SYDec 1, 2018
Chance Constraints for Improving the Security of AC Optimal Power FlowMiles Lubin, Yury Dvorkin, Line Roald
This paper presents a scalable method for improving the solutions of AC Optimal Power Flow (AC OPF) with respect to deviations in predicted power injections from wind and other uncertain generation resources. The focus of the paper is on providing solutions that are more robust to short-term deviations, and which optimize both the initial operating point and a parametrized response policy for control during fluctuations. We formulate this as a chance-constrained optimization problem. To obtain a tractable representation of the chance constraints, we introduce a number of modelling assumptions and leverage recent theoretical results to reformulate the problem as a convex, second-order cone program, which is efficiently solvable even for large instances. Our experiments demonstrate that the proposed procedure improves the feasibility and cost performance of the OPF solution, while the additional computation time is on the same magnitude as a single deterministic AC OPF calculation.
OCJan 17, 2016
Chance Constrained Optimal Power Flow with Curtailment and Reserves from Wind Power PlantsLine Roald, Sidhant Misra, Michael Chertkov et al.
Over the past years, the share of electricity production from wind power plants has increased to significant levels in several power systems across Europe and the United States. In order to cope with the fluctuating and partially unpredictable nature of renewable energy sources, transmission system operators (TSOs) have responded by increasing their reserve capacity requirements and by requiring wind power plants to be capable of providing reserves or following active power set-point signals. This paper addresses the issue of efficiently incorporating these new types of wind power control in the day-ahead operational planning. We review the technical requirements the wind power plants must fulfill, and propose a mathematical framework for modeling wind power control. The framework is based on an optimal power flow formulation with weighted chance constraints, which accounts for the uncertainty of wind power forecasts and allows us to limit the risk of constraint violations. In a case study based on the IEEE 118 bus system, we use the developed method to assess the effectiveness of different types of wind power control in terms of operational cost, system security and wind power curtailment.
SYJan 30, 2016
Unit Commitment with N-1 Security and Wind UncertaintyKaarthik Sundar, Harsha Nagarajan, Miles Lubin et al.
As renewable wind energy penetration rates continue to increase, one of the major challenges facing grid operators is the question of how to control transmission grids in a reliable and a cost-efficient manner. The stochastic nature of wind forces an alteration of traditional methods for solving day-ahead and look-ahead unit commitment and dispatch. In particular, uncontrollable wind generation increases the risk of random component failures. To address these questions, we present an N-1 Security and Chance-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCCUC) that includes the modeling of generation reserves that respond to wind fluctuations and tertiary reserves to account for single component outages. The basic formulation is reformulated as a mixed-integer second-order cone problem to limit the probability of failure. We develop three different algorithms to solve the problem to optimality and present a detailed case study on the IEEE RTS-96 single area system. The case study assesses the economic impacts due to contingencies and various degrees of wind power penetration into the system and also corroborates the effectiveness of the algorithms.
SYJun 14, 2019
Chance-Constrained AC Optimal Power Flow Integrating HVDC Lines and ControllabilityAndreas Venzke, Lejla Halilbasic, Adelie Barre et al.
The integration of large-scale renewable generation has major implications on the operation of power systems, two of which we address in this work. First, system operators have to deal with higher degrees of uncertainty due to forecast errors and variability in renewable energy production. Second, with abundant potential of renewable generation in remote locations, there is an increasing interest in the use of High Voltage Direct Current lines (HVDC) to increase transmission capacity. These HVDC transmission lines and the flexibility and controllability they offer must be incorporated effectively and safely into the system. In this work, we introduce an optimization tool that addresses both challenges by incorporating the full AC power flow equations, chance constraints to address the uncertainty of renewable infeed, modelling of point-to-point HVDC lines, and optimized corrective control policies to model the generator and HVDC response to uncertainty. The main contributions are twofold. First, we introduce a HVDC line model and the corresponding HVDC participation factors in a chance-constrained AC-OPF framework. Second, we modify an existing algorithm for solving the chance-constrained AC-OPF to allow for optimization of the generation and HVDC participation factors. Using realistic wind forecast data, for 10 and IEEE 39 bus systems with HVDC lines and wind farms, we show that our proposed OPF formulation achieves good in- and out-of-sample performance whereas not considering uncertainty leads to high constraint violation probabilities. In addition, we find that optimizing the participation factors reduces the cost of uncertainty significantly.
