Srinivas Pulugurtha

Sanaz Sadat Hosseini, Babak Rahimi Ardabili, Mona Azarbayjani et al.

Urban design significantly impacts sustainability, particularly in the context of public transit efficiency and carbon emissions reduction. This study explores two neighborhoods with distinct urban designs: South End, Charlotte, NC, featuring a dynamic mixed-use urban design pattern, and Avondale, Chattanooga, TN, with a residential suburban grid layout. Using the TRANSIT-GYM tool, we assess the impact of increased bus utilization in these different urban settings on traffic and CO2 emissions. Our results highlight the critical role of urban design and planning in transit system efficiency. In South End, the mixed-use design led to more substantial emission reductions, indicating that urban layout can significantly influence public transit outcomes. Tailored strategies that consider the unique urban design elements are essential for climate resilience. Notably, doubling bus utilization decreased daily emissions by 10.18% in South End and 8.13% in Avondale, with a corresponding reduction in overall traffic. A target of 50% bus utilization saw emissions drop by 21.45% in South End and 14.50% in Avondale. At an idealistic goal of 70% bus utilization, South End and Avondale witnessed emission reductions of 37.22% and 27.80%, respectively. These insights are crucial for urban designers and policymakers in developing sustainable urban landscapes.

Abimbola Ogungbire, Srinivas Pulugurtha

This study introduces a deep learning-based framework for forecasting weather-related traffic crash risk using heterogeneous spatiotemporal data. Given the complex, non-linear relationship between crash occurrence and factors such as road characteristics, and traffic conditions, we propose an ensemble of Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) models trained over overlapping spatial grids. This approach captures both spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics while addressing spatial heterogeneity in crash patterns. North Carolina was selected as the study area due to its diverse weather conditions, with historical crash, weather, and traffic data aggregated at 5-mi by 5-mi grid resolution. The framework was evaluated using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and spatial cross-K analysis. Results show that the ensembled ConvLSTM significantly outperforms baseline models, including linear regression, ARIMA, and standard ConvLSTM, particularly in high-risk zones. The ensemble approach effectively combines the strengths of multiple ConvLSTM models, resulting in lower MSE and RMSE values across all regions, particularly when data from different crash risk zones are aggregated. Notably, the model performs exceptionally well in volatile high-risk areas (Cluster 1), achieving the lowest MSE and RMSE, while in stable low-risk areas (Cluster 2), it still improves upon simpler models but with slightly higher errors due to challenges in capturing subtle variations.