Milan Češka

Joshua Wendland, Markel Zubia, Roman Andriushchenko et al.

We introduce missingness-MDPs (miss-MDPs), a novel subclass of partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) that incorporates the theory of missing data. A miss-MDP is a POMDP whose observation function is a missingness function, specifying the probability that individual state features are missing (i.e., unobserved) at a time step. The literature distinguishes three canonical missingness types: missing (1) completely at random (MCAR), (2) at random (MAR), and (3) not at random (MNAR). Our planning problem is to compute near-optimal policies for a miss-MDP with an unknown missingness function, given a dataset of action-observation trajectories. Achieving such optimality guarantees for policies requires learning the missingness function from data, which is infeasible for general POMDPs. To overcome this challenge, we exploit the structural properties of different missingness types to derive probably approximately correct (PAC) algorithms for learning the missingness function. These algorithms yield an approximate but fully specified miss-MDP that we solve using off-the-shelf planning methods. We prove that, with high probability, the resulting policies are epsilon-optimal in the true miss-MDP. Empirical results confirm the theory and demonstrate superior performance of our approach over two model-free POMDP methods.

Roman Andriushchenko, Ezio Bartocci, Milan Ceska et al.

Probabilistic hyperproperties specify quantitative relations between the probabilities of reaching different target sets of states from different initial sets of states. This class of behavioral properties is suitable for capturing important security, privacy, and system-level requirements. We propose a new approach to solve the controller synthesis problem for Markov decision processes (MDPs) and probabilistic hyperproperties. Our specification language builds on top of the logic HyperPCTL and enhances it with structural constraints over the synthesized controllers. Our approach starts from a family of controllers represented symbolically and defined over the same copy of an MDP. We then introduce an abstraction refinement strategy that can relate multiple computation trees and that we employ to prune the search space deductively. The experimental evaluation demonstrates that the proposed approach considerably outperforms HyperProb, a state-of-the-art SMT-based model checking tool for HyperPCTL. Moreover, our approach is the first one that is able to effectively combine probabilistic hyperproperties with additional intra-controller constraints (e.g. partial observability) as well as inter-controller constraints (e.g. agreements on a common action).

Linus Heck, Filip Macák, Roman Andriushchenko et al.

Shielding is a prominent model-based technique to ensure safety of autonomous agents. Classical shielding aims to ensure that nothing bad ever happens and comes with strong guarantees about safety and maximal permissiveness. However, shielding systems for probabilistic safety, where something bad is allowed to happen with an acceptable probability, has proven to be more intricate. This paper presents a formal framework that conservatively extends classical shields to probabilistic safety. In this framework, we (i) demonstrate the impossibility of preserving the strong guarantees on safety and permissiveness, (ii) provide natural shields with weaker guarantees, and (iii) introduce offline and online shield constructions ensuring strong safety guarantees. The empirical evaluation highlights the practical advantages of the new shields, as well as their computational feasibility.

Milan Češka, Sebastian Junges, Luko van der Maas et al.

Computing optimal conditional reachability probabilities in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is tractable by a reduction to reachability probabilities. Yet, this reduction yields cyclic, challenging MDPs that are often notoriously hard to solve. We present an alternative, practically efficient method to compute optimal conditional reachabilities. This new method is numerically stable, can decide the threshold problem in linear time on acyclic MDPs, and yields performance comparable to standard reachability queries. We also integrate the method in an abstraction-refinement framework to analyse millions of Markov chains at once. We demonstrate the efficacy of the new methods on benchmarks from Bayesian network analysis, probabilistic programs, and runtime monitoring and show speed-ups up to multiple orders of magnitude.

Linus Heck, Filip Macák, Milan Češka et al.

The ability to compute reward-optimal policies for given and known finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) underpins a variety of applications across planning, controller synthesis, and verification. However, we often want policies (1) to be robust, i.e., they perform well on perturbations of the MDP and (2) to satisfy additional structural constraints regarding, e.g., their representation or implementation cost. Computing such robust and constrained policies is indeed computationally more challenging. This paper contributes the first approach to effectively compute robust policies subject to arbitrary structural constraints using a flexible and efficient framework. We achieve flexibility by allowing to express our constraints in a first-order theory over a set of MDPs, while the root for our efficiency lies in the tight integration of satisfiability solvers to handle the combinatorial nature of the problem and probabilistic model checking algorithms to handle the analysis of MDPs. Experiments on a few hundred benchmarks demonstrate the feasibility for constrained and robust policy synthesis and the competitiveness with state-of-the-art methods for various fragments of the problem.

