Lili Su

Ming Xiang, Stratis Ioannidis, Edmund Yeh et al.

Addressing intermittent client availability is critical for the real-world deployment of federated learning algorithms. Most prior work either overlooks the potential non-stationarity in the dynamics of client unavailability or requires substantial memory/computation overhead. We study federated learning in the presence of heterogeneous and non-stationary client availability, which may occur when the deployment environments are uncertain, or the clients are mobile. The impacts of heterogeneity and non-stationarity on client unavailability can be significant, as we illustrate using FedAvg, the most widely adopted federated learning algorithm. We propose FedAPM, which includes novel algorithmic structures that (i) compensate for missed computations due to unavailability with only $O(1)$ additional memory and computation with respect to standard FedAvg, and (ii) evenly diffuse local updates within the federated learning system through implicit gossiping, despite being agnostic to non-stationary dynamics. We show that FedAPM converges to a stationary point of even non-convex objectives while achieving the desired linear speedup property. We corroborate our analysis with numerical experiments over diversified client unavailability dynamics on real-world data sets.

Ming Xiang, Stratis Ioannidis, Edmund Yeh et al.

Federated learning (FL) is a decentralized learning framework wherein a parameter server (PS) and a collection of clients collaboratively train a model via minimizing a global objective. Communication bandwidth is a scarce resource; in each round, the PS aggregates the updates from a subset of clients only. In this paper, we focus on non-convex minimization that is vulnerable to non-uniform and time-varying communication failures between the PS and the clients. Specifically, in each round $t$, the link between the PS and client $i$ is active with probability $p_i^t$, which is $\textit{unknown}$ to both the PS and the clients. This arises when the channel conditions are heterogeneous across clients and are changing over time. We show that when the $p_i^t$'s are not uniform, $\textit{Federated Average}$ (FedAvg) -- the most widely adopted FL algorithm -- fails to minimize the global objective. Observing this, we propose $\textit{Federated Postponed Broadcast}$ (FedPBC) which is a simple variant of FedAvg. It differs from FedAvg in that the PS postpones broadcasting the global model till the end of each round. We show that FedPBC converges to a stationary point of the original objective. The introduced staleness is mild and there is no noticeable slowdown. Both theoretical analysis and numerical results are provided. On the technical front, postponing the global model broadcasts enables implicit gossiping among the clients with active links at round $t$. Despite $p_i^t$'s are time-varying, we are able to bound the perturbation of the global model dynamics via the techniques of controlling the gossip-type information mixing errors.

Muzi Peng, Jiangwei Wang, Dongjin Song et al.

Deep learning is the method of choice for trajectory prediction for autonomous vehicles. Unfortunately, its data-hungry nature implicitly requires the availability of sufficiently rich and high-quality centralized datasets, which easily leads to privacy leakage. Besides, uncertainty-awareness becomes increasingly important for safety-crucial cyber physical systems whose prediction module heavily relies on machine learning tools. In this paper, we relax the data collection requirement and enhance uncertainty-awareness by using Federated Learning on Connected Autonomous Vehicles with an uncertainty-aware global objective. We name our algorithm as FLTP. We further introduce ALFLTP which boosts FLTP via using active learning techniques in adaptatively selecting participating clients. We consider both negative log-likelihood (NLL) and aleatoric uncertainty (AU) as client selection metrics. Experiments on Argoverse dataset show that FLTP significantly outperforms the model trained on local data. In addition, ALFLTP-AU converges faster in training regression loss and performs better in terms of NLL, minADE and MR than FLTP in most rounds, and has more stable round-wise performance than ALFLTP-NLL.

Lili Su, Jiaming Xu, Pengkun Yang

This paper studies the problem of model training under Federated Learning when clients exhibit cluster structure. We contextualize this problem in mixed regression, where each client has limited local data generated from one of $k$ unknown regression models. We design an algorithm that achieves global convergence from any initialization, and works even when local data volume is highly unbalanced -- there could exist clients that contain $O(1)$ data points only. Our algorithm first runs moment descent on a few anchor clients (each with $\tildeΩ(k)$ data points) to obtain coarse model estimates. Then each client alternately estimates its cluster labels and refines the model estimates based on FedAvg or FedProx. A key innovation in our analysis is a uniform estimate on the clustering errors, which we prove by bounding the VC dimension of general polynomial concept classes based on the theory of algebraic geometry.

Ming Xiang, Lili Su

Federated Learning (FL) is a nascent decentralized learning framework under which a massive collection of heterogeneous clients collaboratively train a model without revealing their local data. Scarce communication, privacy leakage, and Byzantine attacks are the key bottlenecks of system scalability. In this paper, we focus on communication-efficient distributed (stochastic) gradient descent for non-convex optimization, a driving force of FL. We propose two algorithms, named {\em Adaptive Stochastic Sign SGD (Ada-StoSign)} and {\em $β$-Stochastic Sign SGD ($β$-StoSign)}, each of which compresses the local gradients into bit vectors. To handle unbounded gradients, Ada-StoSign uses a novel norm tracking function that adaptively adjusts a coarse estimation on the $\ell_{\infty}$ of the local gradients - a key parameter used in gradient compression. We show that Ada-StoSign converges in expectation with a rate $O(\log T/\sqrt{T} + 1/\sqrt{M})$, where $M$ is the number of clients. To the best of our knowledge, when $M$ is sufficiently large, Ada-StoSign outperforms the state-of-the-art sign-based method whose convergence rate is $O(T^{-1/4})$. Under bounded gradient assumption, $β$-StoSign achieves quantifiable Byzantine resilience and privacy assurances, and works with partial client participation and mini-batch gradients which could be unbounded. We corroborate and complement our theories by experiments on MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets.

