Ralf‐Peter Mundani

John N. Jomo, Nils Zander, Mohamed Elhaddad et al.

The multi-level hp-refinement scheme is a powerful extension of the finite element method that allows local mesh adaptation without the trouble of constraining hanging nodes. This is achieved through hierarchical high-order overlay meshes, a hp-scheme based on spatial refinement by superposition. An efficient parallelization of this method using standard domain decomposition approaches in combination with ghost elements faces the challenge of a large basis function support resulting from the overlay structure and is in many cases not feasible. In this contribution, a parallelization strategy for the multi-level hp-scheme is presented that is adapted to the scheme's simple hierarchical structure. By distributing the computational domain among processes on the granularity of the active leaf elements and utilizing shared mesh data structures, good parallel performance is achieved, as redundant computations on ghost elements are avoided. We show the scheme's parallel scalability for problems with a few hundred elements per process. Furthermore, the scheme is used in conjunction with the finite cell method to perform numerical simulations on domains of complex shape.

Himmet Kaplan, Ralf-Peter Mundani, Heiko Rölke et al.

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment classification. Nevertheless, current methods built for the general financial market such as FinBERT cannot distinguish asset-specific value-driving factors. This paper addresses this shortcoming by presenting a method that identifies and classifies events that impact supply and demand in the crude oil markets within a large corpus of relevant news headlines. We then introduce CrudeBERT, a new sentiment analysis model that draws upon these events to contextualize and fine-tune FinBERT, thereby yielding improved sentiment classifications for headlines related to the crude oil futures market. An extensive evaluation demonstrates that CrudeBERT outperforms proprietary and open-source solutions in the domain of crude oil.

Himmet Kaplan, Ralf-Peter Mundani, Heiko Rölke et al.

Crude oil, a critical component of the global economy, has its prices influenced by various factors such as economic trends, political events, and natural disasters. Traditional prediction methods based on historical data have their limits in forecasting, but recent advancements in natural language processing bring new possibilities for event-based analysis. In particular, Language Models (LM) and their advancement, the Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT), have shown potential in classifying vast amounts of natural language. However, these LMs often have difficulty with domain-specific terminology, limiting their effectiveness in the crude oil sector. Addressing this gap, we introduce CrudeBERT, a fine-tuned LM specifically for the crude oil market. The results indicate that CrudeBERT's sentiment scores align more closely with the WTI Futures curve and significantly enhance price predictions, underscoring the crucial role of integrating economic principles into LMs.