8.8LGJul 7
Efficient Long-Horizon Learning for Learned OptimizationXiaolong Huang, Benjamin Thérien, James Harrison et al.
Learned optimization aims to improve upon hand-designed optimizers (e.g., Adam and Muon) by meta-learning small neural network optimizers over a distribution of tasks. While recent work has greatly advanced the architectural design and inductive biases of learned optimizers (LOs), current meta-training approaches still suffer from two main difficulties: (1) they cannot efficiently scale meta-training to long-horizon inner problems and (2) they often fail to surpass comparable hand-designed optimizers. To address these limitations, we propose Efficient Long-hOrizon (ELO) learning, an efficient meta-training algorithm that (1) reallocates redundant meta-training compute to longer failure regimes, achieving efficient long-horizon learning, and (2) enforces decoupled progressive expert supervision, providing stable meta-learning signals that additionally improve the generalization of LOs. Our empirical study evaluates ELO for meta-training both element-wise and matrix-based LOs. Across downstream language modeling (GPT-2-124M/350M on FineWeb) and image classification (ViT-B/16, ResNet-50 on ImageNet-1K) tasks, ELO substantially improves the long-unroll performance and out-of-distribution generalization of the base LOs. In particular, ELO-Celo2 consistently outperforms well-tuned AdamW across all evaluated tasks, while remaining competitive with Muon on language modeling. \textit{Notably, all ELO baselines require less than 7 H100 GPU-hours for meta-training.}
1.4LGMar 2
Practical Deep Heteroskedastic RegressionMikkel Jordahn, Jonas Vestergaard Jensen, James Harrison et al.
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the target depends on the input, a common approach is to train a neural network that parameterizes the mean and the variance of the predictive distribution. Still, training deep heteroskedastic regression models poses practical challenges in the trade-off between uncertainty quantification and mean prediction, such as optimization difficulties, representation collapse, and variance overfitting. In this work we identify previously undiscussed fallacies and propose a simple and efficient procedure that addresses these challenges jointly by post-hoc fitting a variance model across the intermediate layers of a pretrained network on a hold-out dataset. We demonstrate that our method achieves on-par or state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification on several molecular graph datasets, without compromising mean prediction accuracy and remaining cheap to use at prediction time.
6.3LGJun 23
Efficient Analytic Uncertainty Quantification for Multi-Modal RegressionKun Jin, James Harrison, Jiawei Li et al.
Efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for trustworthy large-scale learning. Existing UQ methods for regression tasks mainly operate under the assumption that the conditional label marginal satisfies single-peak parametric models, e.g., Gaussians, where the negative log-likelihood function simplifies to the mean square error. However, such single-peak assumptions fail in regression tasks featuring multi-modal distributions. On the other hand, semi-parametric methods which achieve strong regression performance for multi-modal distributions often lack efficient quantification on their prediction variances. In this work, we extend UQ techniques based on Variational Bayesian Inference (VBI) to two widely used semi-parametric regression models that yield histogram-like reconstructions of the conditional label densities: Quantile Regression (QR) and Classification Restoration (CR). Our approach introduces a unified, distribution-agnostic framework that simultaneously achieves accurate estimation of complex conditional distributions and highly efficient UQ. Theoretically, our method is grounded in novel formulations of QR and CR within the VBI framework, yielding analytic Evidence Lower Bounds (ELBO) to streamline training and a closed-form or analytically approximated predictive density for efficient inference. Empirically, we evaluate our methods on three large-scale regression benchmarks with multi-modal label distributions. Our framework outperforms state-of-the-art multi-modal regression baselines, and even matches predictive performance of computationally expensive ensemble models. Furthermore, by leveraging epistemic uncertainty estimation, our approach enables highly data-efficient active learning strategies.