Jiangwei Wang, Lili Su, Songyang Han et al.

Hybrid traffic which involves both autonomous and human-driven vehicles would be the norm of the autonomous vehicles practice for a while. On the one hand, unlike autonomous vehicles, human-driven vehicles could exhibit sudden abnormal behaviors such as unpredictably switching to dangerous driving modes, putting its neighboring vehicles under risks; such undesired mode switching could arise from numbers of human driver factors, including fatigue, drunkenness, distraction, aggressiveness, etc. On the other hand, modern vehicle-to-vehicle communication technologies enable the autonomous vehicles to efficiently and reliably share the scarce run-time information with each other. In this paper, we propose, to the best of our knowledge, the first efficient algorithm that can (1) significantly improve trajectory prediction by effectively fusing the run-time information shared by surrounding autonomous vehicles, and can (2) accurately and quickly detect abnormal human driving mode switches or abnormal driving behavior with formal assurance without hurting human drivers privacy. To validate our proposed algorithm, we first evaluate our proposed trajectory predictor on NGSIM and Argoverse datasets and show that our proposed predictor outperforms the baseline methods. Then through extensive experiments on SUMO simulator, we show that our proposed algorithm has great detection performance in both highway and urban traffic. The best performance achieves detection rate of 97.3%, average detection delay of 1.2s, and 0 false alarm.

Connor Mclaughlin, Matthew Ding, Denis Edogmus et al.

As the network scale increases, existing fully distributed solutions start to lag behind the real-world challenges such as (1) slow information propagation, (2) network communication failures, and (3) external adversarial attacks. In this paper, we focus on hierarchical system architecture and address the problem of non-Bayesian learning over networks that are vulnerable to communication failures and adversarial attacks. On network communication, we consider packet-dropping link failures. We first propose a hierarchical robust push-sum algorithm that can achieve average consensus despite frequent packet-dropping link failures. We provide a sparse information fusion rule between the parameter server and arbitrarily selected network representatives. Then, interleaving the consensus update step with a dual averaging update with Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as the proximal function, we obtain a packet-dropping fault-tolerant non-Bayesian learning algorithm with provable convergence guarantees. On external adversarial attacks, we consider Byzantine attacks in which the compromised agents can send maliciously calibrated messages to others (including both the agents and the parameter server). To avoid the curse of dimensionality of Byzantine consensus, we solve the non-Bayesian learning problem via running multiple dynamics, each of which only involves Byzantine consensus with scalar inputs. To facilitate resilient information propagation across sub-networks, we use a novel Byzantine-resilient gossiping-type rule at the parameter server.

Connor Mclaughlin, Matthew Ding, Deniz Erdogmus et al.

Fast and reliable state estimation and tracking are essential for real-time situation awareness in Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) operating in tactical environments or complicated civilian environments. Traditional centralized solutions do not scale well whereas existing fully distributed solutions over large networks suffer slow convergence, and are vulnerable to a wide spectrum of communication failures. In this paper, we aim to speed up the convergence and enhance the resilience of state estimation and tracking for large-scale networks using a simple hierarchical system architecture. We propose two ``consensus + innovation'' algorithms, both of which rely on a novel hierarchical push-sum consensus component. We characterize their convergence rates under a linear local observation model and minimal technical assumptions. We numerically validate our algorithms through simulation studies of underwater acoustic networks and large-scale synthetic networks.

Ruining Yang, Yi Xu, Yun Fu et al.

Trajectory prediction is a core task in autonomous driving. However, training advanced trajectory prediction models on existing large-scale datasets is both time-consuming and computationally expensive. More critically, these datasets are highly imbalanced in scenario density, with normal driving scenes (low-moderate traffic) overwhelmingly dominating the datasets, while high-density and safety-critical cases are underrepresented. As a result, models tend to overfit low/moderate-density scenarios and perform poorly in high-density scenarios. To address these challenges, we propose the SSTP framework, which constructs a compact yet density-balanced dataset tailored to trajectory prediction. SSTP consists of two main stages: (1)Extraction, where a baseline model is pretrained for a few epochs to obtain stable gradient estimates, and the dataset is partitioned by scenario density. (2)Selection, where gradient-based scores and a submodular objective select representative samples within each density category, while biased sampling emphasizes rare high-density interactions to avoid dominance by low-density cases. This approach significantly reduces the dataset size and mitigates scenario imbalance, without sacrificing prediction accuracy. Experiments on the Argoverse 1 and Argoverse 2 datasets with recent state-of-the-art models show that SSTP achieves comparable performance to full-dataset training using only half the data while delivering substantial improvements in high-density traffic scenes and significantly reducing training time. Robust trajectory prediction depends not only on data scale but also on balancing scene density to ensure reliable performance under complex multi agent interactions.

