David Fernández Llorca

CV
h-index34
28papers
809citations
Novelty29%
AI Score29

28 Papers

14.7AIDec 7, 2022Code
Towards Explainable Motion Prediction using Heterogeneous Graph Representations

Sandra Carrasco Limeros, Sylwia Majchrowska, Joakim Johnander et al.

Motion prediction systems aim to capture the future behavior of traffic scenarios enabling autonomous vehicles to perform safe and efficient planning. The evolution of these scenarios is highly uncertain and depends on the interactions of agents with static and dynamic objects in the scene. GNN-based approaches have recently gained attention as they are well suited to naturally model these interactions. However, one of the main challenges that remains unexplored is how to address the complexity and opacity of these models in order to deal with the transparency requirements for autonomous driving systems, which includes aspects such as interpretability and explainability. In this work, we aim to improve the explainability of motion prediction systems by using different approaches. First, we propose a new Explainable Heterogeneous Graph-based Policy (XHGP) model based on an heterograph representation of the traffic scene and lane-graph traversals, which learns interaction behaviors using object-level and type-level attention. This learned attention provides information about the most important agents and interactions in the scene. Second, we explore this same idea with the explanations provided by GNNExplainer. Third, we apply counterfactual reasoning to provide explanations of selected individual scenarios by exploring the sensitivity of the trained model to changes made to the input data, i.e., masking some elements of the scene, modifying trajectories, and adding or removing dynamic agents. The explainability analysis provided in this paper is a first step towards more transparent and reliable motion prediction systems, important from the perspective of the user, developers and regulatory agencies. The code to reproduce this work is publicly available at https://github.com/sancarlim/Explainable-MP/tree/v1.1.

8.1CVJul 4, 2022
Vehicle Trajectory Prediction on Highways Using Bird Eye View Representations and Deep Learning

Rubén Izquierdo, Álvaro Quintanar, David Fernández Llorca et al.

This work presents a novel method for predicting vehicle trajectories in highway scenarios using efficient bird's eye view representations and convolutional neural networks. Vehicle positions, motion histories, road configuration, and vehicle interactions are easily included in the prediction model using basic visual representations. The U-net model has been selected as the prediction kernel to generate future visual representations of the scene using an image-to-image regression approach. A method has been implemented to extract vehicle positions from the generated graphical representations to achieve subpixel resolution. The method has been trained and evaluated using the PREVENTION dataset, an on-board sensor dataset. Different network configurations and scene representations have been evaluated. This study found that U-net with 6 depth levels using a linear terminal layer and a Gaussian representation of the vehicles is the best performing configuration. The use of lane markings was found to produce no improvement in prediction performance. The average prediction error is 0.47 and 0.38 meters and the final prediction error is 0.76 and 0.53 meters for longitudinal and lateral coordinates, respectively, for a predicted trajectory length of 2.0 seconds. The prediction error is up to 50% lower compared to the baseline method.

10.2ROOct 28, 2022Code
Towards trustworthy multi-modal motion prediction: Holistic evaluation and interpretability of outputs

Sandra Carrasco Limeros, Sylwia Majchrowska, Joakim Johnander et al.

Predicting the motion of other road agents enables autonomous vehicles to perform safe and efficient path planning. This task is very complex, as the behaviour of road agents depends on many factors and the number of possible future trajectories can be considerable (multi-modal). Most prior approaches proposed to address multi-modal motion prediction are based on complex machine learning systems that have limited interpretability. Moreover, the metrics used in current benchmarks do not evaluate all aspects of the problem, such as the diversity and admissibility of the output. In this work, we aim to advance towards the design of trustworthy motion prediction systems, based on some of the requirements for the design of Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence. We focus on evaluation criteria, robustness, and interpretability of outputs. First, we comprehensively analyse the evaluation metrics, identify the main gaps of current benchmarks, and propose a new holistic evaluation framework. We then introduce a method for the assessment of spatial and temporal robustness by simulating noise in the perception system. To enhance the interpretability of the outputs and generate more balanced results in the proposed evaluation framework, we propose an intent prediction layer that can be attached to multi-modal motion prediction models. The effectiveness of this approach is assessed through a survey that explores different elements in the visualization of the multi-modal trajectories and intentions. The proposed approach and findings make a significant contribution to the development of trustworthy motion prediction systems for autonomous vehicles, advancing the field towards greater safety and reliability.

