Linbo Xiong

2papers

2 Papers

72.9PMMay 29
Regime-Adaptive Continual Learning for Portfolio Management

Chaofan Pan, Lingfei Ren, Linbo Xiong et al.

Financial markets are inherently non-stationary, exhibiting frequent regime shifts and structural changes that render traditional Portfolio Management (PM) approaches ineffective. Existing remedies, such as rolling-window retraining and naive online fine-tuning, are hindered by high computational costs and insufficient knowledge utilization, respectively, resulting in low returns and limited adaptability. Continual learning (CL) offers a promising paradigm by enabling trading agents to accumulate and transfer knowledge across sequential tasks. In this paper, we propose \textbf{Re}gime-aware \textbf{C}ontinual \textbf{A}daptive \textbf{P}ortfolio management (\textbf{ReCAP}), a novel framework that integrates CL into PM to address the challenges of dynamic financial environments. ReCAP employs an adaptive regime detection module to segment historical market data into variable-length regimes, enabling regime-specific learning of policy vectors and the construction of a policy library. During continual trading, a regime-gate module adaptively combines policy vectors from the library based on the current market state, facilitating rapid adaptation to newly detected regimes. Only the regime-gate and the current regime's policy vector are continually updated to preserve useful knowledge effectively. Extensive experiments on five real-world datasets demonstrate that ReCAP consistently outperforms popular baselines, achieving superior returns in long-term investment horizons and rapid adaptation to regime shifts.

LGJan 25, 2024
Multi-granularity Knowledge Transfer for Continual Reinforcement Learning

Chaofan Pan, Lingfei Ren, Yihui Feng et al.

Continual reinforcement learning (CRL) empowers RL agents with the ability to learn a sequence of tasks, accumulating knowledge learned in the past and using the knowledge for problemsolving or future task learning. However, existing methods often focus on transferring fine-grained knowledge across similar tasks, which neglects the multi-granularity structure of human cognitive control, resulting in insufficient knowledge transfer across diverse tasks. To enhance coarse-grained knowledge transfer, we propose a novel framework called MT-Core (as shorthand for Multi-granularity knowledge Transfer for Continual reinforcement learning). MT-Core has a key characteristic of multi-granularity policy learning: 1) a coarsegrained policy formulation for utilizing the powerful reasoning ability of the large language model (LLM) to set goals, and 2) a fine-grained policy learning through RL which is oriented by the goals. We also construct a new policy library (knowledge base) to store policies that can be retrieved for multi-granularity knowledge transfer. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the proposed MT-Core in handling diverse CRL tasks versus popular baselines.