Umut A. Acar

Nil-Jana Akpinar, Aaditya Ramdas, Umut Acar

Educational software data promises unique insights into students' study behaviors and drivers of success. While much work has been dedicated to performance prediction in massive open online courses, it is unclear if the same methods can be applied to blended courses and a deeper understanding of student strategies is often missing. We use pattern mining and models borrowed from Natural Language Processing (NLP) to understand student interactions and extract frequent strategies from a blended college course. Fine-grained clickstream data is collected through Diderot, a non-commercial educational support system that spans a wide range of functionalities. We find that interaction patterns differ considerably based on the assessment type students are preparing for, and many of the extracted features can be used for reliable performance prediction. Our results suggest that the proposed hybrid NLP methods can provide valuable insights even in the low-data setting of blended courses given enough data granularity.

Umut A. Acar, Alexander T. Ihler, Ramgopal Mettu et al.

Many algorithms and applications involve repeatedly solving variations of the same inference problem; for example we may want to introduce new evidence to the model or perform updates to conditional dependencies. The goal of adaptive inference is to take advantage of what is preserved in the model and perform inference more rapidly than from scratch. In this paper, we describe techniques for adaptive inference on general graphs that support marginal computation and updates to the conditional probabilities and dependencies in logarithmic time. We give experimental results for an implementation of our algorithm, and demonstrate its potential performance benefit in the study of protein structure.