10.2AIApr 25, 2022
Testing predictive automated driving systems: lessons learned and future recommendations

Rubén Izquierdo Gonzalo, Carlota Salinas Maldonado, Javier Alonso Ruiz et al.

Conventional vehicles are certified through classical approaches, where different physical certification tests are set up on test tracks to assess required safety levels. These approaches are well suited for vehicles with limited complexity and limited interactions with other entities as last-second resources. However, these approaches do not allow to evaluate safety with real behaviors for critical and edge cases, nor to evaluate the ability to anticipate them in the mid or long term. This is particularly relevant for automated and autonomous driving functions that make use of advanced predictive systems to anticipate future actions and motions to be considered in the path planning layer. In this paper, we present and analyze the results of physical tests on proving grounds of several predictive systems in automated driving functions developed within the framework of the BRAVE project. Based on our experience in testing predictive automated driving functions, we identify the main limitations of current physical testing approaches when dealing with predictive systems, analyze the main challenges ahead, and provide a set of practical actions and recommendations to consider in future physical testing procedures for automated and autonomous driving functions.

6.7HCJul 4, 2024
Behavioural gap assessment of human-vehicle interaction in real and virtual reality-based scenarios in autonomous driving

Sergio. Martín Serrano, Rubén Izquierdo, Iván García Daza et al.

In the field of autonomous driving research, the use of immersive virtual reality (VR) techniques is widespread to enable a variety of studies under safe and controlled conditions. However, this methodology is only valid and consistent if the conduct of participants in the simulated setting mirrors their actions in an actual environment. In this paper, we present a first and innovative approach to evaluating what we term the behavioural gap, a concept that captures the disparity in a participant's conduct when engaging in a VR experiment compared to an equivalent real-world situation. To this end, we developed a digital twin of a pre-existed crosswalk and carried out a field experiment (N=18) to investigate pedestrian-autonomous vehicle interaction in both real and simulated driving conditions. In the experiment, the pedestrian attempts to cross the road in the presence of different driving styles and an external Human-Machine Interface (eHMI). By combining survey-based and behavioural analysis methodologies, we develop a quantitative approach to empirically assess the behavioural gap, as a mechanism to validate data obtained from real subjects interacting in a simulated VR-based environment. Results show that participants are more cautious and curious in VR, affecting their speed and decisions, and that VR interfaces significantly influence their actions.

10.8CYJun 23, 2023
Use case cards: a use case reporting framework inspired by the European AI Act

Isabelle Hupont, David Fernández-Llorca, Sandra Baldassarri et al.

Despite recent efforts by the Artificial Intelligence (AI) community to move towards standardised procedures for documenting models, methods, systems or datasets, there is currently no methodology focused on use cases aligned with the risk-based approach of the European AI Act (AI Act). In this paper, we propose a new framework for the documentation of use cases, that we call "use case cards", based on the use case modelling included in the Unified Markup Language (UML) standard. Unlike other documentation methodologies, we focus on the intended purpose and operational use of an AI system. It consists of two main parts. Firstly, a UML-based template, tailored to allow implicitly assessing the risk level of the AI system and defining relevant requirements. Secondly, a supporting UML diagram designed to provide information about the system-user interactions and relationships. The proposed framework is the result of a co-design process involving a relevant team of EU policy experts and scientists. We have validated our proposal with 11 experts with different backgrounds and a reasonable knowledge of the AI Act as a prerequisite. We provide the 5 "use case cards" used in the co-design and validation process. "Use case cards" allows framing and contextualising use cases in an effective way, and we hope this methodology can be a useful tool for policy makers and providers for documenting use cases, assessing the risk level, adapting the different requirements and building a catalogue of existing usages of AI.

