Kevin Moon

Jarrod Mau, Kevin Moon

Time series analysis is relevant in various disciplines such as physics, biology, chemistry, and finance. In this paper, we present a novel neural network architecture that integrates elements from ResNet structures, while introducing the innovative incorporation of the Taylor series framework. This approach demonstrates notable enhancements in test accuracy across many of the baseline datasets investigated. Furthermore, we extend our method to incorporate a recursive step, which leads to even further improvements in test accuracy. Our findings underscore the potential of our proposed model to significantly advance time series analysis methodologies, offering promising avenues for future research and application.

Thomas Kerby, Teresa White, Kevin Moon

In domains such as ecological systems, collaborations, and the human brain the variables interact in complex ways. Yet accurately characterizing higher-order variable interactions (HOIs) is a difficult problem that is further exacerbated when the HOIs change across the data. To solve this problem we propose a new method called Local Correlation Explanation (CorEx) to capture HOIs at a local scale by first clustering data points based on their proximity on the data manifold. We then use a multivariate version of the mutual information called the total correlation, to construct a latent factor representation of the data within each cluster to learn the local HOIs. We use Local CorEx to explore HOIs in synthetic and real world data to extract hidden insights about the data structure. Lastly, we demonstrate Local CorEx's suitability to explore and interpret the inner workings of trained neural networks.

Scott Gigante, Jay S. Stanley, Ngan Vu et al.

Diffusion maps are a commonly used kernel-based method for manifold learning, which can reveal intrinsic structures in data and embed them in low dimensions. However, as with most kernel methods, its implementation requires a heavy computational load, reaching up to cubic complexity in the number of data points. This limits its usability in modern data analysis. Here, we present a new approach to computing the diffusion geometry, and related embeddings, from a compressed diffusion process between data regions rather than data points. Our construction is based on an adaptation of the previously proposed measure-based Gaussian correlation (MGC) kernel that robustly captures the local geometry around data points. We use this MGC kernel to efficiently compress diffusion relations from pointwise to data region resolution. Finally, a spectral embedding of the data regions provides coordinates that are used to interpolate and approximate the pointwise diffusion map embedding of data. We analyze theoretical connections between our construction and the original diffusion geometry of diffusion maps, and demonstrate the utility of our method in analyzing big datasets, where it outperforms competing approaches.

Scott Gigante, David van Dijk, Kevin Moon et al.

Complex high dimensional stochastic dynamic systems arise in many applications in the natural sciences and especially biology. However, while these systems are difficult to describe analytically, "snapshot" measurements that sample the output of the system are often available. In order to model the dynamics of such systems given snapshot data, or local transitions, we present a deep neural network framework we call Dynamics Modeling Network or DyMoN. DyMoN is a neural network framework trained as a deep generative Markov model whose next state is a probability distribution based on the current state. DyMoN is trained using samples of current and next-state pairs, and thus does not require longitudinal measurements. We show the advantage of DyMoN over shallow models such as Kalman filters and hidden Markov models, and other deep models such as recurrent neural networks in its ability to embody the dynamics (which can be studied via perturbation of the neural network) and generate longitudinal hypothetical trajectories. We perform three case studies in which we apply DyMoN to different types of biological systems and extract features of the dynamics in each case by examining the learned model.