4 Papers

1.4LGFeb 6
Adaptive Uncertainty-Aware Tree Search for Robust Reasoning

Zeen Song, Zihao Ma, Wenwen Qiang et al.

Inference-time reasoning scaling has significantly advanced the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) in complex problem-solving. A prevalent approach involves external search guided by Process Reward Models (PRMs). However, a fundamental limitation of this framework is the epistemic uncertainty of PRMs when evaluating reasoning paths that deviate from their training distribution. In this work, we conduct a systematic analysis of this challenge. We first provide empirical evidence that PRMs exhibit high uncertainty and unreliable scoring on out-of-distribution (OOD) samples. We then establish a theoretical framework proving that while standard search incurs linear regret accumulation, an uncertainty-aware strategy can achieve sublinear regret. Motivated by these findings, we propose Uncertainty-Aware Tree Search (UATS), a unified method that estimates uncertainty via Monte Carlo Dropout and dynamically allocates compute budget using a reinforcement learning-based controller. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach effectively mitigates the impact of OOD errors.

0.6CLFeb 5
Causal Front-Door Adjustment for Robust Jailbreak Attacks on LLMs

Yao Zhou, Zeen Song, Wenwen Qiang et al.

Safety alignment mechanisms in Large Language Models (LLMs) often operate as latent internal states, obscuring the model's inherent capabilities. Building on this observation, we model the safety mechanism as an unobserved confounder from a causal perspective. Then, we propose the Causal Front-Door Adjustment Attack (CFA{$^2$}) to jailbreak LLM, which is a framework that leverages Pearl's Front-Door Criterion to sever the confounding associations for robust jailbreaking. Specifically, we employ Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) to physically strip defense-related features, isolating the core task intent. We further reduce computationally expensive marginalization to a deterministic intervention with low inference complexity. Experiments demonstrate that CFA{$^2$} achieves state-of-the-art attack success rates while offering a mechanistic interpretation of the jailbreaking process.

1.4LGMar 3
From Shallow to Deep: Pinning Semantic Intent via Causal GRPO

Shuyi Zhou, Zeen Song, Wenwen Qiang et al.

Large Language Models remain vulnerable to adversarial prefix attacks (e.g., ``Sure, here is'') despite robust standard safety. We diagnose this vulnerability as Shallow Safety Alignment, stemming from a pathology we term semantic representation decay: as the model generates compliant prefixes, its internal malicious intent signal fades. To address this, we propose Two-Stage Causal-GRPO (TSC-GRPO), a framework designed to achieve intent pinning. First, grounded in causal identifiability theory, we train a causal intent probe to disentangle invariant intent from stylistic perturbations. Second, we internalize this causal awareness into the policy via Group Relative Policy Optimization. By employing a cumulative causal penalty within ``fork-in-the-road'' training scenarios, we force the model to learn that accumulating harmful tokens monotonically decreases reward, enabling robust late-stage refusals. Experiments show that TSC-GRPO significantly outperforms baselines in defending against jailbreak attacks while preserving general utility.

1.4LGFeb 13
Closing the Loop: A Control-Theoretic Framework for Provably Stable Time Series Forecasting with LLMs

Xingyu Zhang, Hanyun Du, Zeen Song et al.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently shown exceptional potential in time series forecasting, leveraging their inherent sequential reasoning capabilities to model complex temporal dynamics. However, existing approaches typically employ a naive autoregressive generation strategy. We identify a critical theoretical flaw in this paradigm: during inference, the model operates in an open-loop manner, consuming its own generated outputs recursively. This leads to inevitable error accumulation (exposure bias), where minor early deviations cascade into significant trajectory drift over long horizons. In this paper, we reformulate autoregressive forecasting through the lens of control theory, proposing \textbf{F-LLM} (Feedback-driven LLM), a novel closed-loop framework. Unlike standard methods that passively propagate errors, F-LLM actively stabilizes the trajectory via a learnable residual estimator (Observer) and a feedback controller. Furthermore, we provide a theoretical guarantee that our closed-loop mechanism ensures uniformly bounded error, provided the base model satisfies a local Lipschitz constraint. Extensive experiments demonstrate that F-LLM significantly mitigates error propagation, achieving good performance on time series benchmarks.