2.6CVJun 1, 2022
Towards view-invariant vehicle speed detection from driving simulator images

Antonio Hernández Martínez, David Fernandez Llorca, Iván García Daza

The use of cameras for vehicle speed measurement is much more cost effective compared to other technologies such as inductive loops, radar or laser. However, accurate speed measurement remains a challenge due to the inherent limitations of cameras to provide accurate range estimates. In addition, classical vision-based methods are very sensitive to extrinsic calibration between the camera and the road. In this context, the use of data-driven approaches appears as an interesting alternative. However, data collection requires a complex and costly setup to record videos under real traffic conditions from the camera synchronized with a high-precision speed sensor to generate the ground truth speed values. It has recently been demonstrated that the use of driving simulators (e.g., CARLA) can serve as a robust alternative for generating large synthetic datasets to enable the application of deep learning techniques for vehicle speed estimation for a single camera. In this paper, we study the same problem using multiple cameras in different virtual locations and with different extrinsic parameters. We address the question of whether complex 3D-CNN architectures are capable of implicitly learning view-invariant speeds using a single model, or whether view-specific models are more appropriate. The results are very promising as they show that a single model with data from multiple views reports even better accuracy than camera-specific models, paving the way towards a view-invariant vehicle speed measurement system.

4.9HCAug 6, 2024
Cross-cultural analysis of pedestrian group behaviour influence on crossing decisions in interactions with autonomous vehicles

Sergio Martín Serrano, Óscar Méndez Blanco, Stewart Worrall et al.

Understanding cultural backgrounds is crucial for the seamless integration of autonomous driving into daily life as it ensures that systems are attuned to diverse societal norms and behaviours, enhancing acceptance and safety in varied cultural contexts. In this work, we investigate the impact of co-located pedestrians on crossing behaviour, considering cultural and situational factors. To accomplish this, a full-scale virtual reality (VR) environment was created in the CARLA simulator, enabling the identical experiment to be replicated in both Spain and Australia. Participants (N=30) attempted to cross the road at an urban crosswalk alongside other pedestrians exhibiting conservative to more daring behaviours, while an autonomous vehicle (AV) approached with different driving styles. For the analysis of interactions, we utilized questionnaires and direct measures of the moment when participants entered the lane. Our findings indicate that pedestrians tend to cross the same traffic gap together, even though reckless behaviour by the group reduces confidence and makes the situation perceived as more complex. Australian participants were willing to take fewer risks than Spanish participants, adopting more cautious behaviour when it was uncertain whether the AV would yield.

7.7AINov 3, 2022
Liability regimes in the age of AI: a use-case driven analysis of the burden of proof

David Fernández Llorca, Vicky Charisi, Ronan Hamon et al.

New emerging technologies powered by Artificial Intelligence (AI) have the potential to disruptively transform our societies for the better. In particular, data-driven learning approaches (i.e., Machine Learning (ML)) have been a true revolution in the advancement of multiple technologies in various application domains. But at the same time there is growing concern about certain intrinsic characteristics of these methodologies that carry potential risks to both safety and fundamental rights. Although there are mechanisms in the adoption process to minimize these risks (e.g., safety regulations), these do not exclude the possibility of harm occurring, and if this happens, victims should be able to seek compensation. Liability regimes will therefore play a key role in ensuring basic protection for victims using or interacting with these systems. However, the same characteristics that make AI systems inherently risky, such as lack of causality, opacity, unpredictability or their self and continuous learning capabilities, may lead to considerable difficulties when it comes to proving causation. This paper presents three case studies, as well as the methodology to reach them, that illustrate these difficulties. Specifically, we address the cases of cleaning robots, delivery drones and robots in education. The outcome of the proposed analysis suggests the need to revise liability regimes to alleviate the burden of proof on victims in cases involving AI technologies.

6.8CVDec 11, 2023Code
Attribute Annotation and Bias Evaluation in Visual Datasets for Autonomous Driving

David Fernández Llorca, Pedro Frau, Ignacio Parra et al.