Leo Muxing Wang, Pengkun Yang, Lili Su

Despite the popularity of the actor-critic method and the practical needs of collaborative policy training, existing works typically either overlook environmental heterogeneity or give up personalization altogether by training a single shared policy across all agents. We consider a federated actor-critic framework in which agents share a common linear subspace representation while maintaining personalized local policy components, and agents iteratively estimate the common subspace, local critic heads, and local policies (i.e., actors). Under canonical single-timescale updates with Markovian sampling, we establish finite-time convergence via a novel joint linear approximation framework. Specifically, we show that the critic error converges to zero at the rate of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/((1-γ)^4\sqrt{TK}))$, and the policy gradient norm converges to zero at the rate of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/((1-γ)^6\sqrt{TK}))$, where $T$ is the number of rounds, $K$ is the number of agents, and $γ\in (0,1)$ is the discount factor. These results demonstrate linear speedup with respect to the number of agents $K$, despite heterogeneous Markovian trajectories under distinct transition kernels and coupled learning dynamics. To address these challenges, we develop a new perturbation analysis for the projected subspace updates and QR decomposition steps, together with conditional mixing arguments for heterogeneous Markovian noise. Furthermore, to handle the additional complications induced by policy updates and temporal dependence, we establish fine-grained characterizations of the discrepancies between function evaluations under Markovian sampling and under temporally frozen policies. Experiments instantiate the framework within PPO on federated \texttt{Hopper-v5} action-map heterogeneity, showing gains over Single PPO and FedAvg PPO and downstream transfer from the learned shared trunk.

Tongfe Guo, Taposh Banerjee, Rui Liu et al.

Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data and real-world conditions encountered during inference. In particular, the training dataset tends to overrepresent common scenes (e.g., straight lanes) while underrepresenting less frequent ones (e.g., traffic circles). In addition, it often overlooks unpredictable real-world events such as sudden braking or falling objects. To ensure safety, it is critical to detect in real-time when a model's predictions become unreliable. Leveraging the intuition that in-distribution (ID) scenes exhibit error patterns similar to training data, while out-of-distribution (OOD) scenes do not, we introduce a principled, real-time approach for OOD detection by framing it as a change-point detection problem. We address the challenging settings where the OOD scenes are deceptive, meaning that they are not easily detectable by human intuitions. Our lightweight solutions can handle the occurrence of OOD at any time during trajectory prediction inference. Experimental results on multiple real-world datasets using a benchmark trajectory prediction model demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.

Xiaochun Niu, Lili Su, Jiaming Xu et al.

Collaborative learning through latent shared feature representations enables heterogeneous clients to train personalized models with improved performance and reduced sample complexity. Despite empirical success and extensive study, the theoretical understanding of such methods remains incomplete, even for representations restricted to low-dimensional linear subspaces. In this work, we establish new upper and lower bounds on the statistical error in learning low-dimensional shared representations across clients. Our analysis captures both statistical heterogeneity (including covariate and concept shifts) and variation in local dataset sizes, aspects often overlooked in prior work. We further extend these results to nonlinear models including logistic regression and one-hidden-layer ReLU networks. Specifically, we design a spectral estimator that leverages independent replicas of local averages to approximate the non-convex least-squares solution and derive a nearly matching minimax lower bound. Our estimator achieves the optimal statistical rate when the shared representation is well covered across clients -- i.e., when no direction is severely underrepresented. Our results reveal two distinct phases of the optimal rate: a standard parameter-counting regime and a penalized regime when the number of clients is large or local datasets are small. These findings precisely characterize when collaboration benefits the overall system or individual clients in transfer learning and private fine-tuning.

Chao Huang, Wenshuo Zang, Carlo Pinciroli et al.

Compared with single robots, Multi-Robot Systems (MRS) can perform missions more efficiently due to the presence of multiple members with diverse capabilities. However, deploying an MRS in wide real-world environments is still challenging due to uncertain and various obstacles (e.g., building clusters and trees). With a limited understanding of environmental uncertainty on performance, an MRS cannot flexibly adjust its behaviors (e.g., teaming, load sharing, trajectory planning) to ensure both environment adaptation and task accomplishments. In this work, a novel joint preference landscape learning and behavior adjusting framework (PLBA) is designed. PLBA efficiently integrates real-time human guidance to MRS coordination and utilizes Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes with Varying Output Noise to quickly assess human preferences by leveraging spatial correlations between environment characteristics. An optimization-based behavior-adjusting method then safely adapts MRS behaviors to environments. To validate PLBA's effectiveness in MRS behavior adaption, a flood disaster search and rescue task was designed. 20 human users provided 1764 feedback based on human preferences obtained from MRS behaviors related to "task quality", "task progress", "robot safety". The prediction accuracy and adaptation speed results show the effectiveness of PLBA in preference learning and MRS behavior adaption.

