Ece Calikus

Philipp Liznerski, Saurabh Varshneya, Ece Calikus et al.

Deep learning-based methods have achieved a breakthrough in image anomaly detection, but their complexity introduces a considerable challenge to understanding why an instance is predicted to be anomalous. We introduce a novel explanation method that generates multiple counterfactual examples for each anomaly, capturing diverse concepts of anomalousness. A counterfactual example is a modification of the anomaly that is perceived as normal by the anomaly detector. The method provides a high-level semantic explanation of the mechanism that triggered the anomaly detector, allowing users to explore "what-if scenarios." Qualitative and quantitative analyses across various image datasets show that the method applied to state-of-the-art anomaly detectors can achieve high-quality semantic explanations of detectors.

Ece Calikus, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Mohamed-Rafik Bouguelia et al.

In contextual anomaly detection, an object is only considered anomalous within a specific context. Most existing methods for CAD use a single context based on a set of user-specified contextual features. However, identifying the right context can be very challenging in practice, especially in datasets, with a large number of attributes. Furthermore, in real-world systems, there might be multiple anomalies that occur in different contexts and, therefore, require a combination of several "useful" contexts to unveil them. In this work, we leverage active learning and ensembles to effectively detect complex contextual anomalies in situations where the true contextual and behavioral attributes are unknown. We propose a novel approach, called WisCon (Wisdom of the Contexts), that automatically creates contexts from the feature set. Our method constructs an ensemble of multiple contexts, with varying importance scores, based on the assumption that not all useful contexts are equally so. Experiments show that WisCon significantly outperforms existing baselines in different categories (i.e., active classifiers, unsupervised contextual and non-contextual anomaly detectors, and supervised classifiers) on seven datasets. Furthermore, the results support our initial hypothesis that there is no single perfect context that successfully uncovers all kinds of contextual anomalies, and leveraging the "wisdom" of multiple contexts is necessary.

Ece Calikus, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Anita Sant'Anna et al.

In recent years, there has been increased research interest in detecting anomalies in temporal streaming data. A variety of algorithms have been developed in the data mining community, which can be divided into two categories (i.e., general and ad hoc). In most cases, general approaches assume the one-size-fits-all solution model where a single anomaly detector can detect all anomalies in any domain. To date, there exists no single general method that has been shown to outperform the others across different anomaly types, use cases and datasets. In this paper, we propose SAFARI, a general framework formulated by abstracting and unifying the fundamental tasks in streaming anomaly detection, which provides a flexible and extensible anomaly detection procedure to overcome the limitations of one-size-fits-all solutions. SAFARI helps to facilitate more elaborate algorithm comparisons by allowing us to isolate the effects of shared and unique characteristics of different algorithms on detection performance. Using SAFARI, we have implemented various anomaly detectors and identified a research gap that motivates us to propose a novel learning strategy in this work. We conducted an extensive evaluation study of 20 detectors that are composed using SAFARI and compared their performances using real-world benchmark datasets with different properties. The results indicate that there is no single superior detector that works well for every case, proving our hypothesis that "there is no free lunch" in the streaming anomaly detection world. Finally, we discuss the benefits and drawbacks of each method in-depth and draw a set of conclusions to guide future users of SAFARI.

Ece Calikus, Slawomir Nowaczyk, Anita Sant'Anna et al.

Understanding the heat usage of customers is crucial for effective district heating operations and management. Unfortunately, existing knowledge about customers and their heat load behaviors is quite scarce. Most previous studies are limited to small-scale analyses that are not representative enough to understand the behavior of the overall network. In this work, we propose a data-driven approach that enables large-scale automatic analysis of heat load patterns in district heating networks without requiring prior knowledge. Our method clusters the customer profiles into different groups, extracts their representative patterns, and detects unusual customers whose profiles deviate significantly from the rest of their group. Using our approach, we present the first large-scale, comprehensive analysis of the heat load patterns by conducting a case study on many buildings in six different customer categories connected to two district heating networks in the south of Sweden. The 1222 buildings had a total floor space of 3.4 million square meters and used 1540 TJ heat during 2016. The results show that the proposed method has a high potential to be deployed and used in practice to analyze and understand customers' heat-use habits.