This paper addresses the often overlooked issue of fairness in the autonomous driving domain, particularly in vision-based perception and prediction systems, which play a pivotal role in the overall functioning of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs). We focus our analysis on biases present in some of the most commonly used visual datasets for training person and vehicle detection systems. We introduce an annotation methodology and a specialised annotation tool, both designed to annotate protected attributes of agents in visual datasets. We validate our methodology through an inter-rater agreement analysis and provide the distribution of attributes across all datasets. These include annotations for the attributes age, sex, skin tone, group, and means of transport for more than 90K people, as well as vehicle type, colour, and car type for over 50K vehicles. Generally, diversity is very low for most attributes, with some groups, such as children, wheelchair users, or personal mobility vehicle users, being extremely underrepresented in the analysed datasets. The study contributes significantly to efforts to consider fairness in the evaluation of perception and prediction systems for AVs. This paper follows reproducibility principles. The annotation tool, scripts and the annotated attributes can be accessed publicly at https://github.com/ec-jrc/humaint_annotator.

2.0CVJul 11, 2024
Digital twins to alleviate the need for real field data in vision-based vehicle speed detection systems

Antonio Hernández Martínez, Iván García Daza, Carlos Fernández López et al.

Accurate vision-based speed estimation is much more cost-effective than traditional methods based on radar or LiDAR. However, it is also challenging due to the limitations of perspective projection on a discrete sensor, as well as the high sensitivity to calibration, lighting and weather conditions. Interestingly, deep learning approaches (which dominate the field of computer vision) are very limited in this context due to the lack of available data. Indeed, obtaining video sequences of real road traffic with accurate speed values associated with each vehicle is very complex and costly, and the number of available datasets is very limited. Recently, some approaches are focusing on the use of synthetic data. However, it is still unclear how models trained on synthetic data can be effectively applied to real world conditions. In this work, we propose the use of digital-twins using CARLA simulator to generate a large dataset representative of a specific real-world camera. The synthetic dataset contains a large variability of vehicle types, colours, speeds, lighting and weather conditions. A 3D CNN model is trained on the digital twin and tested on the real sequences. Unlike previous approaches that generate multi-camera sequences, we found that the gap between the the real and the virtual conditions is a key factor in obtaining low speed estimation errors. Even with a preliminary approach, the mean absolute error obtained remains below 3km/h.

31.6AIFeb 10, 2025
Can We Trust AI Benchmarks? An Interdisciplinary Review of Current Issues in AI Evaluation

Maria Eriksson, Erasmo Purificato, Arman Noroozian et al.

Quantitative Artificial Intelligence (AI) Benchmarks have emerged as fundamental tools for evaluating the performance, capability, and safety of AI models and systems. Currently, they shape the direction of AI development and are playing an increasingly prominent role in regulatory frameworks. As their influence grows, however, so too does concerns about how and with what effects they evaluate highly sensitive topics such as capabilities, including high-impact capabilities, safety and systemic risks. This paper presents an interdisciplinary meta-review of about 100 studies that discuss shortcomings in quantitative benchmarking practices, published in the last 10 years. It brings together many fine-grained issues in the design and application of benchmarks (such as biases in dataset creation, inadequate documentation, data contamination, and failures to distinguish signal from noise) with broader sociotechnical issues (such as an over-focus on evaluating text-based AI models according to one-time testing logic that fails to account for how AI models are increasingly multimodal and interact with humans and other technical systems). Our review also highlights a series of systemic flaws in current benchmarking practices, such as misaligned incentives, construct validity issues, unknown unknowns, and problems with the gaming of benchmark results. Furthermore, it underscores how benchmark practices are fundamentally shaped by cultural, commercial and competitive dynamics that often prioritise state-of-the-art performance at the expense of broader societal concerns. By providing an overview of risks associated with existing benchmarking procedures, we problematise disproportionate trust placed in benchmarks and contribute to ongoing efforts to improve the accountability and relevance of quantitative AI benchmarks within the complexities of real-world scenarios.

3.3CYFeb 21, 2024
Testing autonomous vehicles and AI: perspectives and challenges from cybersecurity, transparency, robustness and fairness

David Fernández Llorca, Ronan Hamon, Henrik Junklewitz et al.

