Zheng Qin

Xiaocai Zhang, Xiuju Fu, Zhe Xiao et al.

This paper investigates the prediction of vessels' arrival time to the pilotage area using multi-data fusion and deep learning approaches. Firstly, the vessel arrival contour is extracted based on Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation (MKDE) and clustering. Secondly, multiple data sources, including Automatic Identification System (AIS), pilotage booking information, and meteorological data, are fused before latent feature extraction. Thirdly, a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) framework that incorporates a residual mechanism is constructed to learn the hidden arrival patterns of the vessels. Extensive tests on two real-world data sets from Singapore have been conducted and the following promising results have been obtained: 1) fusion of pilotage booking information and meteorological data improves the prediction accuracy, with pilotage booking information having a more significant impact; 2) using discrete embedding for the meteorological data performs better than using continuous embedding; 3) the TCN outperforms the state-of-the-art baseline methods in regression tasks, exhibiting Mean Absolute Error (MAE) ranging from 4.58 min to 4.86 min; and 4) approximately 89.41% to 90.61% of the absolute prediction residuals fall within a time frame of 10 min.

Shen Ren, Qianxiao Li, Liye Zhang et al.

The future of mobility-as-a-Service (Maas)should embrace an integrated system of ride-hailing, street-hailing and ride-sharing with optimised intelligent vehicle routing in response to a real-time, stochastic demand pattern. We aim to optimise routing policies for a large fleet of vehicles for street-hailing services, given a stochastic demand pattern in small to medium-sized road networks. A model-based dispatch algorithm, a high performance model-free reinforcement learning based algorithm and a novel hybrid algorithm combining the benefits of both the top-down approach and the model-free reinforcement learning have been proposed to route the \emph{vacant} vehicles. We design our reinforcement learning based routing algorithm using proximal policy optimisation and combined intrinsic and extrinsic rewards to strike a balance between exploration and exploitation. Using a large-scale agent-based microscopic simulation platform to evaluate our proposed algorithms, our model-free reinforcement learning and hybrid algorithm show excellent performance on both artificial road network and community-based Singapore road network with empirical demands, and our hybrid algorithm can significantly accelerate the model-free learner in the process of learning.