Glauco Amigo

Glauco Amigo, Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón, Robert J. Marks et al.

The outcome of all time series cannot be forecast, e.g. the flipping of a fair coin. Others, like the repeated {01} sequence {010101...} can be forecast exactly. Algorithmic information theory can provide a measure of forecastability that lies between these extremes. The degree of forecastability is a function of only the data. For prediction (or classification) of labeled data, we propose three categories for forecastability: oracle forecastability for predictions that are always exact, precise forecastability for errors up to a bound, and probabilistic forecastability for any other predictions. Examples are given in each case.

Glauco Amigo, Pablo Rivas Perea, Robert J. Marks

Biased datasets are ubiquitous and present a challenge for machine learning. For a number of categories on a dataset that are equally important but some are sparse and others are common, the learning algorithms will favor the ones with more presence. The problem of biased datasets is especially sensitive when dealing with minority people groups. How can we, from biased data, generate algorithms that treat every person equally? This work explores one way to mitigate bias using a debiasing variational autoencoder with experiments on facial expression recognition.

Glauco Amigo, Justin M. Bui, Charles Baylis et al.

The identification of out-of-distribution content is critical to the successful implementation of neural networks. Watchdog techniques have been developed to support the detection of these inputs, but the performance can be limited by the amount of available data. Generative adversarial networks have displayed numerous capabilities, including the ability to generate facsimiles with excellent accuracy. This paper presents and empirically evaluates a multi-tiered watchdog, which is developed using GAN generated data, for improved out-of-distribution detection. The cascade watchdog uses adversarial training to increase the amount of available data similar to the out-of-distribution elements that are more difficult to detect. Then, a specialized second guard is added in sequential order. The results show a solid and significant improvement on the detection of the most challenging out-of-distribution inputs while preserving an extremely low false positive rate.