This study explores the complexities of integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) into Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), examining the challenges introduced by AI components and the impact on testing procedures, focusing on some of the essential requirements for trustworthy AI. Topics addressed include the role of AI at various operational layers of AVs, the implications of the EU's AI Act on AVs, and the need for new testing methodologies for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and Automated Driving Systems (ADS). The study also provides a detailed analysis on the importance of cybersecurity audits, the need for explainability in AI decision-making processes and protocols for assessing the robustness and ethical behaviour of predictive systems in AVs. The paper identifies significant challenges and suggests future directions for research and development of AI in AV technology, highlighting the need for multidisciplinary expertise.

5.5HCDec 11, 2023
Pedestrian and Passenger Interaction with Autonomous Vehicles: Field Study in a Crosswalk Scenario

Rubén Izquierdo, Javier Alonso, Ola Benderius et al.

This study presents the outcomes of empirical investigations pertaining to human-vehicle interactions involving an autonomous vehicle equipped with both internal and external Human Machine Interfaces (HMIs) within a crosswalk scenario. The internal and external HMIs were integrated with implicit communication techniques, incorporating a combination of gentle and aggressive braking maneuvers within the crosswalk. Data were collected through a combination of questionnaires and quantifiable metrics, including pedestrian decision to cross related to the vehicle distance and speed. The questionnaire responses reveal that pedestrians experience enhanced safety perceptions when the external HMI and gentle braking maneuvers are used in tandem. In contrast, the measured variables demonstrate that the external HMI proves effective when complemented by the gentle braking maneuver. Furthermore, the questionnaire results highlight that the internal HMI enhances passenger confidence only when paired with the aggressive braking maneuver.

7.8AIJan 10, 2025Code
Supervision policies can shape long-term risk management in general-purpose AI models

Manuel Cebrian, Emilia Gomez, David Fernandez Llorca

The rapid proliferation and deployment of General-Purpose AI (GPAI) models, including large language models (LLMs), present unprecedented challenges for AI supervisory entities. We hypothesize that these entities will need to navigate an emergent ecosystem of risk and incident reporting, likely to exceed their supervision capacity. To investigate this, we develop a simulation framework parameterized by features extracted from the diverse landscape of risk, incident, or hazard reporting ecosystems, including community-driven platforms, crowdsourcing initiatives, and expert assessments. We evaluate four supervision policies: non-prioritized (first-come, first-served), random selection, priority-based (addressing the highest-priority risks first), and diversity-prioritized (balancing high-priority risks with comprehensive coverage across risk types). Our results indicate that while priority-based and diversity-prioritized policies are more effective at mitigating high-impact risks, particularly those identified by experts, they may inadvertently neglect systemic issues reported by the broader community. This oversight can create feedback loops that amplify certain types of reporting while discouraging others, leading to a skewed perception of the overall risk landscape. We validate our simulation results with several real-world datasets, including one with over a million ChatGPT interactions, of which more than 150,000 conversations were identified as risky. This validation underscores the complex trade-offs inherent in AI risk supervision and highlights how the choice of risk management policies can shape the future landscape of AI risks across diverse GPAI models used in society.

1.2CYMay 19, 2025
Aligning Trustworthy AI with Democracy: A Dual Taxonomy of Opportunities and Risks

Oier Mentxaka, Natalia Díaz-Rodríguez, Mark Coeckelbergh et al.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) poses both significant risks and valuable opportunities for democratic governance. This paper introduces a dual taxonomy to evaluate AI's complex relationship with democracy: the AI Risks to Democracy (AIRD) taxonomy, which identifies how AI can undermine core democratic principles such as autonomy, fairness, and trust; and the AI's Positive Contributions to Democracy (AIPD) taxonomy, which highlights AI's potential to enhance transparency, participation, efficiency, and evidence-based policymaking. Grounded in the European Union's approach to ethical AI governance, and particularly the seven Trustworthy AI requirements proposed by the European Commission's High-Level Expert Group on AI, each identified risk is aligned with mitigation strategies based on EU regulatory and normative frameworks. Our analysis underscores the transversal importance of transparency and societal well-being across all risk categories and offers a structured lens for aligning AI systems with democratic values. By integrating democratic theory with practical governance tools, this paper offers a normative and actionable framework to guide research, regulation, and institutional design to support trustworthy, democratic AI. It provides scholars with a conceptual foundation to evaluate the democratic implications of AI, equips policymakers with structured criteria for ethical oversight, and helps technologists align system design with democratic principles. In doing so, it bridges the gap between ethical aspirations and operational realities, laying the groundwork for more inclusive, accountable, and resilient democratic systems in the algorithmic age.