Muxing Wang, Pengkun Yang, Lili Su

Large-scale multi-agent systems are often deployed across wide geographic areas, where agents interact with heterogeneous environments. There is an emerging interest in understanding the role of heterogeneity in the performance of the federated versions of classic reinforcement learning algorithms. In this paper, we study synchronous federated Q-learning, which aims to learn an optimal Q-function by having $K$ agents average their local Q-estimates per $E$ iterations. We observe an interesting phenomenon on the convergence speeds in terms of $K$ and $E$. Similar to the homogeneous environment settings, there is a linear speed-up concerning $K$ in reducing the errors that arise from sampling randomness. Yet, in sharp contrast to the homogeneous settings, $E>1$ leads to significant performance degradation. Specifically, we provide a fine-grained characterization of the error evolution in the presence of environmental heterogeneity, which decay to zero as the number of iterations $T$ increases. The slow convergence of having $E>1$ turns out to be fundamental rather than an artifact of our analysis. We prove that, for a wide range of stepsizes, the $\ell_{\infty}$ norm of the error cannot decay faster than $Θ(E/T)$. In addition, our experiments demonstrate that the convergence exhibits an interesting two-phase phenomenon. For any given stepsize, there is a sharp phase-transition of the convergence: the error decays rapidly in the beginning yet later bounces up and stabilizes. Provided that the phase-transition time can be estimated, choosing different stepsizes for the two phases leads to faster overall convergence.

Zewei Zhou, Ruining Yang, Xuewei et al.

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models offer a promising autonomous driving paradigm for leveraging world knowledge and reasoning capabilities, especially in long-tail scenarios. However, existing VLA models often struggle with the high latency in action generation using an autoregressive generation framework and exhibit limited robustness. In this paper, we propose SpanVLA, a novel end-to-end autonomous driving framework, integrating an autoregressive reasoning and a flow-matching action expert. First, SpanVLA introduces an efficient bridge to leverage the vision and reasoning guidance of VLM to efficiently plan future trajectories using a flow-matching policy conditioned on historical trajectory initialization, which significantly reduces inference time. Second, to further improve the performance and robustness of the SpanVLA model, we propose a GRPO-based post-training method to enable the VLA model not only to learn from positive driving samples but also to learn how to avoid the typical negative behaviors and learn recovery behaviors. We further introduce mReasoning, a new real-world driving reasoning dataset, focusing on complex, reasoning-demanding scenarios and negative-recovery samples. Extensive experiments on the NAVSIM (v1 and v2) demonstrate the competitive performance of the SpanVLA model. Additionally, the qualitative results across diverse scenarios highlight the planning performance and robustness of our model.

Connor Mclaughlin, Nigel Lee, Lili Su

Machine learning models often need to adapt to new data after deployment due to structured or unstructured real-world dynamics. The Continual Learning (CL) framework enables continuous model adaptation, but most existing approaches either assume each task contains sufficiently many data samples or that the learning tasks are non-overlapping. In this paper, we address the more general setting where each task may have a limited dataset, and tasks may overlap in an arbitrary manner without a priori knowledge. This general setting is substantially more challenging for two reasons. On the one hand, data scarcity necessitates effective contextualization of general knowledge and efficient knowledge transfer across tasks. On the other hand, unstructured task overlapping can easily result in negative knowledge transfer. To address the above challenges, we propose an adaptive mixture-of-experts (MoE) framework over pre-trained models that progressively establishes similarity awareness among tasks. Our design contains two innovative algorithmic components: incremental global pooling and instance-wise prompt masking. The former mitigates prompt association noise through gradual prompt introduction over time. The latter decomposes incoming task samples into those aligning with current prompts (in-distribution) and those requiring new prompts (out-of-distribution). Together, our design strategically leverages potential task overlaps while actively preventing negative mutual interference in the presence of per-task data scarcity. Experiments across varying data volumes and inter-task similarity show that our method enhances sample efficiency and is broadly applicable.

Mingze Wang, Lili Su, Cilin Yan et al.

The intelligent interpretation of buildings plays a significant role in urban planning and management, macroeconomic analysis, population dynamics, etc. Remote sensing image building interpretation primarily encompasses building extraction and change detection. However, current methodologies often treat these two tasks as separate entities, thereby failing to leverage shared knowledge. Moreover, the complexity and diversity of remote sensing image scenes pose additional challenges, as most algorithms are designed to model individual small datasets, thus lacking cross-scene generalization. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive remote sensing image building understanding model, termed RSBuilding, developed from the perspective of the foundation model. RSBuilding is designed to enhance cross-scene generalization and task universality. Specifically, we extract image features based on the prior knowledge of the foundation model and devise a multi-level feature sampler to augment scale information. To unify task representation and integrate image spatiotemporal clues, we introduce a cross-attention decoder with task prompts. Addressing the current shortage of datasets that incorporate annotations for both tasks, we have developed a federated training strategy to facilitate smooth model convergence even when supervision for some tasks is missing, thereby bolstering the complementarity of different tasks. Our model was trained on a dataset comprising up to 245,000 images and validated on multiple building extraction and change detection datasets. The experimental results substantiate that RSBuilding can concurrently handle two structurally distinct tasks and exhibits robust zero-shot generalization capabilities.

