3 Papers

5.5CVApr 18
When Earth Foundation Models Meet Diffusion: An Application to Land Surface Temperature Super-Resolution

Yiheng Chen, Zihui Ma, Peishi Jiang et al.

Land surface temperature (LST) super-resolution is important for environmental monitoring. However, it remains challenging as coarse thermal observations severely underdetermine fine-scale structure. In this paper, we propose Earth Foundation Model-guided Diffusion (EFDiff), a novel framework for super-resolution under extreme spatial degradation. EFDiff uses the Prithvi-EO-2.0 Earth foundation model to encode high-resolution multispectral reflectance into geospatial embeddings, which are injected into the denoising network via cross-attention to guide fine-scale reconstruction from highly degraded observations. We study two variants, EFDiff-$ε$ and EFDiff-$x_0$, which offer complementary trade-offs between perceptual realism and pixel-level fidelity. We evaluate EFDiff under an extreme $32\times$ scale gap using a globally diverse benchmark comprising 242,416 co-registered Landsat thermal-reflectance patches. Results show that EFDiff consistently outperforms baseline methods and that cross-attention conditioning by EFM is more effective than HLS channel concatenation. Although we present EFDiff in the context of LST super-resolution, the framework is broadly applicable to remote sensing problems in which pretrained geospatial representations can guide generative reconstruction.

1.4LGMar 3
Role-Aware Conditional Inference for Spatiotemporal Ecosystem Carbon Flux Prediction

Yiming Sun, Runlong Yu, Rongchao Dong et al.

Accurate prediction of terrestrial ecosystem carbon fluxes (e.g., CO$_2$, GPP, and CH$_4$) is essential for understanding the global carbon cycle and managing its impacts. However, prediction remains challenging due to strong spatiotemporal heterogeneity: ecosystem flux responses are constrained by slowly varying regime conditions, while short-term fluctuations are driven by high-frequency dynamic forcings. Most existing learning-based approaches treat environmental covariates as a homogeneous input space, implicitly assuming a global response function, which leads to brittle generalization across heterogeneous ecosystems. In this work, we propose Role-Aware Conditional Inference (RACI), a process-informed learning framework that formulates ecosystem flux prediction as a conditional inference problem. RACI employs hierarchical temporal encoding to disentangle slow regime conditioners from fast dynamic drivers, and incorporates role-aware spatial retrieval that supplies functionally similar and geographically local context for each role. By explicitly modeling these distinct functional roles, RACI enables a model to adapt its predictions across diverse environmental regimes without training separate local models or relying on fixed spatial structures. We evaluate RACI across multiple ecosystem types (wetlands and agricultural systems), carbon fluxes (CO$_2$, GPP, CH$_4$), and data sources, including both process-based simulations and observational measurements. Across all settings, RACI consistently outperforms competitive spatiotemporal baselines, demonstrating improved accuracy and spatial generalization under pronounced environmental heterogeneity.

8.4LGMar 7
Retrieval-Augmented Multi-scale Framework for County-Level Crop Yield Prediction Across Large Regions

Yiming Sun, Qi Cheng, Licheng Liu et al.

This paper proposes a new method for crop yield prediction, which is essential for developing management strategies, informing insurance assessments, and ensuring long-term food security. Although existing data-driven approaches have shown promise in this domain, their performance often degrades when applied across large geographic regions and long time periods. This limitation arises from two key challenges: (1) difficulty in jointly capturing short-term and long-term temporal patterns, and (2) inability to effectively accommodate spatial data variability in agricultural systems. Ignoring these issues often leads to unreliable predictions for specific regions or years, which ultimately affects policy decisions and resource allocation. In this paper, we propose a new predictive framework to address these challenges. First, we introduce a new backbone model architecture that captures both short-term daily-scale crop growth dynamics and long-term dependencies across years. To further improve generalization across diverse spatial regions, we augment this model with a retrieval-based adaptation strategy. Recognizing the substantial yield variation across years, we design a novel retrieval-and-refinement pipeline that adjusts retrieved samples by removing cross-year bias not explained by input features. Our experiments on real-world county-level corn yield data over 630 counties in the US demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms different types of baselines. The results also verify the effectiveness of the retrieval-based augmentation method in improving model robustness under spatial heterogeneity.