Simone Silvestri

Jainam Dhruva, Yousaf Raza, A. B. Siddique et al.

Accurate short-term forecasting of residential energy load and indoor temperature is essential for home energy management systems, grid-level demand response, and community energy efficiency efforts. Domain adaptation and transfer learning have shown promise for improving forecasting accuracy under data heterogeneity and scarcity commonly seen in residential settings. However, progress is limited by the lack of comprehensive residential datasets: existing benchmarks are narrow in target coverage and rarely support structured cross-domain evaluation. We introduce RESCAST-100K, a large-scale residential forecasting benchmark for studying cross-domain generalization. It provides a configuration-driven interface that instantiates source and target domains along interpretable axes, including geography, climate zone, wall construction, and heating equipment, enabling systematic evaluation of transfer learning, domain adaptation, and zero-shot generalization under controlled domain shifts. The benchmark covers approximately 100,000 EnergyPlus-simulated U.S. homes derived from ResStock, with 15-minute time series for three coupled targets per home: total load, HVAC load, and indoor temperature. These are paired with weather channels, HVAC setpoints, and over 40 static building covariates. RESCAST-100K also integrates five real-world residential datasets under a unified schema, supporting sim-to-real evaluation on the same tasks. We benchmark recurrent, attention-based, and MLP-mixer architectures for zero-shot performance across domains, missing-input conditions, and forecasting tasks. Cross-attention and MLP-mixer models consistently outperform recurrent and classical transformer baselines under domain shift. RESCAST-100K is intended to aid the machine learning and building analytics communities advance cross-domain residential forecasting at home, community, and grid scale.

Ashutosh Timilsina, Simone Silvestri

The widespread adoption of distributed energy resources, and the advent of smart grid technologies, have allowed traditionally passive power system users to become actively involved in energy trading. Recognizing the fact that the traditional centralized grid-driven energy markets offer minimal profitability to these users, recent research has shifted focus towards decentralized peer-to-peer (P2P) energy markets. In these markets, users trade energy with each other, with higher benefits than buying or selling to the grid. However, most researches in P2P energy trading largely overlook the user perception in the trading process, assuming constant availability, participation, and full compliance. As a result, these approaches may result in negative attitudes and reduced engagement over time. In this paper, we design an automated P2P energy market that takes user perception into account. We employ prospect theory to model the user perception and formulate an optimization framework to maximize the buyer's perception while matching demand and production. Given the non-linear and non-convex nature of the optimization problem, we propose Differential Evolution-based Algorithm for Trading Energy called DEbATE. Additionally, we introduce a risk-sensitive Q-learning algorithm, named Pricing mechanism with Q-learning and Risk-sensitivity (PQR), which learns the optimal price for sellers considering their perceived utility. Results based on real traces of energy consumption and production, as well as realistic prospect theory functions, show that our approach achieves a 26% higher perceived value for buyers and generates 7% more reward for sellers, compared to a recent state of the art approach.

Ashutosh Timilsina, Simone Silvestri

The sharing-economy-based business model has recently seen success in the transportation and accommodation sectors with companies like Uber and Airbnb. There is growing interest in applying this model to energy systems, with modalities like peer-to-peer (P2P) Energy Trading, Electric Vehicles (EV)-based Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G), Vehicle-to-Home (V2H), Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V), and Battery Swapping Technology (BST). In this work, we exploit the increasing diffusion of EVs to realize a crowdsourcing platform called e-Uber that jointly enables ride-sharing and energy-sharing through V2G and BST. e-Uber exploits spatial crowdsourcing, reinforcement learning, and reverse auction theory. Specifically, the platform uses reinforcement learning to understand the drivers' preferences towards different ride-sharing and energy-sharing tasks. Based on these preferences, a personalized list is recommended to each driver through CMAB-based Algorithm for task Recommendation System (CARS). Drivers bid on their preferred tasks in their list in a reverse auction fashion. Then e-Uber solves the task assignment optimization problem that minimizes cost and guarantees V2G energy requirement. We prove that this problem is NP-hard and introduce a bipartite matching-inspired heuristic, Bipartite Matching-based Winner selection (BMW), that has polynomial time complexity. Results from experiments using real data from NYC taxi trips and energy consumption show that e-Uber performs close to the optimum and finds better solutions compared to a state-of-the-art approach

Xin Kai Lee, Ali Ramadhan, Andre Souza et al.

NORi is a machine-learned (ML) parameterization of ocean boundary layer turbulence that is physics-based and augmented with neural networks. NORi stands for neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) Richardson number (Ri) closure. The physical parameterization is controlled by a Richardson number-dependent diffusivity and viscosity. The NODEs are trained to capture the entrainment through the base of the boundary layer, which cannot be represented with a local diffusive closure. The parameterization is trained using large-eddy simulations in an "a posteriori" fashion, where parameters are calibrated with a loss function that explicitly depends on the actual time-integrated variables of interest rather than the instantaneous subgrid fluxes, which are inherently noisy. NORi is designed for the realistic nonlinear equation of state of seawater and demonstrates excellent prediction and generalization capabilities in capturing entrainment dynamics under different convective strengths, oceanic background stratifications, rotation strengths, and surface wind forcings. NORi is numerically stable for at least 100 years of integration time in large-scale simulations, despite only being trained on 2-day horizons, and can be run with time steps as long as one hour. The highly expressive neural networks, combined with a physically-rigorous base closure, prove to be a robust paradigm for designing parameterizations for climate models where data requirements are drastically reduced, inference performance can be directly targeted and optimized, and numerical stability is implicitly encouraged during training.