10.0CVJun 1, 2021
Predicting Vehicles Trajectories in Urban Scenarios with Transformer Networks and Augmented Information

A. Quintanar, D. Fernández-Llorca, I. Parra et al.

Understanding the behavior of road users is of vital importance for the development of trajectory prediction systems. In this context, the latest advances have focused on recurrent structures, establishing the social interaction between the agents involved in the scene. More recently, simpler structures have also been introduced for predicting pedestrian trajectories, based on Transformer Networks, and using positional information. They allow the individual modelling of each agent's trajectory separately without any complex interaction terms. Our model exploits these simple structures by adding augmented data (position and heading), and adapting their use to the problem of vehicle trajectory prediction in urban scenarios in prediction horizons up to 5 seconds. In addition, a cross-performance analysis is performed between different types of scenarios, including highways, intersections and roundabouts, using recent datasets (inD, rounD, highD and INTERACTION). Our model achieves state-of-the-art results and proves to be flexible and adaptable to different types of urban contexts.

3.7CVApr 20, 2021
Data-driven vehicle speed detection from synthetic driving simulator images

Antonio Hernández Martínez, Javier Lorenzo Díaz, Iván García Daza et al.

Despite all the challenges and limitations, vision-based vehicle speed detection is gaining research interest due to its great potential benefits such as cost reduction, and enhanced additional functions. As stated in a recent survey [1], the use of learning-based approaches to address this problem is still in its infancy. One of the main difficulties is the need for a large amount of data, which must contain the input sequences and, more importantly, the output values corresponding to the actual speed of the vehicles. Data collection in this context requires a complex and costly setup to capture the images from the camera synchronized with a high precision speed sensor to generate the ground truth speed values. In this paper we explore, for the first time, the use of synthetic images generated from a driving simulator (e.g., CARLA) to address vehicle speed detection using a learning-based approach. We simulate a virtual camera placed over a stretch of road, and generate thousands of images with variability corresponding to multiple speeds, different vehicle types and colors, and lighting and weather conditions. Two different approaches to map the sequence of images to an output speed (regression) are studied, including CNN-GRU and 3D-CNN. We present preliminary results that support the high potential of this approach to address vehicle speed detection.

2.4AIMar 19, 2021
From driving automation systems to autonomous vehicles: clarifying the terminology

David Fernández Llorca

The terminological landscape is rather cluttered when referring to autonomous driving or vehicles. A plethora of terms are used interchangeably, leading to misuse and confusion. With its technological, social and legal progress, it is increasingly imperative to establish a clear terminology that allows each concept to be placed in its corresponding place.

13.6LGFeb 12, 2021
SCOUT: Socially-COnsistent and UndersTandable Graph Attention Network for Trajectory Prediction of Vehicles and VRUs

Sandra Carrasco, David Fernández Llorca, Miguel Ángel Sotelo

Autonomous vehicles navigate in dynamically changing environments under a wide variety of conditions, being continuously influenced by surrounding objects. Modelling interactions among agents is essential for accurately forecasting other agents' behaviour and achieving safe and comfortable motion planning. In this work, we propose SCOUT, a novel Attention-based Graph Neural Network that uses a flexible and generic representation of the scene as a graph for modelling interactions, and predicts socially-consistent trajectories of vehicles and Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs) under mixed traffic conditions. We explore three different attention mechanisms and test our scheme with both bird-eye-view and on-vehicle urban data, achieving superior performance than existing state-of-the-art approaches on InD and ApolloScape Trajectory benchmarks. Additionally, we evaluate our model's flexibility and transferability by testing it under completely new scenarios on RounD dataset. The importance and influence of each interaction in the final prediction is explored by means of Integrated Gradients technique and the visualization of the attention learned.

