Treatment Outcome Prediction for Intracerebral Hemorrhage via Generative Prognostic Model with Imaging and Tabular DataWenao Ma, Cheng Chen, Jill Abrigo et al.
Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the second most common and deadliest form of stroke. Despite medical advances, predicting treat ment outcomes for ICH remains a challenge. This paper proposes a novel prognostic model that utilizes both imaging and tabular data to predict treatment outcome for ICH. Our model is trained on observational data collected from non-randomized controlled trials, providing reliable predictions of treatment success. Specifically, we propose to employ a variational autoencoder model to generate a low-dimensional prognostic score, which can effectively address the selection bias resulting from the non-randomized controlled trials. Importantly, we develop a variational distributions combination module that combines the information from imaging data, non-imaging clinical data, and treatment assignment to accurately generate the prognostic score. We conducted extensive experiments on a real-world clinical dataset of intracerebral hemorrhage. Our proposed method demonstrates a substantial improvement in treatment outcome prediction compared to existing state-of-the-art approaches. Code is available at https://github.com/med-air/TOP-GPM
11.0IVApr 21, 2021
Rethinking Annotation Granularity for Overcoming Shortcuts in Deep Learning-based Radiograph Diagnosis: A Multicenter StudyLuyang Luo, Hao Chen, Yongjie Xiao et al.
Two DL models were developed using radiograph-level annotations (yes or no disease) and fine-grained lesion-level annotations (lesion bounding boxes), respectively named CheXNet and CheXDet. The models' internal classification performance and lesion localization performance were compared on a testing set (n=2,922), external classification performance was compared on NIH-Google (n=4,376) and PadChest (n=24,536) datasets, and external lesion localization performance was compared on NIH-ChestX-ray14 dataset (n=880). The models were also compared to radiologists on a subset of the internal testing set (n=496). Given sufficient training data, both models performed comparably to radiologists. CheXDet achieved significant improvement for external classification, such as in classifying fracture on NIH-Google (CheXDet area under the ROC curve [AUC]: 0.67, CheXNet AUC: 0.51; p<.001) and PadChest (CheXDet AUC: 0.78, CheXNet AUC: 0.55; p<.001). CheXDet achieved higher lesion detection performance than CheXNet for most abnormalities on all datasets, such as in detecting pneumothorax on the internal set (CheXDet jacknife alternative free-response ROC-figure of merit [JAFROC-FOM]: 0.87, CheXNet JAFROC-FOM: 0.13; p<.001) and NIH-ChestX-ray14 (CheXDet JAFROC-FOM: 0.55, CheXNet JAFROC-FOM: 0.04; p<.001). To summarize, fine-grained annotations overcame shortcut learning and enabled DL models to identify correct lesion patterns, improving the models' generalizability.