Boris Kriuk

Boris Kriuk, Fedor Kriuk

Earthquake prediction and seismic hazard assessment remain fundamental challenges in geophysics, with existing machine learning approaches often operating as black boxes that ignore established physical laws. We introduce POSEIDON (Physics-Optimized Seismic Energy Inference and Detection Operating Network), a physics-informed energy-based model for unified multi-task seismic event prediction, alongside the Poseidon dataset -- the largest open-source global earthquake catalog comprising 2.8 million events spanning 30 years. POSEIDON embeds fundamental seismological principles, including the Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency relationship and Omori-Utsu aftershock decay law, as learnable constraints within an energy-based modeling framework. The architecture simultaneously addresses three interconnected prediction tasks: aftershock sequence identification, tsunami generation potential, and foreshock detection. Extensive experiments demonstrate that POSEIDON achieves state-of-the-art performance across all tasks, outperforming gradient boosting, random forest, and CNN baselines with the highest average F1 score among all compared methods. Crucially, the learned physics parameters converge to scientifically interpretable values -- Gutenberg-Richter b-value of 0.752 and Omori-Utsu parameters p=0.835, c=0.1948 days -- falling within established seismological ranges while enhancing rather than compromising predictive accuracy. The Poseidon dataset is publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/BorisKriuk/Poseidon, providing pre-computed energy features, spatial grid indices, and standardized quality metrics to advance physics-informed seismic research.

Boris Kriuk

Between the narrow systems we deploy and the general intelligence we speculate about lies an entire regime of machine behavior that has never received its own name. This monograph argues that this regime is not empty: it is where meta-learning, neural architecture search, AutoML, continual learning, evolutionary computation, and physics-informed modeling have quietly converged on a common principle, namely the steady removal of the human from the loop of parameter specification. We name this regime Artificial Adaptive Intelligence (AAI) and define it operationally: a system exhibits AAI to the extent that it requires no human-specified tunable hyperparameters while maintaining competitive performance across a diverse distribution of tasks. To make the definition quantitative, we introduce an adaptivity index that measures progress along an axis orthogonal to scale, combining the fraction of hyperparameters absorbed by the system with the performance ratio against a task-specialized baseline. We develop the principle of parametric minimality and ground it in the minimum description length framework, showing that the appropriate hyperparameter count is data-determined rather than designer-determined. We then organize the field around three pathways to minimality: data- and task-aware configuration, structural and evolutionary morphing, and in-training self-adaptation. We analyze their stability, convergence, and governance implications, and illustrate them through case studies spanning aerospace design, financial regime detection, turbulence modeling, ecological dynamics, and vision-language systems. The thesis is that the path from ANI to AGI passes through AAI, and that naming this stage changes what we measure, what we build, and what we call a success.

Boris Kriuk

Arctic warming threatens over 100 billion in permafrost-dependent infrastructure across Northern territories, yet existing risk assessment frameworks lack spatiotemporal validation, uncertainty quantification, and operational decision-support capabilities. We present a hybrid physics-machine learning framework integrating 2.9 million observations from 171,605 locations (2005-2021) combining permafrost fraction data with climate reanalysis. Our stacked ensemble model (Random Forest + Histogram Gradient Boosting + Elastic Net) achieves R2=0.980 (RMSE=5.01 pp) with rigorous spatiotemporal cross-validation preventing data leakage. To address machine learning limitations in extrapolative climate scenarios, we develop a hybrid approach combining learned climate-permafrost relationships (60%) with physical permafrost sensitivity models (40%, -10 pp/C). Under RCP8.5 forcing (+5C over 10 years), we project mean permafrost fraction decline of -20.3 pp (median: -20.0 pp), with 51.5% of Arctic Russia experiencing over 20 percentage point loss. Infrastructure risk classification identifies 15% high-risk zones (25% medium-risk) with spatially explicit uncertainty maps. Our framework represents the largest validated permafrost ML dataset globally, provides the first operational hybrid physics-ML forecasting system for Arctic infrastructure, and delivers open-source tools enabling probabilistic permafrost projections for engineering design codes and climate adaptation planning. The methodology is generalizable to other permafrost regions and demonstrates how hybrid approaches can overcome pure data-driven limitations in climate change applications.

