Prateek Humane

Alexis Roger, Prateek Humane, Zhenghan Tai et al.

Can language-pretrained transformers become effective time-series forecasters, and why? In this paper, we show that cross-modal transfer arises because language pretraining preconditions time series training with a reusable manifold. A linear probe on frozen LLM states decodes realistic time-series trajectories without paired supervision, and retrieval in this projected space yields competitive forecasts, showing that structure and dynamics exist before finetuning. Pretrained initialization also improves optimization, producing coherent gradients and a highly anisotropic loss landscape unlike random initialization. Finetuning then acts as low-dimensional alignment, reusing existing directions rather than learning temporal primitives from scratch, as evidenced by low-rank updates, subspace alignment, and shared features for periodicity, trend, and repetition. Together, these results support a geometric account of LLM-to-time-series transfer: language pretraining builds the manifold, and finetuning projects numerical dynamics onto task-relevant directions.

Prateek Humane, Paolo Cudrano, Daniel Z. Kaplan et al.

Fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) on chain-of-thought (CoT) data shows that a small amount of high-quality data can outperform massive datasets. Yet, what constitutes "quality" remains ill-defined. Existing reasoning methods rely on indirect heuristics such as problem difficulty or trace length, while instruction-tuning has explored a broader range of automated selection strategies, but rarely in the context of reasoning. We propose to define reasoning data quality using influence functions, which measure the causal effect of individual CoT examples on downstream accuracy, and introduce influence-based pruning, which consistently outperforms perplexity and embedding-based baselines on math reasoning within a model family.

Roland Riachi, Kashif Rasul, Arjun Ashok et al.

Recent works have demonstrated the effectiveness of adapting pre-trained language models (LMs) for forecasting time series in the low-data regime. We build upon these findings by analyzing the effective transfer from language models to time series forecasting under various design choices including upstream post-training, time series tokenizer and language backbone size. In the low-data regime, these design choices have a significant impact on the validation loss, with clear-cut choices that outperform others. Contrary to Hernandez et al. (2021), we observe that the validation loss of the LMs continues to smoothly decrease long after the validation loss of the randomly initialized models has converged, leading to a non-vanishing transfer gap that holds across design choices. These findings not only help shed light on the effective use of compute-efficient training for time series, but also open the way for the study of modality-agnostic properties of data distributions leveraged by these models.

Alexis Roger, Prateek Humane, Daniel Z. Kaplan et al.

The proliferation of Vision-Language Models (VLMs) in the past several years calls for rigorous and comprehensive evaluation methods and benchmarks. This work analyzes existing VLM evaluation techniques, including automated metrics, AI-based assessments, and human evaluations across diverse tasks. We first introduce Robin - a novel suite of VLMs that we built by combining Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Encoders (VEs) at multiple scales, and use Robin to identify shortcomings of current evaluation approaches across scales. Next, to overcome the identified limitations, we introduce CHIRP - a new long form response benchmark we developed for more robust and complete VLM evaluation. We provide open access to the Robin training code, model suite, and CHIRP benchmark to promote reproducibility and advance VLM research.