating individualized motion-refinement guides using generative artificial intelligence techniques. PMGF leverages a vertical autoencoder to encode motion sequences into athlete-specific latent representations, which can then be directly manipulated to generate meaningful guidance motions. Two manipulation strategies were explored: (1) smooth interpolation between the learner's motion and a target (e.g., expert) motion to facilitate observational learning, and (2) shifting the motion pattern in an optimal direction in the latent space using a local optimization technique. The results of the validation experiment with data from 51 baseball pitchers revealed that (1) PMGF successfully generated smooth transitions in motion patterns between individuals across all 1,275 pitcher pairs, and (2) the features significantly altered through PMGF manipulations reflected known performance-enhancing characteristics, such as increased stride length and knee extension associated with higher ball velocity, indicating that PMGF induces biomechanically plausible improvements. We propose a future extension called general-PMGF to enhance the applicability of this framework. This extension incorporates bodily, environmental, and task constraints into the generation process, aiming to provide more realistic and versatile guidance across diverse sports contexts.