Boris Kriuk, Fedor Kriuk

Standard risk models reduce the rich dependence structure of financial markets to scalar volatility estimates, discarding the topological information encoded in cross-asset correlation networks. We present ORCA (Online Regime Correlation Analyzer), an end-to-end framework that fuses spectral graph theory, random matrix theory, and supervised machine learning to deliver calibrated probability estimates for both rally and crash events over a ten-day forward horizon. ORCA constructs rolling correlation matrices from 24 diversified exchange-traded instruments using three parallel estimators at different time scales, and extracts 127 spectral features (absorption ratios, eigenvalue entropy, effective rank, spectral gap, eigenvector concentration, and graph-topological descriptors at multiple correlation thresholds), concatenated with 79 traditional price-derived indicators to form a 206-dimensional feature vector. A depth-limited Random Forest with balanced sub-sample weighting is evaluated under a strict eight-fold walk-forward protocol with ten-day anti-leakage gaps spanning fifteen years of daily US market data. ORCA achieves a Balanced Crisis Detection AUC (BCD-AUC, the geometric mean of rally and crash AUC) of 0.741, ranking first against all baselines. Ablation studies show that spectral features contribute +10.3 percentage points of AUC for crash detection and +5.2 for rally detection over traditional features alone, with SHAP analysis revealing that graph-topological descriptors (clustering coefficient, edge density, and dominant-eigenvalue percentile rank) are the three most important crash predictors. A backtested walk-forward strategy mapping the joint rally-crash signal to dynamic equity exposure with risk-on/risk-off rotation achieves a Sharpe ratio of 1.13, a CAGR of 15.6%, and a maximum drawdown of only -7.5%, versus 3.7% CAGR and -33.7% drawdown for buy-and-hold.

Boris Kriuk

Conceptual aircraft design is traditionally an expert-mediated iterative process in which a human designer proposes a configuration, runs low-order physics, inspects the result, and re-proposes. We present AlphaJet, an end-to-end automated synthesis pipeline that closes this loop. From a textual mission specification (mass, range, cruise speed, hard size envelope, engine count, areal density) AlphaJet evolves a feasible 3D aircraft in real time, scored by a transparent multi-disciplinary fitness function covering aerodynamics, structures, weights, stability, packaging, and geometric mount consistency. Three contributions distinguish our approach: (i) an Anatomically-Disentangled Variational Autoencoder (AD-VAE) whose first 25 latent dimensions are supervised to align with named anatomical parameters, providing an interpretable shape prior; (ii) a topology-elitist genetic algorithm that protects the best individual from each of five tail topologies and triggers stagnation restarts, preventing premature collapse to a single configuration; and (iii) mount-aware geometric scoring that computes signed penetration between engines and other structural parts, eliminating the redundant artifacts common in generative aircraft models. The full loop runs interactively on a CPU and streams every generation to a browser viewer, making it a practical real-world automation tool for early-phase design-space exploration.

Boris Kriuk, Keti Sulamanidze, Fedor Kriuk

Despite the success of metaheuristic algorithms in solving complex network optimization problems, they often struggle with adaptation, especially in dynamic or high-dimensional search spaces. Traditional approaches can become stuck in local optima, leading to inefficient exploration and suboptimal solutions. Most of the widely accepted advanced algorithms do well either on highly complex or smaller search spaces due to the lack of adaptation. To address these limitations, we present ELENA (Epigenetic Learning through Evolved Neural Adaptation), a new evolutionary framework that incorporates epigenetic mechanisms to enhance the adaptability of the core evolutionary approach. ELENA leverages compressed representation of learning parameters improved dynamically through epigenetic tags that serve as adaptive memory. Three epigenetic tags (mutation resistance, crossover affinity, and stability score) assist with guiding solution space search, facilitating a more intelligent hypothesis landscape exploration. To assess the framework performance, we conduct experiments on three critical network optimization problems: the Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP), the Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP), and the Maximum Clique Problem (MCP). Experiments indicate that ELENA achieves competitive results, often surpassing state-of-the-art methods on network optimization tasks.

Boris Kriuk, Fedor Kriuk

Reliable real-time estimation of atmospheric turbulence intensity remains an open challenge for aircraft operating across diverse altitude bands, particularly over oceanic, polar, and data-sparse regions that lack operational nowcasting infrastructure. Classical spectral models encode climatological averages rather than the instantaneous atmospheric state, and generic ML regressors offer adaptivity but provide no guarantee that predictions respect fundamental scaling laws. This paper introduces the Physically-Structured Turbulence Network (PSTNet), a lightweight architecture that embeds physics directly into its structure. PSTNet couples four components: (i) a zero-parameter backbone derived from Monin-Obukhov theory, (ii) a regime-gated mixture of specialist sub-networks supervised by Richardson-number-derived soft targets, (iii) Feature-wise Linear Modulation layers conditioning hidden representations on local air-density ratio, and (iv) a Kolmogorov output layer enforcing inertial-subrange scaling as an architectural constraint. The entire model contains only 552 learnable parameters, requiring fewer than 2.5 kB of storage and executing in under 12s on a Cortex-M7 microcontroller. We validate PSTNet on 340 paired six-degree-of-freedom guidance simulations spanning three vehicle classes (Mach 2.8, 4.5, and 8.0) and six operational categories with real-time satellite weather ingestion. PSTNet achieves a mean miss-distance improvement of +2.8% with a 78% win rate and a statistically significant effect size. Our results demonstrate that encoding domain physics as architectural priors yields a more efficient and interpretable path to turbulence estimation accuracy than scaling model capacity, establishing PSTNet as a viable drop-in replacement for legacy look-up tables in resource-constrained, safety-critical on-board guidance systems.