Francesco Pontiggia, Filip Macák, Roman Andriushchenko et al.

Multi-agent planning under stochastic dynamics is usually formalised using decentralized (partially observable) Markov decision processes ( MDPs) and reachability or expected reward specifications. In this paper, we propose a different approach: we use an MDP describing how a single agent operates in an environment and probabilistic hyperproperties to capture desired temporal objectives for a set of decentralized agents operating in the environment. We extend existing approaches for model checking probabilistic hyperproperties to handle temporal formulae relating paths of different agents, thus requiring the self-composition between multiple MDPs. Using several case studies, we demonstrate that our approach provides a flexible and expressive framework to broaden the specification capabilities with respect to existing planning techniques. Additionally, we establish a close connection between a subclass of probabilistic hyperproperties and planning for a particular type of Dec-MDPs, for both of which we show undecidability. This lays the ground for the use of existing decentralized planning tools in the field of probabilistic hyperproperty verification.

Roman Andriushchenko, Milan Ceska, Sebastian Junges et al.

This paper presents a novel method for the automated synthesis of probabilistic programs. The starting point is a program sketch representing a finite family of finite-state Markov chains with related but distinct topologies, and a PCTL specification. The method builds on a novel inductive oracle that greedily generates counter-examples (CEs) for violating programs and uses them to prune the family. These CEs leverage the semantics of the family in the form of bounds on its best- and worst-case behaviour provided by a deductive oracle using an MDP abstraction. The method further monitors the performance of the synthesis and adaptively switches between the inductive and deductive reasoning. Our experiments demonstrate that the novel CE construction provides a significantly faster and more effective pruning strategy leading to acceleration of the synthesis process on a wide range of benchmarks. For challenging problems, such as the synthesis of decentralized partially-observable controllers, we reduce the run-time from a day to minutes.

Milan Ceska, Jiri Matyas, Vojtech Mrazek et al.

We present a novel approach for designing complex approximate arithmetic circuits that trade correctness for power consumption and play important role in many energy-aware applications. Our approach integrates in a unique way formal methods providing formal guarantees on the approximation error into an evolutionary circuit optimisation algorithm. The key idea is to employ a novel adaptive search strategy that drives the evolution towards promptly verifiable approximate circuits. As demonstrated in an extensive experimental evaluation including several structurally different arithmetic circuits and target precisions, the search strategy provides superior scalability and versatility with respect to various approximation scenarios. Our approach significantly improves capabilities of the existing methods and paves a way towards an automated design process of provably-correct circuit approximations.

Milan Češka, Christian Hensel, Sebastian Junges et al.

Probabilistic programs are key to deal with uncertainty in e.g. controller synthesis. They are typically small but intricate. Their development is complex and error prone requiring quantitative reasoning over a myriad of alternative designs. To mitigate this complexity, we adopt counterexample-guided inductive synthesis (CEGIS) to automatically synthesise finite-state probabilistic programs. Our approach leverages efficient model checking, modern SMT solving, and counterexample generation at program level. Experiments on practically relevant case studies show that design spaces with millions of candidate designs can be fully explored using a few thousand verification queries.

Milan Ceska, Nils Jansen, Sebastian Junges et al.

This paper considers large families of Markov chains (MCs) that are defined over a set of parameters with finite discrete domains. Such families occur in software product lines, planning under partial observability, and sketching of probabilistic programs. Simple questions, like `does at least one family member satisfy a property?', are NP-hard. We tackle two problems: distinguish family members that satisfy a given quantitative property from those that do not, and determine a family member that satisfies the property optimally, i.e., with the highest probability or reward. We show that combining two well-known techniques, MDP model checking and abstraction refinement, mitigates the computational complexity. Experiments on a broad set of benchmarks show that in many situations, our approach is able to handle families of millions of MCs, providing superior scalability compared to existing solutions.