Yihao Ang

Yifan Bao, Xinyu Xi, Xinyu Liu et al.

Automated data science is a structured model-selection problem. A solution must choose data transformations, feature representations, architecture, training procedure, evaluation protocol, and refinement strategy for a task. AutoML systems automate parts of this process, but typically search within predefined pipeline, model, and hyperparameter spaces. LLM-based agents offer greater flexibility through retrieval, code generation, and execution feedback, yet their modelling decisions are often unstructured, difficult to verify, and hard to reuse. We introduce \textsc{MOSAIC} (Modular Orchestration for Structured Agentic Intelligence and Composition), a structured agentic framework for memory-grounded model selection and workflow construction. Given a task and dataset, \textsc{MOSAIC} builds a semantic task profile, retrieves prior cases and source-code modules, and constructs a blueprint: an intermediate representation specifying selected modelling components, composition, interface constraints, and execution requirements. This blueprint turns model selection into a staged, context-grounded search and grounds LLM-based code generation in retrieved evidence rather than unconstrained synthesis. Candidate models are validated by execution and refined using diagnostic feedback, training traces, task metrics, and a failure-aware reinforcement learning policy. We instantiate \textsc{MOSAIC} on financial time-series forecasting and generation, where models must satisfy predictive accuracy, distributional fidelity, execution reliability, and downstream financial criteria such as risk and tail behaviour. Experiments against AutoML and agentic baselines show that \textsc{MOSAIC} improves task performance, execution success, and decision traceability, demonstrating the value of treating automated data science as structured, reusable, and execution-grounded model selection.

Yihao Ang, Qiang Huang, Yifan Bao et al.

Synthetic Time Series Generation (TSG) is crucial in a range of applications, including data augmentation, anomaly detection, and privacy preservation. Although significant strides have been made in this field, existing methods exhibit three key limitations: (1) They often benchmark against similar model types, constraining a holistic view of performance capabilities. (2) The use of specialized synthetic and private datasets introduces biases and hampers generalizability. (3) Ambiguous evaluation measures, often tied to custom networks or downstream tasks, hinder consistent and fair comparison. To overcome these limitations, we introduce \textsf{TSGBench}, the inaugural Time Series Generation Benchmark, designed for a unified and comprehensive assessment of TSG methods. It comprises three modules: (1) a curated collection of publicly available, real-world datasets tailored for TSG, together with a standardized preprocessing pipeline; (2) a comprehensive evaluation measures suite including vanilla measures, new distance-based assessments, and visualization tools; (3) a pioneering generalization test rooted in Domain Adaptation (DA), compatible with all methods. We have conducted comprehensive experiments using \textsf{TSGBench} across a spectrum of ten real-world datasets from diverse domains, utilizing ten advanced TSG methods and twelve evaluation measures. The results highlight the reliability and efficacy of \textsf{TSGBench} in evaluating TSG methods. Crucially, \textsf{TSGBench} delivers a statistical analysis of the performance rankings of these methods, illuminating their varying performance across different datasets and measures and offering nuanced insights into the effectiveness of each method.

Yihao Ang, Qiang Wang, Qiang Huang et al.

Synthetic time series are essential tools for data augmentation, stress testing, and algorithmic prototyping in quantitative finance. However, in cryptocurrency markets, characterized by 24/7 trading, extreme volatility, and rapid regime shifts, existing Time Series Generation (TSG) methods and benchmarks often fall short, jeopardizing practical utility. Most prior work (1) targets non-financial or traditional financial domains, (2) focuses narrowly on classification and forecasting while neglecting crypto-specific complexities, and (3) lacks critical financial evaluations, particularly for trading applications. To address these gaps, we introduce \textsf{CTBench}, the first comprehensive TSG benchmark tailored for the cryptocurrency domain. \textsf{CTBench} curates an open-source dataset from 452 tokens and evaluates TSG models across 13 metrics spanning 5 key dimensions: forecasting accuracy, rank fidelity, trading performance, risk assessment, and computational efficiency. A key innovation is a dual-task evaluation framework: (1) the \emph{Predictive Utility} task measures how well synthetic data preserves temporal and cross-sectional patterns for forecasting, while (2) the \emph{Statistical Arbitrage} task assesses whether reconstructed series support mean-reverting signals for trading. We benchmark eight representative models from five methodological families over four distinct market regimes, uncovering trade-offs between statistical fidelity and real-world profitability. Notably, \textsf{CTBench} offers model ranking analysis and actionable guidance for selecting and deploying TSG models in crypto analytics and strategy development.

Yifan Bao, Yihao Ang, Qiang Huang et al.

