18.8AIMar 11
Emulating Clinician Cognition via Self-Evolving Deep Clinical ResearchRuiyang Ren, Yuhao Wang, Yunsen Liang et al.
Clinical diagnosis is a complex cognitive process, grounded in dynamic cue acquisition and continuous expertise accumulation. Yet most current artificial intelligence (AI) systems are misaligned with this reality, treating diagnosis as single-pass retrospective prediction while lacking auditable mechanisms for governed improvement. We developed DxEvolve, a self-evolving diagnostic agent that bridges these gaps through an interactive deep clinical research workflow. The framework autonomously requisitions examinations and continually externalizes clinical experience from increasing encounter exposure as diagnostic cognition primitives. On the MIMIC-CDM benchmark, DxEvolve improved diagnostic accuracy by 11.2% on average over backbone models and reached 90.4% on a reader-study subset, comparable to the clinician reference (88.8%). DxEvolve improved accuracy on an independent external cohort by 10.2% (categories covered by the source cohort) and 17.1% (uncovered categories) compared to the competitive method. By transforming experience into a governable learning asset, DxEvolve supports an accountable pathway for the continual evolution of clinical AI.
5.9LGMar 11
A Bipartite Graph Approach to U.S.-China Cross-Market Return ForecastingJing Liu, Maria Grith, Xiaowen Dong et al.
This paper studies cross-market return predictability through a machine learning framework that preserves economic structure. Exploiting the non-overlapping trading hours of the U.S. and Chinese equity markets, we construct a directed bipartite graph that captures time-ordered predictive linkages between stocks across markets. Edges are selected via rolling-window hypothesis testing, and the resulting graph serves as a sparse, economically interpretable feature-selection layer for downstream machine learning models. We apply a range of regularized and ensemble methods to forecast open-to-close returns using lagged foreign-market information. Our results reveal a pronounced directional asymmetry: U.S. previous-close-to-close returns contain substantial predictive information for Chinese intraday returns, whereas the reverse effect is limited. This informational asymmetry translates into economically meaningful performance differences and highlights how structured machine learning frameworks can uncover cross-market dependencies while maintaining interpretability.