Zijian Chen

Bohan Liang, Zijian Chen, Qi Jia et al.

Stock prediction, a subject closely related to people's investment activities in fully dynamic and live environments, has been widely studied. Current large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable potential in various domains, exhibiting expert-level performance through advanced reasoning and contextual understanding. In this paper, we introduce PriceSeer, a live, dynamic, and data-uncontaminated benchmark specifically designed for LLMs performing stock prediction tasks. Specifically, PriceSeer includes 110 U.S. stocks from 11 industrial sectors, with each containing 249 historical data points. Our benchmark implements both internal and external information expansion, where LLMs receive extra financial indicators, news, and fake news to perform stock price prediction. We evaluate six cutting-edge LLMs under different prediction horizons, demonstrating their potential in generating investment strategies after obtaining accurate price predictions for different sectors. Additionally, we provide analyses of LLMs' suboptimal performance in long-term predictions, including the vulnerability to fake news and specific industries. The code and evaluation data will be open-sourced at https://github.com/BobLiang2113/PriceSeer.

Nandan Thakur, Zijian Chen, Xueguang Ma et al.

Search agents, which integrate language models (LMs) with web search, are becoming crucial for answering complex user queries. Constructing training datasets for deep research tasks, involving multi-step retrieval and reasoning, remains challenging due to expensive human annotation, or cumbersome prerequisites. In this work, we introduce ORBIT, a training dataset with 20K reasoning-intensive queries with short verifiable answers, generated using a frugal framework without relying on paid API services. The modular framework relies on four stages: seed creation, question--answer pair generation, and two stages of verification: self and external. ORBIT spans 15 domains and each training pair requires 4--5 reasoning steps, with external search verification required from the complete web. We train Qwen3-4B as the base model on ORBIT using GRPO and evaluate it on Wikipedia question answering tasks. Extensive experiment results demonstrate that ORBIT-4B achieves strong performance among sub-4B LLMs as search agents, proving the utility of synthetic datasets. Our framework, code and datasets are open-sourced and available publicly.

Xianfeng Wang, Kaiwei Zhang, Qi Jia et al.

While Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have demonstrated impressive proficiency in high-level reasoning tasks, such as complex diagrammatic interpretation, it remains an open question whether they possess the fundamental visual primitives comparable to human intuition. To investigate this, we introduce KidVis, a novel benchmark grounded in the theory of human visual development. KidVis deconstructs visual intelligence into six atomic capabilities - Concentration, Tracking, Discrimination, Memory, Spatial, and Closure - already possessed by 6-7 year old children, comprising 10 categories of low-semantic-dependent visual tasks. Evaluating 20 state-of-the-art MLLMs against a human physiological baseline reveals a stark performance disparity. Results indicate that while human children achieve a near-perfect average score of 95.32, the state-of-the-art GPT-5 attains only 67.33. Crucially, we observe a "Scaling Law Paradox": simply increasing model parameters fails to yield linear improvements in these foundational visual capabilities. This study confirms that current MLLMs, despite their reasoning prowess, lack the essential physiological perceptual primitives required for generalized visual intelligence.

Zijian Chen, Xueguang Ma, Shengyao Zhuang et al.

Deep Research agents are rapidly emerging as primary consumers of modern retrieval systems. Unlike human users who issue and refine queries without documenting their intermediate thought processes, Deep Research agents generate explicit natural language reasoning before each search call, revealing rich intent and contextual information that existing retrievers entirely ignore. To exploit this overlooked signal, we introduce: (1) Reasoning-Aware Retrieval, a retrieval paradigm that jointly embeds the agent's reasoning trace alongside its query; and (2) DR-Synth, a data synthesis method that generates Deep Research retriever training data from standard QA datasets. We demonstrate that both components are independently effective, and their combination yields a trained embedding model, AgentIR-4B, with substantial gains. On the challenging BrowseComp-Plus benchmark, AgentIR-4B achieves 68\% accuracy with the open-weight agent Tongyi-DeepResearch, compared to 50\% with conventional embedding models twice its size, and 37\% with BM25. Code and data are available at: https://texttron.github.io/AgentIR/.

Xiaoxiao Wang, Chunxiao Li, Junying Wang et al.

As comprehensive large model evaluation becomes prohibitively expensive, predicting model performance from limited observations has become essential. However, existing statistical methods struggle with pattern shifts, data sparsity, and lack of explanation, while pure LLM methods remain unreliable. We propose STAR, a framework that bridges data-driven STatistical expectations with knowledge-driven Agentic Reasoning. STAR leverages specialized retrievers to gather external knowledge and embeds semantic features into Constrained Probabilistic Matrix Factorization (CPMF) to generate statistical expectations with uncertainty. A reasoning module guided by Expectation Violation Theory (EVT) then refines predictions through intra-family analysis, cross-model comparison, and credibility-aware aggregation, producing adjustments with traceable explanations. Extensive experiments show that STAR consistently outperforms all baselines on both score-based and rank-based metrics, delivering a 14.46% gain in total score over the strongest statistical method under extreme sparsity, with only 1--2 observed scores per test model.

Jinnao Li, Zijian Chen, Tingzhu Chen et al.

Geo-localization aims to infer the geographic location where an image was captured using observable visual evidence. Traditional methods achieve impressive results through large-scale training on massive image corpora. With the emergence of multi-modal large language models (MLLMs), recent studies have explored their applications in geo-localization, benefiting from improved accuracy and interpretability. However, existing benchmarks largely ignore the temporal information inherent in images, which can further constrain the location. To bridge this gap, we introduce GTPred, a novel benchmark for geo-temporal prediction. GTPred comprises 370 globally distributed images spanning over 120 years. We evaluate MLLM predictions by jointly considering year and hierarchical location sequence matching, and further assess intermediate reasoning chains using meticulously annotated ground-truth reasoning processes. Experiments on 8 proprietary and 7 open-source MLLMs show that, despite strong visual perception, current models remain limited in world knowledge and geo-temporal reasoning. Results also demonstrate that incorporating temporal information significantly enhances location inference performance.