10.6CVJan 15, 2021
Vision-based Vehicle Speed Estimation: A Survey

David Fernández Llorca, Antonio Hernández Martínez, Iván García Daza

The need to accurately estimate the speed of road vehicles is becoming increasingly important for at least two main reasons. First, the number of speed cameras installed worldwide has been growing in recent years, as the introduction and enforcement of appropriate speed limits is considered one of the most effective means to increase the road safety. Second, traffic monitoring and forecasting in road networks plays a fundamental role to enhance traffic, emissions and energy consumption in smart cities, being the speed of the vehicles one of the most relevant parameters of the traffic state. Among the technologies available for the accurate detection of vehicle speed, the use of vision-based systems brings great challenges to be solved, but also great potential advantages, such as the drastic reduction of costs due to the absence of expensive range sensors, and the possibility of identifying vehicles accurately. This paper provides a review of vision-based vehicle speed estimation. We describe the terminology, the application domains, and propose a complete taxonomy of a large selection of works that categorizes all stages involved. An overview of performance evaluation metrics and available datasets is provided. Finally, we discuss current limitations and future directions.

9.4CVJan 13, 2021
Video action recognition for lane-change classification and prediction of surrounding vehicles

Mahdi Biparva, David Fernández-Llorca, Rubén Izquierdo-Gonzalo et al.

In highway scenarios, an alert human driver will typically anticipate early cut-in/cut-out maneuvers of surrounding vehicles using visual cues mainly. Autonomous vehicles must anticipate these situations at an early stage too, to increase their safety and efficiency. In this work, lane-change recognition and prediction tasks are posed as video action recognition problems. Up to four different two-stream-based approaches, that have been successfully applied to address human action recognition, are adapted here by stacking visual cues from forward-looking video cameras to recognize and anticipate lane-changes of target vehicles. We study the influence of context and observation horizons on performance, and different prediction horizons are analyzed. The different models are trained and evaluated using the PREVENTION dataset. The obtained results clearly demonstrate the potential of these methodologies to serve as robust predictors of future lane-changes of surrounding vehicles proving an accuracy higher than 90% in time horizons of between 1-2 seconds.

2.3CVSep 11, 2020
The PREVENTION Challenge: How Good Are Humans Predicting Lane Changes?

A. Quintanar, R. Izquierdo, I. Parra et al.

While driving on highways, every driver tries to be aware of the behavior of surrounding vehicles, including possible emergency braking, evasive maneuvers trying to avoid obstacles, unexpected lane changes, or other emergencies that could lead to an accident. In this paper, human's ability to predict lane changes in highway scenarios is analyzed through the use of video sequences extracted from the PREVENTION dataset, a database focused on the development of research on vehicle intention and trajectory prediction. Thus, users had to indicate the moment at which they considered that a lane change maneuver was taking place in a target vehicle, subsequently indicating its direction: left or right. The results retrieved have been carefully analyzed and compared to ground truth labels, evaluating statistical models to understand whether humans can actually predict. The study has revealed that most participants are unable to anticipate lane-change maneuvers, detecting them after they have started. These results might serve as a baseline for AI's prediction ability evaluation, grading if those systems can outperform human skills by analyzing hidden cues that seem unnoticed, improving the detection time, and even anticipating maneuvers in some cases.

1.2CVSep 1, 2020
3D-DEEP: 3-Dimensional Deep-learning based on elevation patterns forroad scene interpretation

A. Hernández, S. Woo, H. Corrales et al.

Road detection and segmentation is a crucial task in computer vision for safe autonomous driving. With this in mind, a new net architecture (3D-DEEP) and its end-to-end training methodology for CNN-based semantic segmentation are described along this paper for. The method relies on disparity filtered and LiDAR projected images for three-dimensional information and image feature extraction through fully convolutional networks architectures. The developed models were trained and validated over Cityscapes dataset using just fine annotation examples with 19 different training classes, and over KITTI road dataset. 72.32% mean intersection over union(mIoU) has been obtained for the 19 Cityscapes training classes using the validation images. On the other hand, over KITTIdataset the model has achieved an F1 error value of 97.85% invalidation and 96.02% using the test images.

11.6CVAug 26, 2020
RNN-based Pedestrian Crossing Prediction using Activity and Pose-related Features

Javier Lorenzo, Ignacio Parra, Florian Wirth et al.