Boris Kriuk

Traditional gradient boosting algorithms employ static tree structures with fixed splitting criteria that remain unchanged throughout training, limiting their ability to adapt to evolving gradient distributions and problem-specific characteristics across different learning stages. This work introduces MorphBoost, a new gradient boosting framework featuring self-organizing tree structures that dynamically morph their splitting behavior during training. The algorithm implements adaptive split functions that evolve based on accumulated gradient statistics and iteration-dependent learning pressures, enabling automatic adjustment to problem complexity. Key innovations include: (1) morphing split criterion combining gradient-based scores with information-theoretic metrics weighted by training progress; (2) automatic problem fingerprinting for intelligent parameter configuration across binary/multiclass/regression tasks; (3) vectorized tree prediction achieving significant computational speedups; (4) interaction-aware feature importance detecting multiplicative relationships; and (5) fast-mode optimization balancing speed and accuracy. Comprehensive benchmarking across 10 diverse datasets against competitive models (XGBoost, LightGBM, GradientBoosting, HistGradientBoosting, ensemble methods) demonstrates that MorphBoost achieves state-of-the-art performance, outperforming XGBoost by 0.84% on average. MorphBoost secured the overall winner position with 4/10 dataset wins (40% win rate) and 6/30 top-3 finishes (20%), while maintaining the lowest variance (σ=0.0948) and highest minimum accuracy across all models, revealing superior consistency and robustness. Performance analysis across difficulty levels shows competitive results on easy datasets while achieving notable improvements on advanced problems due to higher adaptation levels.

Boris Kriuk, Logic Ng

Multi-agent Large Language Model (LLM) systems face a critical bottleneck: redundant transmission of contextual information between agents consumes excessive bandwidth and computational resources. Traditional approaches discard internal semantic representations and transmit raw text, forcing receiving agents to recompute similar representations from scratch. We introduce Q-KVComm, a new protocol that enables direct transmission of compressed key-value (KV) cache representations between LLM agents. Q-KVComm combines three key innovations: (1) adaptive layer-wise quantization that allocates variable bit-widths based on sensitivity profiling, (2) hybrid information extraction that preserves critical facts across content domains, and (3) heterogeneous model calibration establishing cross-architecture communication. Extensive experiments across three diverse question-answering datasets demonstrate that Q-KVComm achieves 5-6x compression ratios while maintaining semantic fidelity, with coherence quality scores above 0.77 across all scenarios. The protocol exhibits robust performance across model sizes (1.1B-1.5B parameters) and adapts to real-world applications including conversational QA and multi-hop reasoning. Our work establishes a new paradigm for LLM agent communication, shifting from text-based to representation-based information exchange.

Boris Kriuk, Logic Ng, Zarif Al Hossain

Support and resistance (SR) levels are central to technical analysis, guiding traders in entry, exit, and risk management. Despite widespread use, traditional SR identification methods often fail to adapt to the complexities of modern, volatile markets. Recent research has introduced machine learning techniques to address the following challenges, yet most focus on price prediction rather than structural level identification. This paper presents DeepSupp, a new deep learning approach for detecting financial support levels using multi-head attention mechanisms to analyze spatial correlations and market microstructure relationships. DeepSupp integrates advanced feature engineering, constructing dynamic correlation matrices that capture evolving market relationships, and employs an attention-based autoencoder for robust representation learning. The final support levels are extracted through unsupervised clustering, leveraging DBSCAN to identify significant price thresholds. Comprehensive evaluations on S&P 500 tickers demonstrate that DeepSupp outperforms six baseline methods, achieving state-of-the-art performance across six financial metrics, including essential support accuracy and market regime sensitivity. With consistent results across diverse market conditions, DeepSupp addresses critical gaps in SR level detection, offering a scalable and reliable solution for modern financial analysis. Our approach highlights the potential of attention-based architectures to uncover nuanced market patterns and improve technical trading strategies.