Tongfei Guo, Lili Su

In safety-critical Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), accurate trajectory prediction provides vital guidance for downstream planning and control, yet although deep learning models achieve high-fidelity forecasts on validation data, their reliability degrades under out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios caused by environmental uncertainty or rare traffic behaviors in real-world deployment; detecting such OOD events is challenging due to evolving traffic conditions and changing interaction patterns, while safety-critical applications demand formal guarantees on detection delay and false-alarm rates, motivating us-following recent work [1]-to formulate OOD monitoring for trajectory prediction as a quickest changepoint detection (QCD) problem that offers a principled statistical framework with established theory; we further observe that the real-world evolution of prediction errors under in-distribution (ID) conditions can be effectively modeled by a Hidden Markov Model (HMM), and by leveraging this structure we extend the cumulative Maximum Mean Discrepancy approach to enable detection without requiring explicit knowledge of the post-change distribution while still admitting provable guarantees on delay and false alarms, with experiments on three real-world driving datasets demonstrating reduced detection delay and robustness to heavy-tailed errors and unknown post-change conditions.

Leo, Wang, Pengkun Yang et al.

We study personalized multi-agent average reward TD learning, in which a collection of agents interacts with different environments and jointly learns their respective value functions. We focus on the setting where there exists a shared linear representation, and the agents' optimal weights collectively lie in an unknown linear subspace. Inspired by the recent success of personalized federated learning (PFL), we study the convergence of cooperative single-timescale TD learning in which agents iteratively estimate the common subspace and local heads. We showed that this decomposition can filter out conflicting signals, effectively mitigating the negative impacts of ``misaligned'' signals, and achieving linear speedup. The main technical challenges lie in the heterogeneity, the Markovian sampling, and their intricate interplay in shaping error evolutions. Specifically, not only are the error dynamics of multiple variables closely interconnected, but there is also no direct contraction for the principal angle distance between the optimal subspace and the estimated subspace. We hope our analytical techniques can be useful to inspire research on deeper exploration into leveraging common structures. Experiments are provided to show the benefits of learning via a shared structure to the more general control problem.

Connor J. Mclaughlin, Lili Su

Federated learning (FL) is a distributed learning framework that leverages commonalities between distributed client datasets to train a global model. Under heterogeneous clients, however, FL can fail to produce stable training results. Personalized federated learning (PFL) seeks to address this by learning individual models tailored to each client. One approach is to decompose model training into shared representation learning and personalized classifier training. Nonetheless, previous works struggle to navigate the bias-variance trade-off in classifier learning, relying solely on limited local datasets or introducing costly techniques to improve generalization. In this work, we frame representation learning as a generative modeling task, where representations are trained with a classifier based on the global feature distribution. We then propose an algorithm, pFedFDA, that efficiently generates personalized models by adapting global generative classifiers to their local feature distributions. Through extensive computer vision benchmarks, we demonstrate that our method can adjust to complex distribution shifts with significant improvements over current state-of-the-art in data-scarce settings.

Marie Siew, Haoran Zhang, Jong-Ik Park et al.

Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative learning across multiple clients. In most FL work, all clients train a single learning task. However, the recent proliferation of FL applications may increasingly require multiple FL tasks to be trained simultaneously, sharing clients' computing and communication resources, which we call Multiple-Model Federated Learning (MMFL). Current MMFL algorithms use naive average-based client-task allocation schemes that can lead to unfair performance when FL tasks have heterogeneous difficulty levels, e.g., tasks with larger models may need more rounds and data to train. Just as naively allocating resources to generic computing jobs with heterogeneous resource needs can lead to unfair outcomes, naive allocation of clients to FL tasks can lead to unfairness, with some tasks having excessively long training times, or lower converged accuracies. Furthermore, in the FL setting, since clients are typically not paid for their training effort, we face a further challenge that some clients may not even be willing to train some tasks, e.g., due to high computational costs, which may exacerbate unfairness in training outcomes across tasks. We address both challenges by firstly designing FedFairMMFL, a difficulty-aware algorithm that dynamically allocates clients to tasks in each training round. We provide guarantees on airness and FedFairMMFL's convergence rate. We then propose a novel auction design that incentivizes clients to train multiple tasks, so as to fairly distribute clients' training efforts across the tasks. We show how our fairness-based learning and incentive mechanisms impact training convergence and finally evaluate our algorithm with multiple sets of learning tasks on real world datasets.

Yi Xu, Ruining Yang, Yitian Zhang et al.