SYApr 13
Strategic Spatial Load Shifting and Market EfficiencyAron Brenner, Deepjyoti Deka, Line Roald et al.
Large, spatially flexible electricity consumers such as data centers can reallocate demand across locations, influencing dispatch and prices in wholesale electricity markets. While flexible load is often assumed to improve system efficiency, this intuition typically relies on price-taking behavior. We study price-anticipatory spatial load shifting by modeling a large flexible consumer as a Stackelberg leader interacting with DC optimal power flow (DC-OPF) based market clearing. We show that decentralized, cost-minimizing load shifting need not align with system operating cost minimization, and that misalignment arises at boundaries between DC-OPF operating regimes, where small changes in load can induce discrete changes in marginal generators or congestion patterns. We evaluate strategic load shifting on the 73-bus RTS-GMLC test system, where findings indicate reductions in system operating cost in most hours, but misalignment in a subset of cases that are driven by redispatch at merit-order discontinuities. We find that these outcomes are primarily redistributive relative to a price-taking benchmark, reducing generator profits while lowering electricity procurement costs for both flexible and inflexible consumers, even in cases where total system operating costs increase.
SYMar 14
Identifying Best Candidates for Busbar SplittingGiacomo Bastianel, Dirk Van Hertem, Hakan Ergun et al.
Rising electricity demand and the growing integration of renewables are intensifying congestion in transmission grids. Grid topology optimization through busbar splitting (BuS) and optimal transmission switching can alleviate grid congestion and reduce the generation costs in a power system. However, BuS optimization requires a large number of binary variables, and analyzing all the substations for potential new topological actions is computationally intractable, particularly in large grids. To tackle this issue, we propose a set of metrics to identify and rank promising candidates for BuS, focusing on finding buses where topology optimization can reduce generation costs. To assess the effect of BuS on the identified buses, we use a combined mixed-integer convex-quadratic BuS model to compute the optimal topology and test it with the non-linear non-convex AC optimal power flow (OPF) simulation to show its AC feasibility. By testing and validating the proposed metrics on test cases of different sizes, we show that they are able to identify busbars that reduce the total generation costs when their topology is optimized. Thus, the metrics enable effective selection of busbars for BuS, with no need to test every busbar in the grid, one at a time.
SYMar 22, 2024
Cascading Blackout Severity Prediction with Statistically-Augmented Graph Neural NetworksJoe Gorka, Tim Hsu, Wenting Li et al.
Higher variability in grid conditions, resulting from growing renewable penetration and increased incidence of extreme weather events, has increased the difficulty of screening for scenarios that may lead to catastrophic cascading failures. Traditional power-flow-based tools for assessing cascading blackout risk are too slow to properly explore the space of possible failures and load/generation patterns. We add to the growing literature of faster graph-neural-network (GNN)-based techniques, developing two novel techniques for the estimation of blackout magnitude from initial grid conditions. First we propose several methods for employing an initial classification step to filter out safe "non blackout" scenarios prior to magnitude estimation. Second, using insights from the statistical properties of cascading blackouts, we propose a method for facilitating non-local message passing in our GNN models. We validate these two approaches on a large simulated dataset, and show the potential of both to increase blackout size estimation performance.
SYNov 20, 2020
Chance-Constrained Unit Commitment with N-1 Security and Wind UncertaintyKaarthik Sundar, Harsha Nagarajan, Line Roald et al.
As renewable wind energy penetration rates continue to increase, one of the major challenges facing grid operators is the question of how to control transmission grids in a reliable and a cost-efficient manner. The stochastic nature of wind forces an alteration of traditional methods for solving day-ahead and look-ahead unit commitment and dispatch. In particular, the variability of wind generation increases the risk of unexpected overloads and cascading events. To address these questions, we present an N-1 Security and Chance-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCCUC) that includes models of generation reserves that respond to wind fluctuations and component outages. We formulate the SCCUC as a mixed-integer, second-order cone problem that limits the probability of failure. We develop a modified Benders decomposition algorithm to solve the problem to optimality and present detailed case studies on the IEEE RTS-96 three-area and the IEEE 300 NESTA test systems. The case studies assess the economic impacts of contingencies and various degrees of wind power penetration and demonstrate the effectiveness and scalability of the algorithm.