Yao Xu

Yuyang Miao, Yao Xu, Danilo Mandic

Predicting metro passenger flow precisely is of great importance for dynamic traffic planning. Deep learning algorithms have been widely applied due to their robust performance in modelling non-linear systems. However, traditional deep learning algorithms completely discard the inherent graph structure within the metro system. Graph-based deep learning algorithms could utilise the graph structure but raise a few challenges, such as how to determine the weights of the edges and the shallow receptive field caused by the over-smoothing issue. To further improve these challenges, this study proposes a model based on GraphSAGE with an edge weights learner applied. The edge weights learner utilises socially meaningful features to generate edge weights. Hypergraph and temporal exploitation modules are also constructed as add-ons for better performance. A comparison study is conducted on the proposed algorithm and other state-of-art graph neural networks, where the proposed algorithm could improve the performance.

Bruno Scalzo Dees, Yao Lei Xu, Anthony G. Constantinides et al.

A unifying graph theoretic framework for the modelling of metro transportation networks is proposed. This is achieved by first introducing a basic graph framework for the modelling of the London underground system from a diffusion law point of view. This forms a basis for the analysis of both station importance and their vulnerability, whereby the concept of graph vertex centrality plays a key role. We next explore k-edge augmentation of a graph topology, and illustrate its usefulness both for improving the network robustness and as a planning tool. Upon establishing the graph theoretic attributes of the underlying graph topology, we proceed to introduce models for processing data on such a metro graph. Commuter movement is shown to obey the Fick's law of diffusion, where the graph Laplacian provides an analytical model for the diffusion process of commuter population dynamics. Finally, we also explore the application of modern deep learning models, such as graph neural networks and hyper-graph neural networks, as general purpose models for the modelling and forecasting of underground data, especially in the context of the morning and evening rush hours. Comprehensive simulations including the passenger in- and out-flows during the morning rush hour in London demonstrates the advantages of the graph models in metro planning and traffic management, a formal mathematical approach with wide economic implications.