Stefan Kitzler

Stefan Kitzler, Kasra Zarinehbaf Asadi, Svetlana Kremer et al.

Yield aggregators are financial services in Decentralised Finance (DeFi) providing automated investment management and return optimisation for users. In this study, we investigate the operational mechanisms and monetary flows of two major yield aggregators, Yearn Finance and Cian, over the period from May 4, 2024 to May 3, 2025. Our supporting conceptual framework decomposes yield aggregator operations into user investment and strategy management cycles. Using a network approach for 2,459 Yearn and 921 Cian transactions, we trace protocol interactions and capital flows across the ecosystem. Users invested 15.7M USD into Yearn's USDC vault, which generated yield through liquidity provision and dynamic allocation across DeFi protocols. Cian, deployed later, attracted 54.0M USD into its staked-ETH (stETH) vault and implemented sophisticated leverage through flashloan-enabled recursive staking. Yearn's USDC vault achieves an annual yield of 5.41%, while Cian's stETH vault produces 4.22% with higher risk exposure. We use the operational insights from our analysis to extend the existing DeFi Stack Reference Model (DSR) with new financial primitives to highlight structural risk dependencies. Overall, our findings show that strategic complexity in yield aggregation does not necessarily translate into higher returns but materially expands risk exposure.

Ivan Vynyavskyy, Stefan Kitzler, Bernhard Haslhofer et al.

Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) prescribes how to maximise the return of an asset portfolio for a given level of risk. The optimal trade-off between return and variance defines the efficient frontier. Whether actual cryptoasset portfolios approximate this prescription and whether proximity to the frontier translates into realised performance remain difficult to test at large scale in traditional markets due to their opaque nature and the inaccessibility of data. As we show, public blockchains make these questions measurable: every token transfer is recorded, thus enabling complete portfolio reconstruction for every account at any point in time. We leverage this transparency to reconstruct cryptoasset portfolios for over 116M Ethereum accounts across the full chain history (2015-2025), measure their distance to the constrained efficient frontier, and quantify how deviations translate into realised performance. Here we show that market entry timing, not allocation choice, is the dominant predictor of realised cryptoasset returns. On-chain wealth is highly concentrated and portfolios are pervasively under-diversified, with single-asset holdings accounting for 83.35% of accounts. Two-asset portfolios sit closest to the efficient frontier defined by their held assets, a proximity that reflects the narrowness of their opportunity set rather than deliberate optimisation. Passive market-capitalisation weighting outperforms every MPT optimisation strategy in median realised return, and entry month alone explains 70-79% of the variance in returns, far exceeding the contribution of allocation choice. Mean-variance optimisation therefore appears neither descriptive of observed behaviour nor prescriptively useful in the cryptoasset domain, even if MPT retains its value as a normative benchmark.

Junliang Luo, Stefan Kitzler, Pietro Saggese

We explore the adoption of graph representation learning (GRL) algorithms to investigate similarities across services offered by Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols. Following existing literature, we use Ethereum transaction data to identify the DeFi building blocks. These are sets of protocol-specific smart contracts that are utilized in combination within single transactions and encapsulate the logic to conduct specific financial services such as swapping or lending cryptoassets. We propose a method to categorize these blocks into clusters based on their smart contract attributes and the graph structure of their smart contract calls. We employ GRL to create embedding vectors from building blocks and agglomerative models for clustering them. To evaluate whether they are effectively grouped in clusters of similar functionalities, we associate them with eight financial functionality categories and use this information as the target label. We find that in the best-case scenario purity reaches .888. We use additional information to associate the building blocks with protocol-specific target labels, obtaining comparable purity (.864) but higher V-Measure (.571); we discuss plausible explanations for this difference. In summary, this method helps categorize existing financial products offered by DeFi protocols, and can effectively automatize the detection of similar DeFi services, especially within protocols.

Stefan Kitzler, Friedhelm Victor, Pietro Saggese et al.

We present a measurement study on compositions of Decentralized Finance protocols, which aim to disrupt traditional finance and offer services on top of distributed ledgers, such as Ethereum. DeFi compositions may impact the development of ecosystem interoperability, are increasingly integrated with web technologies, and may introduce risks through complexity. Starting from a dataset of 23 labeled DeFi protocols and 10,663,881 associated Ethereum accounts, we study the interactions of protocols and associated smart contracts. From a network perspective, we find that decentralized exchanges and lending protocols have high degree and centrality values, that interactions among protocol nodes primarily occur in a strongly connected component, and that known community detection methods cannot disentangle DeFi protocols. Therefore, we propose an algorithm to decompose a protocol call into a nested set of building blocks that may be part of other DeFi protocols. With a ground truth dataset we have collected, we can demonstrate the algorithm's capability by finding that swaps are the most frequently used building blocks. As building blocks can be nested, i.e., contained in each other, we provide visualizations of composition trees for deeper inspections. We also present a broad picture of DeFi compositions by extracting and flattening the entire nested building block structure across multiple DeFi protocols. Finally, to demonstrate the practicality of our approach, we present a case study that is inspired by the recent collapse of the UST stablecoin in the Terra ecosystem. Under the hypothetical assumption that the stablecoin USD Tether would experience a similar fate, we study which building blocks and, thereby, DeFi protocols would be affected. Overall, our results and methods contribute to a better understanding of a new family of financial products.