Boris Kriuk, Matey Yordanov

This paper introduces GeloVec, a new CNN-based attention smoothing framework for semantic segmentation that addresses critical limitations in conventional approaches. While existing attention-backed segmentation methods suffer from boundary instability and contextual discontinuities during feature mapping, our framework implements a higher-dimensional geometric smoothing method to establish a robust manifold relationships between visually coherent regions. GeloVec combines modified Chebyshev distance metrics with multispatial transformations to enhance segmentation accuracy through stabilized feature extraction. The core innovation lies in the adaptive sampling weights system that calculates geometric distances in n-dimensional feature space, achieving superior edge preservation while maintaining intra-class homogeneity. The multispatial transformation matrix incorporates tensorial projections with orthogonal basis vectors, creating more discriminative feature representations without sacrificing computational efficiency. Experimental validation across multiple benchmark datasets demonstrates significant improvements in segmentation performance, with mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) gains of 2.1%, 2.7%, and 2.4% on Caltech Birds-200, LSDSC, and FSSD datasets respectively compared to state-of-the-art methods. GeloVec's mathematical foundation in Riemannian geometry provides theoretical guarantees on segmentation stability. Importantly, our framework maintains computational efficiency through parallelized implementation of geodesic transformations and exhibits strong generalization capabilities across disciplines due to the absence of information loss during transformations.

Boris Kriuk, Simranjit Kaur Gill, Shoaib Aslam et al.

Fine-Grained Image Classification (FGIC) remains a complex task in computer vision, as it requires models to distinguish between categories with subtle localized visual differences. Well-studied CNN-based models, while strong in local feature extraction, often fail to capture the global context required for fine-grained recognition, while more recent ViT-backboned models address FGIC with attention-driven mechanisms but lack the ability to adaptively focus on truly discriminative regions. TransFG and other ViT-based extensions introduced part-aware token selection to enhance attention localization, yet they still struggle with computational efficiency, attention region selection flexibility, and detail-focus narrative in complex environments. This paper introduces GFT (Gradient Focal Transformer), a new ViT-derived framework created for FGIC tasks. GFT integrates the Gradient Attention Learning Alignment (GALA) mechanism to dynamically prioritize class-discriminative features by analyzing attention gradient flow. Coupled with a Progressive Patch Selection (PPS) strategy, the model progressively filters out less informative regions, reducing computational overhead while enhancing sensitivity to fine details. GFT achieves SOTA accuracy on FGVC Aircraft, Food-101, and COCO datasets with 93M parameters, outperforming ViT-based advanced FGIC models in efficiency. By bridging global context and localized detail extraction, GFT sets a new benchmark in fine-grained recognition, offering interpretable solutions for real-world deployment scenarios.

Boris Kriuk

Modern fire management systems increasingly rely on satellite data and weather forecasting; however, access to comprehensive datasets remains limited due to proprietary restrictions. Despite the ecological significance of wildfires, large-scale, multi-regional research is constrained by data scarcity. Russian diverse ecosystems play a crucial role in shaping Eurasian fire dynamics, yet they remain underexplored. This study addresses existing gaps by introducing an open-access dataset that captures detailed fire incidents alongside corresponding meteorological conditions. We present one of the most extensive datasets available for wildfire analysis in Russia, covering 13 consecutive months of observations. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we conduct exploratory data analysis and develop predictive models to identify key fire behavior patterns across different fire categories and ecosystems. Our results highlight the critical influence of environmental factor patterns on fire occurrence and spread behavior. By improving the understanding of wildfire dynamics in Eurasia, this work contributes to more effective, data-driven approaches for proactive fire management in the face of evolving environmental conditions.

Boris Kriuk, Fedor Kriuk

Handwritten character recognition (HCR) is a challenging problem for machine learning researchers. Unlike printed text data, handwritten character datasets have more variation due to human-introduced bias. With numerous unique character classes present, some data, such as Logographic Scripts or Sino-Korean character sequences, bring new complications to the HCR problem. The classification task on such datasets requires the model to learn high-complexity details of the images that share similar features. With recent advances in computational resource availability and further computer vision theory development, some research teams have effectively addressed the arising challenges. Although known for achieving high accuracy while keeping the number of parameters small, many common approaches are still not generalizable and use dataset-specific solutions to achieve better results. Due to complex structure, existing methods frequently prevent the solutions from gaining popularity. This paper proposes a highly scalable approach for detailed character image classification by introducing the model architecture, data preprocessing steps, and testing design instructions. We also perform experiments to compare the performance of our method with that of existing ones to show the improvements achieved.