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have sparked growing interest in integrating language-driven techniques into trajectory prediction. By leveraging their semantic and reasoning capabilities, LLMs are reshaping how autonomous systems perceive, model, and predict trajectories. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of this emerging field, categorizing recent work into five directions: (1) Trajectory prediction via language modeling paradigms, (2) Direct trajectory prediction with pretrained language models, (3) Language-guided scene understanding for trajectory prediction, (4) Language-driven data generation for trajectory prediction, (5) Language-based reasoning and interpretability for trajectory prediction. For each, we analyze representative methods, highlight core design choices, and identify open challenges. This survey bridges natural language processing and trajectory prediction, offering a unified perspective on how language can enrich trajectory prediction.

Ming Xiang, Stratis Ioannidis, Edmund Yeh et al.

Federated learning is a popular distributed learning approach for training a machine learning model without disclosing raw data. It consists of a parameter server and a possibly large collection of clients (e.g., in cross-device federated learning) that may operate in congested and changing environments. In this paper, we study federated learning in the presence of stochastic and dynamic communication failures wherein the uplink between the parameter server and client $i$ is on with unknown probability $p_i^t$ in round $t$. Furthermore, we allow the dynamics of $p_i^t$ to be arbitrary. We first demonstrate that when the $p_i^t$'s vary across clients, the most widely adopted federated learning algorithm, Federated Average (FedAvg), experiences significant bias. To address this observation, we propose Federated Postponed Broadcast (FedPBC), a simple variant of FedAvg. FedPBC differs from FedAvg in that the parameter server postpones broadcasting the global model till the end of each round. Despite uplink failures, we show that FedPBC converges to a stationary point of the original non-convex objective. On the technical front, postponing the global model broadcasts enables implicit gossiping among the clients with active links in round $t$. Despite the time-varying nature of $p_i^t$, we can bound the perturbation of the global model dynamics using techniques to control gossip-type information mixing errors. Extensive experiments have been conducted on real-world datasets over diversified unreliable uplink patterns to corroborate our analysis.

Leo, Wang, Connor Mclaughlin et al.

Learning with shared representation is widely recognized as an effective way to separate commonalities from heterogeneity across various heterogeneous sources. Most existing work includes all related data sources via simultaneously training a common feature extractor and source-specific heads. It is well understood that data sources with low relevance or poor quality may hinder representation learning. In this paper, we further dive into the question of which data sources should be learned jointly by focusing on the traditionally deemed ``good'' collection of sources, in which individual sources have similar relevance and qualities with respect to the true underlying common structure. Towards tractability, we focus on the linear setting where sources share a low-dimensional subspace. We find that source screening can play a central role in statistically optimal subspace estimation. We show that, for a broad class of problem instances, training on a carefully selected subset of sources suffices to achieve minimax optimality, even when a substantial portion of data is discarded. We formalize the notion of an informative subpopulation, develop algorithms and practical heuristics for identifying such subsets, and validate their effectiveness through both theoretical analysis and empirical evaluations on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Ruining Yang, Yi Xu, Yixiao Chen et al.

Accurate trajectory prediction is fundamental to autonomous driving, as it underpins safe motion planning and collision avoidance in complex environments. However, existing benchmark datasets suffer from a pronounced long-tail distribution problem, with most samples drawn from low-density scenarios and simple straight-driving behaviors. This underrepresentation of high-density scenarios and safety critical maneuvers such as lane changes, overtaking and turning is an obstacle to model generalization and leads to overly optimistic evaluations. To address these challenges, we propose a novel trajectory generation framework that simultaneously enhances scenarios density and enriches behavioral diversity. Specifically, our approach converts continuous road environments into a structured grid representation that supports fine-grained path planning, explicit conflict detection, and multi-agent coordination. Built upon this representation, we introduce behavior-aware generation mechanisms that combine rule-based decision triggers with Frenet-based trajectory smoothing and dynamic feasibility constraints. This design allows us to synthesize realistic high-density scenarios and rare behaviors with complex interactions that are often missing in real data. Extensive experiments on the large-scale Argoverse 1 and Argoverse 2 datasets demonstrate that our method significantly improves both agent density and behavior diversity, while preserving motion realism and scenario-level safety. Our synthetic data also benefits downstream trajectory prediction models and enhances performance in challenging high-density scenarios.

Tongfei Guo, Lili Su

Trajectory prediction is central to the safe and seamless operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In deployment, however, prediction models inevitably face distribution shifts between training data and real-world conditions, where rare or underrepresented traffic scenarios induce out-of-distribution (OOD) cases. While most prior OOD detection research in AVs has concentrated on computer vision tasks such as object detection and segmentation, trajectory-level OOD detection remains largely underexplored. A recent study formulated this problem as a quickest change detection (QCD) task, providing formal guarantees on the trade-off between detection delay and false alarms [1]. Building on this foundation, we propose a new framework that introduces adaptive mechanisms to achieve robust detection in complex driving environments. Empirical analysis across multiple real-world datasets reveals that prediction errors -- even on in-distribution samples -- exhibit mode-dependent distributions that evolve over time with dataset-specific dynamics. By explicitly modeling these error modes, our method achieves substantial improvements in both detection delay and false alarm rates. Comprehensive experiments on established trajectory prediction benchmarks show that our framework significantly outperforms prior UQ- and vision-based OOD approaches in both accuracy and computational efficiency, offering a practical path toward reliable, driving-aware autonomy.