Pedestrian crossing prediction is a crucial task for autonomous driving. Numerous studies show that an early estimation of the pedestrian's intention can decrease or even avoid a high percentage of accidents. In this paper, different variations of a deep learning system are proposed to attempt to solve this problem. The proposed models are composed of two parts: a CNN-based feature extractor and an RNN module. All the models were trained and tested on the JAAD dataset. The results obtained indicate that the choice of the features extraction method, the inclusion of additional variables such as pedestrian gaze direction and discrete orientation, and the chosen RNN type have a significant impact on the final performance.

5.8CVAug 26, 2020
Vehicle Trajectory Prediction in Crowded Highway Scenarios Using Bird Eye View Representations and CNNs

R. Izquierdo, A. Quintanar, I. Parra et al.

This paper describes a novel approach to perform vehicle trajectory predictions employing graphic representations. The vehicles are represented using Gaussian distributions into a Bird Eye View. Then the U-net model is used to perform sequence to sequence predictions. This deep learning-based methodology has been trained using the HighD dataset, which contains vehicles' detection in a highway scenario from aerial imagery. The problem is faced as an image to image regression problem training the network to learn the underlying relations between the traffic participants. This approach generates an estimation of the future appearance of the input scene, not trajectories or numeric positions. An extra step is conducted to extract the positions from the predicted representation with subpixel resolution. Different network configurations have been tested, and prediction error up to three seconds ahead is in the order of the representation resolution. The model has been tested in highway scenarios with more than 30 vehicles simultaneously in two opposite traffic flow streams showing good qualitative and quantitative results.

7.2CVAug 25, 2020
Two-Stream Networks for Lane-Change Prediction of Surrounding Vehicles

David Fernández-Llorca, Mahdi Biparva, Rubén Izquierdo-Gonzalo et al.

In highway scenarios, an alert human driver will typically anticipate early cut-in and cut-out maneuvers of surrounding vehicles using only visual cues. An automated system must anticipate these situations at an early stage too, to increase the safety and the efficiency of its performance. To deal with lane-change recognition and prediction of surrounding vehicles, we pose the problem as an action recognition/prediction problem by stacking visual cues from video cameras. Two video action recognition approaches are analyzed: two-stream convolutional networks and spatiotemporal multiplier networks. Different sizes of the regions around the vehicles are analyzed, evaluating the importance of the interaction between vehicles and the context information in the performance. In addition, different prediction horizons are evaluated. The obtained results demonstrate the potential of these methodologies to serve as robust predictors of future lane-changes of surrounding vehicles in time horizons between 1 and 2 seconds.

17.4CVApr 30, 2020
Pedestrian Path, Pose and Intention Prediction through Gaussian Process Dynamical Models and Pedestrian Activity Recognition

Raul Quintero, Ignacio Parra, David Fernandez Llorca et al.

According to several reports published by worldwide organisations, thousands of pedestrians die in road accidents every year. Due to this fact, vehicular technologies have been evolving with the intent of reducing these fatalities. This evolution has not finished yet since, for instance, the predictions of pedestrian paths could improve the current Automatic Emergency Braking Systems (AEBS). For this reason, this paper proposes a method to predict future pedestrian paths, poses and intentions up to 1s in advance. This method is based on Balanced Gaussian Process Dynamical Models (B-GPDMs), which reduce the 3D time-related information extracted from keypoints or joints placed along pedestrian bodies into low-dimensional spaces. The B-GPDM is also capable of inferring future latent positions and reconstruct their associated observations. However, learning a generic model for all kind of pedestrian activities normally provides less ccurate predictions. For this reason, the proposed method obtains multiple models of four types of activity, i.e. walking, stopping, starting and standing, and selects the most similar model to estimate future pedestrian states. This method detects starting activities 125ms after the gait initiation with an accuracy of 80% and recognises stopping intentions 58.33ms before the event with an accuracy of 70%. Concerning the path prediction, the mean error for stopping activities at a Time-To-Event (TTE) of 1s is 238.01mm and, for starting actions, the mean error at a TTE of 0s is 331.93mm.