Dengjia Zhang

Dengjia Zhang, Alexander Martin, William Jurayj et al.

We introduce Unified Multimodal Uncertain Inference (UMUI), a multimodal inference task spanning text, audio, and video, where models must produce calibrated probability estimates of hypotheses conditioned on a premise in any modality or combination. While uncertain inference has been explored in text, extension to other modalities has been limited to single-modality binary entailment judgments, leaving no framework for fine-grained probabilistic reasoning in or across other modalities. To address this, we curate a human-annotated evaluation set with scalar probability judgments across audio, visual, and audiovisual settings, and additionally evaluate on existing text and audio benchmarks. We introduce CLUE (Calibrated Latent Uncertainty Estimation), which combines self-consistent teacher calibration and distribution-based confidence probing to produce calibrated predictions. We demonstrate that our 3B-parameter model achieves equivalent or stronger performance than baselines up to 32B parameters across all modalities.

Debashish Chakraborty, Dengjia Zhang, Jialiang Jin et al.

Retrieval-augmented generation from videos requires systems to retrieve relevant audiovisual evidence from large corpora and synthesize it into coherent, attributed text. Current approaches struggle at both ends: retrieval methods fail on complex, multi-faceted queries that cannot be captured by a single embedding, while generation methods lack the high-level reasoning needed to synthesize across multiple videos and face memory constraints over long, multi-video contexts. We present MARQUIS: a three-stage pipeline that addresses these limitations through (1) query expansion, fusion, and reranking, (2) calibrated structured evidence extraction, and (3) article generation from extracted evidence, optionally controlled by an RLM. On the MAGMaR2026 shared task, we improve retrieval performance from 0.195 to 0.759 (nDCG@10). For article generation, ITER-QA-BASE improves average human score from 3.09 to 3.83 over the CAG baseline, while MARQUIS-RLM achieves a human score of 3.30 and the strongest citation recall among non-QA systems.

Dengjia Zhang, Xiaoou Liu, Lu Cheng et al.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as multi-step decision-making agents, where effective reward design is essential for guiding learning. Although recent work explores various forms of reward shaping and step-level credit assignment, a key signal remains largely overlooked: the intrinsic uncertainty of LLMs. Uncertainty reflects model confidence, reveals where exploration is needed, and offers valuable learning cues even in failed trajectories. We introduce SELAUR: Self Evolving LLM Agent via Uncertainty-aware Rewards, a reinforcement learning framework that incorporates uncertainty directly into the reward design. SELAUR integrates entropy-, least-confidence-, and margin-based metrics into a combined token-level uncertainty estimate, providing dense confidence-aligned supervision, and employs a failure-aware reward reshaping mechanism that injects these uncertainty signals into step- and trajectory-level rewards to improve exploration efficiency and learning stability. Experiments on two benchmarks, ALFWorld and WebShop, show that our method consistently improves success rates over strong baselines. Ablation studies further demonstrate how uncertainty signals enhance exploration and robustness.

Xiaoou Liu, Tiejin Chen, Dengjia Zhang et al.

Large Language Models have achieved strong performance on reasoning tasks with objective answers by generating step-by-step solutions, but diagnosing where a multi-step reasoning trace might fail remains difficult. Confidence estimation offers a diagnostic signal, yet existing methods are restricted to final answers or require internal model access. In this paper, we introduce Stepwise Confidence Attribution (SCA), a framework for closed-source LLMs that assigns step-level confidence based only on generated reasoning traces. SCA applies the Information Bottleneck principle: steps aligning with consensus structures across correct solutions receive high confidence, while deviations are flagged as potentially erroneous. We propose two complementary methods: (1) NIBS, a non-parametric IB approach measuring consistency without graph structures, and (2) GIBS, a graph-based IB model that learns subgraphs through a differentiable mask to capture logical variability. Extensive experiments on mathematical reasoning and multi-hop question answering show that SCA reliably identifies low-confidence steps strongly correlated with reasoning errors. Moreover, using step-level confidence to guide self-correction improves the correction success rate by up to 13.5\% over answer-level feedback.