Lili Su, Ming Xiang, Jiaming Xu et al.

Federated learning is a decentralized machine learning framework that enables collaborative model training without revealing raw data. Due to the diverse hardware and software limitations, a client may not always be available for the computation requests from the parameter server. An emerging line of research is devoted to tackling arbitrary client unavailability. However, existing work still imposes structural assumptions on the unavailability patterns, impeding their applicability in challenging scenarios wherein the unavailability patterns are beyond the control of the parameter server. Moreover, in harsh environments like battlefields, adversaries can selectively and adaptively silence specific clients. In this paper, we relax the structural assumptions and consider adversarial client unavailability. To quantify the degrees of client unavailability, we use the notion of $ε$-adversary dropout fraction. We show that simple variants of FedAvg or FedProx, albeit completely agnostic to $ε$, converge to an estimation error on the order of $ε(G^2 + σ^2)$ for non-convex global objectives and $ε(G^2 + σ^2)/μ^2$ for $μ$ strongly convex global objectives, where $G$ is a heterogeneity parameter and $σ^2$ is the noise level. Conversely, we prove that any algorithm has to suffer an estimation error of at least $ε(G^2 + σ^2)/8$ and $ε(G^2 + σ^2)/(8μ^2)$ for non-convex global objectives and $μ$-strongly convex global objectives. Furthermore, the convergence speeds of the FedAvg or FedProx variants are $O(1/\sqrt{T})$ for non-convex objectives and $O(1/T)$ for strongly-convex objectives, both of which are the best possible for any first-order method that only has access to noisy gradients.

Lili Su, Jiaming Xu, Pengkun Yang

Federated Learning (FL) is a promising decentralized learning framework and has great potentials in privacy preservation and in lowering the computation load at the cloud. Recent work showed that FedAvg and FedProx - the two widely-adopted FL algorithms - fail to reach the stationary points of the global optimization objective even for homogeneous linear regression problems. Further, it is concerned that the common model learned might not generalize well locally at all in the presence of heterogeneity. In this paper, we analyze the convergence and statistical efficiency of FedAvg and FedProx, addressing the above two concerns. Our analysis is based on the standard non-parametric regression in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), and allows for heterogeneous local data distributions and unbalanced local datasets. We prove that the estimation errors, measured in either the empirical norm or the RKHS norm, decay with a rate of 1/t in general and exponentially for finite-rank kernels. In certain heterogeneous settings, these upper bounds also imply that both FedAvg and FedProx achieve the optimal error rate. To further analytically quantify the impact of the heterogeneity at each client, we propose and characterize a novel notion-federation gain, defined as the reduction of the estimation error for a client to join the FL. We discover that when the data heterogeneity is moderate, a client with limited local data can benefit from a common model with a large federation gain. Numerical experiments further corroborate our theoretical findings.

Lili Su, Pengkun Yang

We consider training over-parameterized two-layer neural networks with Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) using gradient descent (GD) method. Inspired by a recent line of work, we study the evolutions of network prediction errors across GD iterations, which can be neatly described in a matrix form. When the network is sufficiently over-parameterized, these matrices individually approximate {\em an} integral operator which is determined by the feature vector distribution $ρ$ only. Consequently, GD method can be viewed as {\em approximately} applying the powers of this integral operator on the underlying/target function $f^*$ that generates the responses/labels. We show that if $f^*$ admits a low-rank approximation with respect to the eigenspaces of this integral operator, then the empirical risk decreases to this low-rank approximation error at a linear rate which is determined by $f^*$ and $ρ$ only, i.e., the rate is independent of the sample size $n$. Furthermore, if $f^*$ has zero low-rank approximation error, then, as long as the width of the neural network is $Ω(n\log n)$, the empirical risk decreases to $Θ(1/\sqrt{n})$. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first result showing the sufficiency of nearly-linear network over-parameterization. We provide an application of our general results to the setting where $ρ$ is the uniform distribution on the spheres and $f^*$ is a polynomial. Throughout this paper, we consider the scenario where the input dimension $d$ is fixed.

Lili Su, Shahin Shahrampour

This work considers resilient, cooperative state estimation in unreliable multi-agent networks. A network of agents aims to collaboratively estimate the value of an unknown vector parameter, while an {\em unknown} subset of agents suffer Byzantine faults. Faulty agents malfunction arbitrarily and may send out {\em highly unstructured} messages to other agents in the network. As opposed to fault-free networks, reaching agreement in the presence of Byzantine faults is far from trivial. In this paper, we propose a computationally-efficient algorithm that is provably robust to Byzantine faults. At each iteration of the algorithm, a good agent (1) performs a gradient descent update based on noisy local measurements, (2) exchanges its update with other agents in its neighborhood, and (3) robustly aggregates the received messages using coordinate-wise trimmed means. Under mild technical assumptions, we establish that good agents learn the true parameter asymptotically in almost sure sense. We further complement our analysis by proving (high probability) {\em finite-time} convergence rate, encapsulating network characteristics.