Time Series Generation (TSG) has emerged as a pivotal technique in synthesizing data that accurately mirrors real-world time series, becoming indispensable in numerous applications. Despite significant advancements in TSG, its efficacy frequently hinges on having large training datasets. This dependency presents a substantial challenge in data-scarce scenarios, especially when dealing with rare or unique conditions. To confront these challenges, we explore a new problem of Controllable Time Series Generation (CTSG), aiming to produce synthetic time series that can adapt to various external conditions, thereby tackling the data scarcity issue. In this paper, we propose \textbf{C}ontrollable \textbf{T}ime \textbf{S}eries (\textsf{CTS}), an innovative VAE-agnostic framework tailored for CTSG. A key feature of \textsf{CTS} is that it decouples the mapping process from standard VAE training, enabling precise learning of a complex interplay between latent features and external conditions. Moreover, we develop a comprehensive evaluation scheme for CTSG. Extensive experiments across three real-world time series datasets showcase \textsf{CTS}'s exceptional capabilities in generating high-quality, controllable outputs. This underscores its adeptness in seamlessly integrating latent features with external conditions. Extending \textsf{CTS} to the image domain highlights its remarkable potential for explainability and further reinforces its versatility across different modalities.

Lehao Li, Qiang Huang, Yihao Ang et al.

Clustering mixed-type tabular data is fundamental for exploratory analysis, yet remains challenging due to misaligned numerical-categorical representations, uneven and context-dependent feature relevance, and disconnected and post-hoc explanation from the clustering process. We propose WISE, a Weight-Informed Self-Explaining framework that unifies representation, feature weighting, clustering, and interpretation in a fully unsupervised and transparent pipeline. WISE introduces Binary Encoding with Padding (BEP) to align heterogeneous features in a unified sparse space, a Leave-One-Feature-Out (LOFO) strategy to sense multiple high-quality and diverse feature-weighting views, and a two-stage weight-aware clustering procedure to aggregate alternative semantic partitions. To ensure intrinsic interpretability, we further develop Discriminative FreqItems (DFI), which yields feature-level explanations that are consistent from instances to clusters with an additive decomposition guarantee. Extensive experiments on six real-world datasets demonstrate that WISE consistently outperforms classical and neural baselines in clustering quality while remaining efficient, and produces faithful, human-interpretable explanations grounded in the same primitives that drive clustering.

Yihao Ang, Peicheng Yao, Yifan Bao et al.

Outlier detection in tabular data is crucial for safeguarding data integrity in high-stakes domains such as cybersecurity, financial fraud detection, and healthcare, where anomalies can cause serious operational and economic impacts. Despite advances in both data mining and deep learning, many existing methods struggle with mixed-type tabular data, often relying on encoding schemes that lose important semantic information. Moreover, they frequently lack interpretability, offering little insight into which specific values cause anomalies. To overcome these challenges, we introduce \textsf{\textbf{RFOD}}, a novel \textsf{\textbf{R}}andom \textsf{\textbf{F}}orest-based \textsf{\textbf{O}}utlier \textsf{\textbf{D}}etection framework tailored for tabular data. Rather than modeling a global joint distribution, \textsf{RFOD} reframes anomaly detection as a feature-wise conditional reconstruction problem, training dedicated random forests for each feature conditioned on the others. This design robustly handles heterogeneous data types while preserving the semantic integrity of categorical features. To further enable precise and interpretable detection, \textsf{RFOD} combines Adjusted Gower's Distance (AGD) for cell-level scoring, which adapts to skewed numerical data and accounts for categorical confidence, with Uncertainty-Weighted Averaging (UWA) to aggregate cell-level scores into robust row-level anomaly scores. Extensive experiments on 15 real-world datasets demonstrate that \textsf{RFOD} consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in detection accuracy while offering superior robustness, scalability, and interpretability for mixed-type tabular data.

Yihao Ang, Yifan Bao, Lei Jiang et al.

Time-series data is central to decision-making in financial markets, yet building high-performing, interpretable, and auditable models remains a major challenge. While Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks streamline model development, they often lack adaptability and responsiveness to domain-specific needs and evolving objectives. Concurrently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have enabled agentic systems capable of reasoning, memory management, and dynamic code generation, offering a path toward more flexible workflow automation. In this paper, we introduce \textsf{TS-Agent}, a modular agentic framework designed to automate and enhance time-series modeling workflows for financial applications. The agent formalizes the pipeline as a structured, iterative decision process across three stages: model selection, code refinement, and fine-tuning, guided by contextual reasoning and experimental feedback. Central to our architecture is a planner agent equipped with structured knowledge banks, curated libraries of models and refinement strategies, which guide exploration, while improving interpretability and reducing error propagation. \textsf{TS-Agent} supports adaptive learning, robust debugging, and transparent auditing, key requirements for high-stakes environments such as financial services. Empirical evaluations on diverse financial forecasting and synthetic data generation tasks demonstrate that \textsf{TS-Agent} consistently outperforms state-of-the-art AutoML and agentic baselines, achieving superior accuracy, robustness, and decision traceability.