Lili Su, Jiaming Xu

We consider unreliable distributed learning systems wherein the training data is kept confidential by external workers, and the learner has to interact closely with those workers to train a model. In particular, we assume that there exists a system adversary that can adaptively compromise some workers; the compromised workers deviate from their local designed specifications by sending out arbitrarily malicious messages. We assume in each communication round, up to $q$ out of the $m$ workers suffer Byzantine faults. Each worker keeps a local sample of size $n$ and the total sample size is $N=nm$. We propose a secured variant of the gradient descent method that can tolerate up to a constant fraction of Byzantine workers, i.e., $q/m = O(1)$. Moreover, we show the statistical estimation error of the iterates converges in $O(\log N)$ rounds to $O(\sqrt{q/N} + \sqrt{d/N})$, where $d$ is the model dimension. As long as $q=O(d)$, our proposed algorithm achieves the optimal error rate $O(\sqrt{d/N})$. Our results are obtained under some technical assumptions. Specifically, we assume strongly-convex population risk. Nevertheless, the empirical risk (sample version) is allowed to be non-convex. The core of our method is to robustly aggregate the gradients computed by the workers based on the filtering procedure proposed by Steinhardt et al. On the technical front, deviating from the existing literature on robustly estimating a finite-dimensional mean vector, we establish a {\em uniform} concentration of the sample covariance matrix of gradients, and show that the aggregated gradient, as a function of model parameter, converges uniformly to the true gradient function. To get a near-optimal uniform concentration bound, we develop a new matrix concentration inequality, which might be of independent interest.

Lili Su, Martin Zubeldia, Nancy Lynch

We consider multi-armed bandit problems in social groups wherein each individual has bounded memory and shares the common goal of learning the best arm/option. We say an individual learns the best option if eventually (as $t \to \infty$) it pulls only the arm with the highest average reward. While this goal is provably impossible for an isolated individual, we show that, in social groups, this goal can be achieved easily with the aid of social persuasion, i.e., communication. Specifically, we study the learning dynamics wherein an individual sequentially decides on which arm to pull next based on not only its private reward feedback but also the suggestions provided by randomly chosen peers. Our learning dynamics are hard to analyze via explicit probabilistic calculations due to the stochastic dependency induced by social interaction. Instead, we employ the mean-field approximation method from statistical physics and we show: (1) With probability $\to 1$ as the social group size $N \to \infty $, every individual in the social group learns the best option. (2) Over an arbitrary finite time horizon $[0, T]$, with high probability (in $N$), the fraction of individuals that prefer the best option grows to 1 exponentially fast as $t$ increases ($t\in [0, T]$). A major innovation of our mean-filed analysis is a simple yet powerful technique to deal with absorbing states in the interchange of limits $N \to \infty$ and $t \to \infty $. The mean-field approximation method allows us to approximate the probabilistic sample paths of our learning dynamics by a deterministic and smooth trajectory that corresponds to the unique solution of a well-behaved system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Such an approximation is desired because the analysis of a system of ODEs is relatively easier than that of the original stochastic system.

Yudong Chen, Lili Su, Jiaming Xu

We consider the problem of distributed statistical machine learning in adversarial settings, where some unknown and time-varying subset of working machines may be compromised and behave arbitrarily to prevent an accurate model from being learned. This setting captures the potential adversarial attacks faced by Federated Learning -- a modern machine learning paradigm that is proposed by Google researchers and has been intensively studied for ensuring user privacy. Formally, we focus on a distributed system consisting of a parameter server and $m$ working machines. Each working machine keeps $N/m$ data samples, where $N$ is the total number of samples. The goal is to collectively learn the underlying true model parameter of dimension $d$. In classical batch gradient descent methods, the gradients reported to the server by the working machines are aggregated via simple averaging, which is vulnerable to a single Byzantine failure. In this paper, we propose a Byzantine gradient descent method based on the geometric median of means of the gradients. We show that our method can tolerate $q \le (m-1)/2$ Byzantine failures, and the parameter estimate converges in $O(\log N)$ rounds with an estimation error of $\sqrt{d(2q+1)/N}$, hence approaching the optimal error rate $\sqrt{d/N}$ in the centralized and failure-free setting. The total computational complexity of our algorithm is of $O((Nd/m) \log N)$ at each working machine and $O(md + kd \log^3 N)$ at the central server, and the total communication cost is of $O(m d \log N)$. We further provide an application of our general results to the linear regression problem. A key challenge arises in the above problem is that Byzantine failures create arbitrary and unspecified dependency among the iterations and the aggregated gradients. We prove that the aggregated gradient converges uniformly to the true gradient function.

Lili Su, Nitin H. Vaidya

This paper addresses the problem of non-Bayesian learning over multi-agent networks, where agents repeatedly collect partially informative observations about an unknown state of the world, and try to collaboratively learn the true state. We focus on the impact of the adversarial agents on the performance of consensus-based non-Bayesian learning, where non-faulty agents combine local learning updates with consensus primitives. In particular, we consider the scenario where an unknown subset of agents suffer Byzantine faults -- agents suffering Byzantine faults behave arbitrarily. Two different learning rules are proposed.